NATO'S PROSPECTS IN THE LIGHT OF THE UKRAINE WAR (original) (raw)
Related papers
The Ukraine Crisis and the End of the Post-Cold War European Order: Options for NATO and the EU
The Ukraine Crisis has changed European and US security policy. Irrespective of the impact the crisis will have in the short, medium and long term, the Russian intervention in Ukraine, the annexation of Crimea and the subsequent destabilisation of eastern Ukraine will have far-reaching consequences for the following three reasons: It will reduce strategic warning due to Russia’s will and ability to use armed force in its neighbouring area. It is apparently the definitive Russian departure from the idea of a united, free Europe that began with the Helsinki Process and was realised with the integration of economies and societies after the end of the Cold War. An important element in the idea of a united, free Europe is that conflicts must be resolved by peaceful means and not by force of arms. It demonstrates that a number of the partnerships, etc., that have formed the foundation for EU and NATO policies, have been inadequate. Therefore, the crisis creates a need to rethink Western strategy. In the light of this new risk, the West’s existing policy is inadequate. This does not necessarily mean that the policy hitherto has been mistaken, and it absolutely does not mean that we are facing a new Cold War. However, the West must realise that Russian governance does not have the same general goals as those of the West. Although the West can thus in the short term be content to overcome the crisis, the consequences for the European security policy framework in the medium and long term will be appreciable. These consequences will apply not least to the West itself because the crisis has revealed differences in priorities among the Western powers and challenged the world view that the West’s policy has been based on. Furthermore, the West must acknowledge that Russia is willing to use military means to accomplish its goals. This presents EU foreign policy in particular with a number of fundamental challenges and means that NATO must rethink and thoroughly reconsider its obligations under Article 5, especially with regard to the East European member states, where the Baltic States are particularly vulnerable.
NATO's Interference in the Ukrainian-Russian War: International political considerations
Jogelméleti Szemle. Law Working Papers, 2022
The new Ukrainian-Russian war, provoked at length by the United States, has brought to our attention a previously overlooked aspect of regime change in Central and Eastern Europe (Mearsheimer 2014). After the collapse of the Soviet empire, in the joy of liberation from it and in our desire in Eastern Europe to join the Western half of Europe, the fact that the NATO led by the Americans against the Soviet forces had lost its function with the collapse of the latter was not even mentioned in the debates of the domestic public in Hungary. However, this huge war machine, which had lost its function, simply sought new functions out of inertia, and the war machine, already strictly controlled and led by the U.S., became more and more a front for the U.S. to strike anywhere in the world for its own goals. The French, who had left NATO in 1966, if not formally, then in fact, raised the idea in 1991 of replacing NATO, which had become functionless, with a separate military alliance for Europe to counter, among other things, the remaining nuclear power, Russia, but this did not resonate with the other Western European countries, which were steeped in the dominant U.S. globalists. However, when the U.S. attack on Yugoslavia in 1999 and then on Iraq in 2003 was carried out against the opposition of the Franco-German pair under the NATO flag - and in retrospect with precision bombing of French and German interests on Yugoslav territory - the demand of this pair of great powers for an independent European force to replace NATO was reinforced. Nothing came of it, and in 2009, our country's less than glorious French descendant, President Sárközy, even invited France back into NATO. It was therefore gratifying to see that now one of the candidates for the French presidential elections, Ms. Le Pen, has included withdrawal from NATO in her program, and even if the opinion polls do not favor her victory, the European sovereign governments and their intellectual background should reflect on the importance of this agenda item. Especially since in 2016 the U.S. government made an about-face from a globalist to an isolationist position, which itself envisaged the dissolution of NATO. This was interrupted by President Trump's departure in 2020, but the growing strength of the Republicans he dominates in Congress and his plans for reelection in 2024-whose chances are supported by current polls-make it necessary to think theoretically about abolishing NATO in Europe and to discuss this across Europe with the intellectual support of Le Pen's party.
NATO in Europe: Between Weak European Allies and Strong Influence of Russian Federation
Croatian International Relations Review, 2017
After the collapse of the bipolar international order, NATO has been focused on its desire to eradicate Cold War divisions and to build good relations with Russia. However, the security environment, especially in Europe, is still dramatically changing. The NATO Warsaw Summit was focused especially on NATO’s deteriorated relations with Russia that affect Europe’s security. At the same time, it looked at bolstering deterrence and defence due to many concerns coming from eastern European allies about Russia’s new attitude in international relations. The Allies agreed that a dialogue with Russia rebuilding mutual trust needs to start. In the times when Europe faces major crisis from its southern and south-eastern neighbourhood - Western Balkan countries, Syria, Libya and Iraq - and other threats, such as terrorism, coming from the so-called Islamic State, causing migration crises, it is necessary to calm down relations with Russia. The article brings out the main purpose of NATO in a tr...
NATO’s Continuing Support for Ukraine in an Increasingly Multipolar World
Atlantica, 2024
The concerns over the future of the Atlantic Alliance’s continued assistance for Ukraine have escalated as the conflict in Ukraine has transformed into a war of attrition. Compared to the early months of the war, there are increasingly troubling discussions about how it might be better to attempt to bring an end to the conflict by initiating negotiations quickly. It should be realized that a feasible and practical solution that will provide perpetual peace in the region while ensuring the continuing sovereignty and independence of Ukraine can only be achieved by employing a new strategy, which focuses more on the political means. Considering this, this paper aims to evaluate the strategic significance of NATO’s ongoing commitment to Ukraine amid a new chapter of the modern world order marked by increasing multipolarity and shifting geopolitical dynamics.
Understanding NATO in the 21 st Century Alliance Strategies, Security and Global Governance
This book “Understanding NATO in the 21st Century: Alliance Strategies Security and Global Governance” provides the overview of the evolution, global security governance, alliances and future prospect for NATO. This book is mostly from U.S point of view how they look NATO and how they can use it in future. How U.S can dominate in the international affairs and how to counter the emerging superpowers. The impact of NATO created a competitive and cooperative environment at global and regional level and created a history of its own. As NATO moves into the 21st century its purpose, role and utility needs to be changed with the future situation of the world.
Belügyi Szemle, 2020
NATO has survived until its 70th anniversary, essentially in the same condition as practically every year of its existence. According to commentators and external experts, the Alliance seems to be in a constant crisis, and every new version of the crisis is seen as final and deadly. By contrast, for those who are active internally, NATO seems stronger than ever before - it is engaging in more places than ever before, presenting new initiatives at an unprecedented pace and in ever-longer summit declarations. The problem situation presented in this way allows us to formulate the main research problem: What role does NATO play in shaping the global security system? The research problem formulated in this way consists of detailed problems formulated in the form of questions: 1) What are the current challenges for NATO? 2) What are the current threats to NATO? 3) What is Donald Trump's policy towards NATO? The aim of the presentation is to present an analysis of the role of NATO in e...