Monetary Policy Application and Stock Market Reaction During COVID-19 Pandemic: Evidence from Turkey (original) (raw)

The Covid-19’s Impact on Stock Prices among Different Sectors - An Event Study Based on the Istanbul Stock Exchange Market

Economics Literature, 2021

The Covid-19 pandemic has deeply affected our health and social life as well as the financial markets. Although the global economic effects of the coronavirus are not yet clear, it is observed that there is a reaction in the financial markets to the developments related to the pandemic. Studies show that the pandemic has strong impact on stock markets and increases uncertainty. The purpose of this study is to examine whether the stock prices of companies traded on the Istanbul Stock Exchange Market between 02.14.2019 and 04.01.2020 are affected by the Covid-19 pandemic. In this context, the stock prices of the six major sectors traded and thought to be affected in Istanbul Stock Exchange Market during the period examined were analyzed using the "event study" method of the effects of Corona virus. In the analysis, the event window was taken as (- 15, + 15) trading days. The effects of the Corona virus in the relevant period were examined separately for each company in the s...

The Impact of News about Pandemic on Borsa Istanbul during the COVID-19 Financial Turmoil

The Impact of News about Pandemic on Borsa Istanbul during the COVID-19 Financial Turmoil, 2021

The COVID-19 pandemic, which emerged in December 2019 and then spread worldwide, has affected not only economic and social life but also the financial markets. It has left investors greatly panicked and affected their decisions. In this study, the effect of COVID-19 related news on Borsa Istanbul is analyzed using the panel quantile regression method. The study period is set between 10 March 2020 and 17 April 2020. The panic index, media hype index, fake news index, country sentiment index, infodemic index, and media coverage index created by the RavenPack data platform are used for the analysis. The impact of news, it was found, varies amongst the quantiles, and there exists an asymmetric dependence between the returns of Borsa Istanbul and COVID-19 related news. More efficient communication channels, the results indicate, should be used to alleviate the financial turmoil caused by COVID-19.

The Effects of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Conventional and Islamic Stock Markets in Turkey

2020

In order to reveal the macroeconomic effects of the Covid-19 pandemic, financial markets should also be handled in addition to the real sector. Investigating the changes in the stock market may give clues to analyze the effects of the pandemic on financial markets. The researches in question can be carried out for a country group or a single country. Studies that are conducted for a single country allow researchers to analyze problems more precisely and put forward more specific and convenient policy suggestions. Furthermore, while investigating the effect of the pandemic on stock markets, handling conventional and Islamic stock markets together can provide more comparative and realistic data in determining the policies regarding financial markets. The aim of the study is to examine the reaction of conventional and Islamic stock markets to the Covid-19 outbreak in Turkey. In the study, the DCC-GARCH method was applied by using the daily data from Feb 10, 2011 to Sep 02, 2020. The em...

Impact of COVID-19 on the Daily Returns of Istanbul Stock Exchange

Finanse i Prawo Finansowe

The purpose of the article/hypothesis: The measures taken by the governments to fight Covid-19 such as social distancing and lockdowns not only crippled the social life, but also the economies of their countries. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on the Turkish economy. The authors used the Istanbul Stock Exchange Index which is a sort of barometer to measure the health of the economic and financial system in Turkey. The aim of the paper is to show the impact of Covid-19 together with the risk in the global market, exchange rates and government responses to the pandemic on the Istanbul Stock Exchange. Methodology: The authors analyzed the impact of the pandemic studying the relations between the Istanbul Exchange and a number of deaths due to Covid-19 together with VIX index, the Government Response Index and exchange rate of USA dollar/Turkish Lira with Toda-Yamamoto Causality test. Results of the research: The results suggest that the numb...

Comparison of News Impacts on Sectoral Stock Returns during the COVID-19 Pandemic in Turkey

World Journal of Applied Economics, 2021

This study examines how the volatility of the sectoral stock returns within Borsa İstanbul are affected during the COVID-19 pandemic. The analysis uses daily stock return data for four main sector indices: services, finance, industry, and technology. The sample period of the study covers 03.03.2015–11.03.2021, and 12.03.2020-03.04.2021 is separately analyzed for the COVID-19 period. When E-GARCH models and news impact curves are analyzed, it is found that the services sector stock returns volatility differs from other sectoral stock returns.

The short‐run response of Saudi Arabia stock market to the outbreak of COVID‐19 pandemic: An event‐study methodology

International Journal of Finance & Economics, 2021

This paper investigates the short‐term response of the Saudi stock market (Tadawul) to the COVID‐19 outbreak. Event study methodology applied to data derived from the 21 industry groups that constitute the Saudi stock market to calculate abnormal returns for the trading days after the announcement of the COVID‐19 in both China and Saudi Arabia. The results indicate that the estimated CARs for the industry groups and their sum on the event day were not statistically significant. Furthermore, the formal announcement of the first case of the COVID‐19 in China had a negative but not significant impact on the Saudi stock market. In contrast, in the first 9‐days event window, the announcement of the first confirmed case in Saudi Arabia had a negative and significant effect. Moreover, the most negatively affected industry groups were banks, consumer services, capital goods, transportation and commercial services, whereas telecommunication services and food and beverage were positively affe...

The Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Global Stock Markets: An Event Study

International Journal of Economics and Business Administration, 2020

Purpose: This study aims to empirically examine the immediate reaction of affected countries' stock market indices to COVID-19. Approach/Methodology/Design: The study applies an event study methodology using daily data series of stock price indices. Findings: Evidence from eleven global stock market indices shows that the first confirmed COVID-19 case announcement has had a significant negative impact on the returns. Moreover, these effects were more substantial following the WHO announcement of COVID-19 as a global pandemic on March 11, 2020. Practical Implications: The rapidly developing outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic has depressed the affected countries' economies and caused turmoil in global financial markets. The results presented in this paper shed some light on the potential economic and social cost of COVID-19 concerns policymakers and other stock market stakeholders. Originality/value: The results suggest that stock markets have captured investors' expectations over potential adverse economic consequences of COVID-19. Moreover, there is evidence for an underreaction to the pandemic's announcement, as shown by the delayed response of stock markets in terms of significant CARs. These findings leave a wish list of topics for future research.

COVID-19 Attack on Stock Markets: Event Study and Panel Data Analysis of Organization of Islamic Countries (OIC)

Journal of Economic Impact

The outbreak of COVID-19 has hampered the economies in all over the world. Due to this pandemic, many economic activities worldwide continue to be slumps. Current study examines the effect of COVID-19 contagion epidemic on stock markets of 23 OIC economies. Event study approach is employed to quantity abnormal returns (ARs). Fixed effect and random effect models are employed for the cause of abnormal return. Sixty (0 to 59) days, including the event day, are observed in the event window at the release of news related to COVID-19 in media at the international level; each window contains ten days. Pre-event window includes 120 days afore from the event day. We examine the ARs significantly negative in 4 ensuing windows in 59 days. Negative AR is significant for developed as well as developing economies. Findings reveal that the cumulative ARs from day first to day 33 remain in the range of decimal -0.203 to single digit -9.09. Still, from day 34 to day 59, it remains in the range of d...

Market reaction to the Covid-19 pandemic: Events study at stocks listed on LQ45 index

Cogent Business & Management, 2022

This study aims to examine the market reaction to the Covid-19 pan-demic using stocks listed on the LQ45 Index, by using the event study method to calculate and analyze the difference in Average Abnormal Return (AAR) and Trading Volume Trading (TVA) during the Covid-19 pandemic that occurred in Indonesia. The population for the study is companies listed on the LQ45 Index with a sample of 41 companies taken by purposive sampling technique. Statistical analysis was con-ducted by using events study with paired sample t-test in determining the abnormal return difference test for each event. The first finding was that the LQ45 stock market reacted positively since the confirmation of the Covid-19 outbreak in Wuhan, China, as investors did not consider this information bad news. Second, LQ45 shares have shown a decline since the first confirmed Covid-19 patients in Indonesia. Third, the announcement of a pandemic by the World Health Organization (WHO) continued until the Jakarta regional lockdown in April 2020 made LQ45 respond negatively. The market began to respond positively after the first vaccination in Indonesia in January 2021. Overall, the results show that the LQ45 stock market has responded quickly to the Covid-19 pandemic from the start events and responses vary over time depending on events during the pandemic. Investors tend to be quick to respond to any event so that stock movements are