Overview of Solar-Forecasting Methods and a Metric for Accuracy Evaluation (original) (raw)

This paper presents a comprehensive overview of solar-forecasting methods, categorizing them based on timescales, techniques, and specific solar technologies. It discusses the significance of accurate solar forecasts for stakeholders, especially in the context of increasing solar energy penetration and the evolving regulatory environment. Furthermore, it offers a framework for evaluating the accuracy of these forecasts, highlighting the importance of dynamic model combinations and statistical postprocessing to enhance prediction reliability.