Stillbirth rates: delivering estimates in 190 countries (original) (raw)
Related papers
Lancet, 2011
Background Stillbirths do not count in routine worldwide data-collating systems or for the Millennium Development Goals. Two sets of national stillbirth estimates for 2000 produced similar worldwide totals of 3·2 million and 3·3 million, but rates diff ered substantially for some countries. We aimed to develop more reliable estimates and a time series from 1995 for 193 countries, by increasing input data, using recent data, and applying improved modelling approaches.
Stillbirths: Where? When? Why? How to make the data count
Lancet, 2011
for The Lancet's Stillbirths Series steering committee* Despite increasing attention and investment for maternal, neonatal, and child health, stillbirths remain invisible-not counted in the Millennium Development Goals, nor tracked by the UN, nor in the Global Burden of Disease metrics. At least 2·65 million stillbirths (uncertainty range 2·08 million to 3·79 million) were estimated worldwide in 2008 (≥1000 g birthweight or ≥28 weeks of gestation). 98% of stillbirths occur in low-income and middle-income countries, and numbers vary from 2·0 per 1000 total births in Finland to more than 40 per 1000 total births in Nigeria and Pakistan. Worldwide, 67% of stillbirths occur in rural families, 55% in rural sub-Saharan Africa and south Asia, where skilled birth attendance and caesarean sections are much lower than that for urban births. In total, an estimated 1·19 million (range 0·82 million to 1·97 million) intrapartum stillbirths occur yearly. Most intrapartum stillbirths are associated with obstetric emergencies, whereas antepartum stillbirths are associated with maternal infections and fetal growth restriction. National estimates of causes of stillbirths are scarce, and multiple (>35) classifi cation systems impede international comparison. Immediate data improvements are feasible through household surveys and facility audit, and improvements in vital registration, including specifi c perinatal certifi cates and revised International
The Lancet, 2021
Background Stillbirths are a major public health issue and a sensitive marker of the quality of care around pregnancy and birth. The UN Global Strategy for Women's, Children's and Adolescents' Health (2016-30) and the Every Newborn Action Plan (led by UNICEF and WHO) call for an end to preventable stillbirths. A first step to prevent stillbirths is obtaining standardised measurement of stillbirth rates across countries. We estimated stillbirth rates and their trends for 195 countries from 2000 to 2019 and assessed progress over time. Methods For a systematic assessment, we created a dataset of 2833 country-year datapoints from 171 countries relevant to stillbirth rates, including data from registration and health information systems, household-based surveys, and population-based studies. After data quality assessment and exclusions, we used 1531 datapoints to estimate countryspecific stillbirth rates for 195 countries from 2000 to 2019 using a Bayesian hierarchical temporal sparse regression model, according to a definition of stillbirth of at least 28 weeks' gestational age. Our model combined covariates with a temporal smoothing process such that estimates were informed by data for country-periods with high quality data, while being based on covariates for country-periods with little or no data on stillbirth rates. Bias and additional uncertainty associated with observations based on alternative stillbirth definitions and source types, and observations that were subject to non-sampling errors, were included in the model. We compared the estimated stillbirth rates and trends to previously reported mortality estimates in children younger than 5 years. Findings Globally in 2019, an estimated 2•0 million babies (90% uncertainty interval [UI] 1•9-2•2) were stillborn at 28 weeks or more of gestation, with a global stillbirth rate of 13•9 stillbirths (90% UI 13•5-15•4) per 1000 total births. Stillbirth rates in 2019 varied widely across regions, from 22•8 stillbirths (19•8-27•7) per 1000 total births in west and central Africa to 2•9 (2•7-3•0) in western Europe. After west and central Africa, eastern and southern Africa and south Asia had the second and third highest stillbirth rates in 2019. The global annual rate of reduction in stillbirth rate was estimated at 2•3% (90% UI 1•7-2•7) from 2000 to 2019, which was lower than the 2•9% (2•5-3•2) annual rate of reduction in neonatal mortality rate (for neonates aged <28 days) and the 4•3% (3•8-4•7) annual rate of reduction in mortality rate among children aged 1-59 months during the same period. Based on the lower bound of the 90% UIs, 114 countries had an estimated decrease in stillbirth rate since 2000, with four countries having a decrease of at least 50•0%, 28 having a decrease of 25•0-49•9%, 50 having a decrease of 10•0-24•9%, and 32 having a decrease of less than 10•0%. For the remaining 81 countries, we found no decrease in stillbirth rate since 2000. Of these countries, 34 were in sub-Saharan Africa, 16 were in east Asia and the Pacific, and 15 were in Latin America and the Caribbean. Interpretation Progress in reducing the rate of stillbirths has been slow compared with decreases in the mortality rate of children younger than 5 years. Accelerated improvements are most needed in the regions and countries with high stillbirth rates, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa. Future prevention of stillbirths needs increased efforts to raise public awareness, improve data collection, assess progress, and understand public health priorities locally, all of which require investment. Funding Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation and the UK Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office.
Tropical Medicine and International Health, 2017
OBJECTIVE: To systematically map data availability for stillbirths from all countries with Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) surveys to outline the limitations and challenges with using the data for understanding the determinants and causes of stillbirths, and for cross-country comparisons. METHODS: We assessed data sources from the DHS programme website, including published DHS reports and their associated questionnaires for surveys completed between 2005 and 2015. RESULTS: Between 2005 and 2015, the DHS programme completed 114 surveys across 70 low- and middle-income countries. Ninety-eight (86.0%) surveys from 66 countries collected stillbirth data adequately to calculate a stillbirth rate, while 16 surveys from 12 countries did not. The method used to count stillbirths varied; 96 (84.2%) surveys used a live birth history with a reproductive calendar, while 16 (14.0%) surveys from 12 countries did a full pregnancy history. Based on assessment of questionnaires, antenatal and delivery care information for stillbirths was only available in 15 surveys (13.2%) from 12 countries (17.1%). Data on maternal conditions/complications were captured in 17 surveys (16.0%), but only in six could these be linked to stillbirths. Data on other recognised risk factors were scarce, varying considerably across surveys. Upon further examination of data sets from surveys with maternity care data on non-live births, we found incomplete capture of these data; only two surveys had adequately and completely collected these for stillbirths. CONCLUSION: Substantial variation exists in DHS surveys in the measurement of stillbirths, with limited scope to examine risk factors or causes. Without immediate improvements, our understanding of country-specific trends and determinants for stillbirths will remain hampered, limiting the development and prioritisation of programmatic interventions to prevent these deaths.
Stillbirths: rates, risk factors, and acceleration towards 2030
The Lancet, 2016
There were an estimated 2.7 million third trimester stillbirths in 2015 (uncertainty range: 2.5-3.0 million). Stillbirths have reduced more slowly than maternal or child mortality, which were explicitly targeted in the Millennium Development Goals. The Every Newborn Action Plan targets ≤12 stillbirths per 1000 births in every country by 2030. Ninety-two mainly high-income countries have already met this target, although with marked disparities. At least 67 countries, particularly in Africa and conflict affected areas will have to double current progress. Most (98%) stillbirths are in low and middle-income countries. Improved care at birth is essential to prevent 1.3 million intrapartum stillbirths, end preventable maternal and neonatal deaths, and also improve child development. Estimates for stillbirth causation are impeded by multiple classification systems, but for 18 countries with reliable data, congenital abnormalities account for a median of only 7.4%. Many conditions associated with stillbirths are potentially modifiable, and often co-exist such as maternal infections (population attributable fraction (PAF): malaria 8.2%, syphilis 7.7%), non-communicable diseases, nutrition and lifestyle factors (PAF around 10%) and age>35yrs (PAF: 6.7%). Common causal pathways are through impaired placental function, either leading to fetal growth restriction and/or preterm labour, or secondary to prolonged pregnancy (PAF: 14.2%). Two-thirds of newborns have their birth registered. However, less than 5% of neonatal deaths have death registration, and even fewer stillbirths. Recording and registering all facility births, stillbirths, neonatal, and maternal deaths would substantially increase data availability. Improved data alone will not save lives, but provide a tool for targeting interventions to reach >7500 women every day all over the world who experience the reality of stillbirth. Words 266 CONFIDENTIAL-DO NOT PASS ON OR CITE 3 Key messages What is happening to stillbirth rates? At the end of the Millennium Development Goal (MDG) era there are 2.7 million (uncertainty range: 2.5-3.0 million) third trimester stillbirths annually. Stillbirth rates have declined more slowly since 2000 (Average Annual Rate of Reduction (ARR), 1.8%), than either maternal (ARR=3.4%) or post-neonatal child mortality (ARR=4.5%) which had MDG targets and consequently received more global and country level attention. Better data are essential to accelerate progress towards the target of ≤12 stillbirths per 1000 births in every country by 2030 as outlined in the Every Newborn Action Plan (ENAP), linked to United Nations Secretary General's Every Woman Every Child. Where to focus? 10 countries account for two-thirds of stillbirths and most neonatal (60%) and maternal (58%) deaths estimated in 2015. Sixty-seven countries need to at least double current progress in reducing stillbirths, many of these in Africa. The highest stillbirth rates (SBR) are in conflict and emergency areas. Over 60% of stillbirths are in rural areas, affecting the poorest families. However, even in the 92 countries with a SBR less than 12 per 1000 marked disparities remain between and within countries. When and where in the health system to focus? Each year there are an estimated 1.3 million intrapartum stillbirths (deaths during labour), despite two-thirds of births worldwide now being in health facilities. High coverage of good quality care during labour and birth is key, and would also reduce maternal and neonatal deaths, prevent disability and improve child development, giving a high return on investment. Improved quality antenatal care is also important to maximise maternal and fetal well-being, to detect and manage underlying conditions, and to promote healthy behaviours and birth planning. Which conditions to focus on? There is a myth that most stillbirths are inevitable due to non-preventable congenital abnormalities, yet for countries with reliable data congenital abnormalities account for a median of only 7.4% of stillbirths. Conditions where population attributable fraction (PAF) could be estimated at global level include: maternal age>35yrs (PAF 6.7%), maternal infections (PAF malaria 8.2%, syphilis 7.7%), non-communicable diseases, nutrition and lifestyle factors, many of which co-exist (PAF each around 10%) and prolonged pregnancy (PAF 14.2%). Stillbirths commonly occur via fetal growth restriction and/or preterm labour. Which data are required for action? Two-thirds of the world's newborns have birth certificate, but death registration coverage is even lower at <5% of neonatal deaths and even fewer stillbirths. Recording and registering all facility births, stillbirths, neonatal deaths, and maternal deaths would substantially increase data availability. Reliable measurement of stillbirths outside facilities using household surveys remains problematic, yet no research is addressing this issue. Little has been invested in improving coverage data for maternal and newborn health interventions including those specific to stillbirths. The ENAP measurement improvement roadmap, includes coverage indicator validation, and development of tools such as a minimum perinatal dataset and perinatal audit, offering opportunities to improve data availability and use.
Making stillbirths count, making numbers talk - Issues in data collection for stillbirths
BMC Pregnancy and Childbirth, 2009
Background: Stillbirths need to count. They constitute the majority of the world's perinatal deaths and yet, they are largely invisible. Simply counting stillbirths is only the first step in analysis and prevention. From a public health perspective, there is a need for information on timing and circumstances of death, associated conditions and underlying causes, and availability and quality of care. This information will guide efforts to prevent stillbirths and improve quality of care.
Stillbirth 2010–2018: a prospective, population-based, multi-country study from the Global Network
Reproductive Health, 2020
Background Stillbirth rates are high and represent a substantial proportion of the under-5 mortality in low and middle-income countries (LMIC). In LMIC, where nearly 98% of stillbirths worldwide occur, few population-based studies have documented cause of stillbirths or the trends in rate of stillbirth over time. Methods We undertook a prospective, population-based multi-country research study of all pregnant women in defined geographic areas across 7 sites in low-resource settings (Kenya, Zambia, Democratic Republic of Congo, India, Pakistan, and Guatemala). Staff collected demographic and health care characteristics with outcomes obtained at delivery. Cause of stillbirth was assigned by algorithm. Results From 2010 through 2018, 573,148 women were enrolled with delivery data obtained. Of the 552,547 births that reached 500 g or 20 weeks gestation, 15,604 were stillbirths; a rate of 28.2 stillbirths per 1000 births. The stillbirth rates were 19.3 in the Guatemala site, 23.8 in the ...
2021
Worldwide, an estimated 5.1 million stillbirths and neonatal deaths occur annually, 98% in low- and middle-income countries. Limited coverage of civil and vital registration systems necessitates reliance on women’s retrospective reporting in household surveys for data on these deaths. The predominant platform, Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS), has evolved over the last 35 years and differs by country, yet no previous study has described these differences and the effects of these changes on stillbirth and neonatal death measurement. We undertook a review of DHS model questionnaires, protocols and methodological reports from DHS-I to DHS-VII, focusing on the collection of information on stillbirth and neonatal deaths describing differences in approaches, questionnaires and geographic reach up to December 9, 2019. We analysed the resultant data, applied previously used data quality criteria including ratios of stillbirth rate (SBR) to neonatal mortality rate (NMR) and early NMR (EN...
3.2 Million Stillbirths: Epidemiology and Overview of the Evidence Review
BMC Pregnancy and Childbirth, 2009
More than 3.2 million stillbirths occur globally each year, yet stillbirths are largely invisible in global data tracking, policy dialogue and programme implementation. This mismatch of burden to action is due to a number of factors that keep stillbirths hidden, notably a lack of data and a lack of consensus on priority interventions, but also to social taboos that reduce the visibility of stillbirths and the associated family mourning. Whilst there are estimates of the numbers of stillbirths, to date there has been no systematic global analysis of the causes of stillbirths. The multiple classifications systems in use are often complex and are primarily focused on high-income countries. We review available data and propose a programmatic classification that is feasible and comparable across settings. We undertook a comprehensive global review of available information on stillbirths in order to 1) identify studies that evaluated risk factors and interventions to reduce stillbirths, 2) evaluate the level of evidence for interventions, 3) place the available evidence for interventions in a health systems context to guide programme implementation, and 4) elucidate key implementation, monitoring, and research gaps. This first paper in the series outlines issues in stillbirth data availability and quality, the global epidemiology of stillbirths, and describes the methodology and framework used for the review of interventions and strategies.
Determinants of increases in stillbirth rates from 2000 to 2010
Canadian Medical Association Journal, 2013
The decline in stillbirth rates has levelled off in recent years in the United Kingdom (5.4 per 1000 total births in 2000 and 5.2 per 1000 in 2009 8) and stopped in the United States (6.2 per 1000 total births in 2003 and 2005 9). The prevention of stillbirth through early delivery of the compromised fetus is considered the cornerstone of modern obstetrics. 10 The recent trends in stillbirth rates are therefore disquieting given developments in fetal surveillance techniques, increased monitoring of high-risk pregnancies and simultaneous increases in ob stetric intervention. One potential explanation is the recent increase in risk factors for stillbirths in industrialized countries, namely increases in higher maternal age, weight before pregnancy and multiple births. 11-13 Another explanation is the widespread availability and increasing uptake of technologies such as prenatal diagnosis and pregnancy termination for severe congenital anomalies (which can result in a fetal death that satisfies the current definition of stillbirth). Although rising or static rates of stillbirth in high-income countries are of national and international concern, the underlying causes for the trends are best examined at a subnational level, because detailed information on maternal, fetal and infant characteristics and on obstetric care services is available only in high-quality perinatal databases that capture information on a regional basis. We therefore carried out a study to explain the recent temporal increase in stillbirth rates using data from the province of British Columbia, Canada.