APPLICATION OF MARKOV CHAIN MODEL IN CAREER PROGRESSION OF UNIVERSITY ACADEMIC STAFF: A Case Study of the Moi University-Eldoret, Kenya (original) (raw)

The use of Mathematical models for manpower planning has increased in recent times for better manpower planning quantitatively both in public and private sectors. In respect of organizational management, numerous previous studies have applied Markov chain models in describing title or level promotions, demotions, recruitment, withdrawals, or changes of different career development paths to confirm the actual manpower needs of an organization or predict the future manpower needs. The movements of staff within the grades or job group levels called transitions are usually the consequences of promotions or transfers between segments or wastage and recruitment into the system. In this study we determined and compared the transition rates of the academic staff of science and art faculties, the expected time taken before one attains the highest academic rank, and the absorption rates in the university. The data was collected from Moi University- Eldoret and the grades or job groups were: T...