Ballistic Missile Defence Research Papers (original) (raw)

2025, AM KALAVI ASLAN GIBI HALK ISRAEL IRAN SAVAŞI 2025

Önsöz "Am Kalavi" (İbranice: ‫כלביא‬ ‫)עם‬ ifadesi, Torah'da Bilam'ın İsrailoğulları'nı kutsarken söylediği bir deyimdir. Bamidar (Sayılar) 23:24 ayetinde geçer: ‫יתנשא"‬ ‫וכארי‬ ‫יקום‬ ‫כלביא‬ ‫"עם‬-yani "Halk, genç bir aslan gibi kalkar ve arslan gibi yükselir." Bu ifade, halkın cesaretini, uyanıklığını ve direncini simgeler. 2025 yılında İsrail'e yönelik büyük çaplı füze saldırısına karşı verilen savunma ve dayanışma mücadelesi, bu tarihî sözü hatırlatır nitelikte olduğu için bu operasyon, kamuoyunda 'Am Kalavi (Aslan Gibi Halk)' olarak anılmıştır. "Am Kalavi (Aslan Gibi Halk)" Operasyonu ve İran'ın İsrail'e Yönelik Balistik Füze Saldırıları

2025, Free Fall The Unpreparedness of Israel to the Missile Terror

In this Paper we describe the technical causes for which the Israeli missiles interceptors Iron-Dome, David-Sling, Arrow-2, Arrow-3 and Barak-8 cannot intercept rockets and missiles. In other words - they are not intercepting anything but their own selves.
We also disclose here the Israeli deliberately lying method by which Israeli Governments are deceitfully leading the whole world to believe in false performances of Israeli missiles interceptors.
Additionally, it is explained herein why a 100KW Laser gun currently being developed by Israel cannot intercept rockets and missiles.

2025

"A brilliant, remarkably concise explanation of the danger that U.S. and NATO military involvement in Ukraine has created. Needs to be read and pondered by every citizen capable of thinking rationally and responsibly about American and... more

2025, Security Nexus

The brief war between India and Pakistan last month did more than test military readiness. It exposed the uneven terrain of South Asia's defense-industrial capabilities. India's push for autonomy was stress-tested in real time. Pakistan's dependency on China narrowed its room for maneuver. Across the region, smaller states diversified, preferring co-development to procurement. For the United States and its partners, this was not just a wake-up call, but a mutual stress test. Credibility now hinges not on declarations but on delivery. In an era where deterrence must be reestablished through persistent presence, forward capability, and alliances that can perform under fire, South Asia's emerging industrial competition offers a stark lesson: the winners will not be those who promise the most, but those who deliver first, and who endure.

2025

President Reagan, in his March 1983 speech, announced his intention to investigate the possibility of defending the Nation against Soviet ballistic missiles. The speech was the start of the Strategic Defense Initiative and it has affected all strategic debate since. The program as originally set out was to be a research program to evaluate the possibility of defense against missiles, but clearly--at least early on--the ultimate defenses that were contemplated, and which created public support for the program, were robust, nation-wide defenses of population. Few doubt the fundamental stability of the current strategic relationship between the superpowers based on deterring attack through the mutual threat of assured counter-strike Iand retaliation. This stability requires a certain level of survivability of retaliatory forces but with submarines, bombers, and large numbers of ICBMs which could in theory be launched under attack, both sides could certainly mount devastating retaliations. Therefore, either side could destroy the other whether it struck first or second so there is no incentive Sto strike fit. Similarly, perfect nuclear defenses on both sides would be stable--at least considering only the offensive nuclear part of the relationship--because nuclear attack 3would have been made irrelevant and there would be no incentive to strike first or second. Even though the two end-points may be stable, there was some worry, even among 3 many of the proponents of strategic defenses, about stability during the transition to robust defenses. Very early on in the debate, general worries about arms races and more specific worries about crisis stability appeared. Partly, these concerns resulted from a cautious and perfectly reasonable conservatism regarding a nuclear relationship that is theoretically very dangerous but most agree is quite stable in its current state. Why sail unnecessarily into 3 uncharted waters? 1 Most transition studies have assumed implicitly that the ultimate goal of near-perfect defenses is feasible, the question has been how to get there safely. The near unanimous current judgment within the technical community is that near-perfect (say, 99% effective) * H-3 U

2025, Sejong Policy Brief

This paper focuses on the concept of ‘flexible redeployment’1)—namely, base modernization to enable potential, temporary, and/or emergency deployment of U.S.‘s tactical nuclear weapons on the Korean Peninsula. Elaborating flexible... more

2025, At the secret facility "Duga-2," almost an entire power unit of the station was operational! Holos Ukrainy. 2013. April 26. №81. P. 12.

Interview with Volodymyr Fedorovych Musiyets (born July 25, 1937, in the village of Hrybova Rudnya, Ripky district, Chernihiv region). In 1976, he was appointed chief of staff of military unit 74939 (Chernobyl-2). He served as its commander from 1984 to 1988. From the Chernihiv region, a powerful shortwave pulse was transmitted into the ionosphere, reflecting back, "covering" the USA, and returning. In Chernobyl-2, a unique antenna captured the "seen" signals.

2025, Defence R&D Canada

Ballistic, advanced cruise, and hypersonic missiles pose a significant threat to global security and a major challenge to modern military operations. Strategic Integrated Air and Missile Defense (IAMD) aims to create a comprehensive,... more

2025, Cooperative Multipolar System: In Quest for a New World Order

2025, FSEI

This scientific article covers an exceptionally comprehensive and deeply analytical examination of the historically significant and technologically complex concept of space-based laser shields. It executes a highly detailed, multi-layered comparison between influential fictional representations stemming from the apex of the late Cold War-focusing critically on Tom Clancy's intricately researched novel "The Cardinal of the Kremlin" and the interactive, culturally resonant paradigms of computer games prevalent during that era-and the profoundly challenging technological, strategic, economic, and political realities, traced from their historical roots to their contemporary manifestations. The analysis meticulously dissects the technical assumptions, depicted capabilities, and narrative functions of laser shields in these popular media, contrasting them rigorously against the documented objectives, demonstrable limitations, immense projected costs, specific experimental programs (e.g., Zenith Star, MIRACL tests), and intense internal and external debates surrounding the U.S. Strategic Defense Initiative (SDI) of the 1980s. Furthermore, it charts the subsequent decades of development in directed energy weapons (DEW), encompassing advancements in various laser types (chemical, solidstate, fiber), beam control, power systems, and sensor technologies, alongside the persistent, fundamental obstacles that continue to impede the realization of large-scale space-based missile defense. This study traces the co-evolution of the laser shield concept and strategic thought, mapping its transformation from a revolutionary, albeit controversial, vision aimed at transcending Mutually Assured Destruction (MAD), through periods of fluctuating investment and shifting technological focus, to the current landscape characterized by more targeted DEW applications (tactical defense, potential counter-hypersonic roles, space control considerations) and enduring anxieties about space weaponization in a complex multipolar world. The article emphasizes, with extensive supporting evidence drawn from historical records, scientific literature, and strategic analyses, the profound and persistent delta between the often-idealized e ectiveness portrayed in fiction and the incremental, problem-ridden progress observed in realworld engineering and deployment. It provides an exhaustive discussion of the interwoven technical physics constraints (e.g., di raction limits, thermal blooming, power scaling laws), strategic stability paradoxes (o ense-defense dynamics, security dilemmas), geopolitical ramifications (arms race potential, treaty implications), economic burdens (lifecycle costs, opportunity costs), and innovation pathways related to this enduring techno-strategic challenge, o ering critical lessons learned and nuanced future outlooks.

2025, TGP | The Geopolitics

onald Trump’s handling of the conflict in Ukraine reached its turning point with thehigh-level meetings between Russian and US diplomats in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, inFebruary, to discuss an end to the conflict. Without Ukrainian and Europeanrepresentatives, the new administration in Washington indicated that the solution to the conflictwould not necessarily come from Kiev or Brussels.

2025

Este artigo avalia a política de defesa e às questões de segurança de Taiwan e identifica as linhas de orientação deste domínio tendo em conta, por um lado, as necessidades de reestruturação interna das forças armadas; por outro, o conjunto dos desafios tradicionais e emergentes no espaço da Ásia-Pacífico. Salienta-se, desde logo, a mais central das preocupações, a relação inconstante com a China, dividida entre uma crescente cooperação do domínio socioeconómico e a perpetuação do conflito político-militar. Acrescentam-se novos factores conjunturais, desde ameaças como o terrorismo e os desastres ambientais, ao desenhar do puzzle geopolítico regional e à intensa diplomacia económica. Neste contexto, a análise centra-se nas principais preocupações para o quadro da segurança de Taiwan.

2025

The thesis of this paper is that there is much more similarity between the nuclear doctrines of the three allied nuclear powers than generally thought. Differences concern the area of policies rather than doctrines. French doctrine is much closer to US and UK doctrines than generally thought. For historical and political reasons, there has always been a tendency to exaggerate the differences in the ways the three nuclear powers view their nuclear arsenals: France, in particular, has always been keen to manifest its "difference" since it left the NATO integrated structure in 1967.

2025

La sexta generación de aviación tendrá que enfrentarse a un entorno altamente congestionado de amenazas (enjambres de drones y misiles hipersónicos), requiriendo sistemas antimisiles mucho más avanzados que los actuales, donde las armas de energía dirigida serán cruciales pudiendo llegar a reemplazar al cañón y los misiles aire-aire en el combate aéreo cercano.
En este trabajo se plantea un algoritmo para el cálculo de estrategias de evasión óptimas aplicando la teoría de control, a partir de las funciones de transferencia del sistema de guiado de las amenazas, transformando las señales al plano de Laplace, y calculando un sistema de ecuaciones diferenciales, el cual puede resolverse y obtener los extremos relativos de la curva de distancia de paso amenaza-avión atacado.
Identificando al agresor con los alertadores de amenazas del avión atacado se pueden presentar dos situaciones. Que se conozcan las constantes de tiempo de su función de transferencia del sistema de guiado, con lo que el sistema de ecuaciones diferenciales puede integrarse numéricamente y calcular la distancia de paso.
Si no se conocen estas constantes de tiempo de la amenaza, con los alertadores de amenaza del avión atacado se obtiene una distancia de paso real a comienzo del vuelo, y mediante una combinación de algoritmos (Meméticos y Redes Neuronales Artificiales), comparar la distancia de paso real con la calculada al integrar el sistema de ecuaciones diferenciales, determinando las constantes de tiempo en un proceso de optimización iterativo.
Finalmente, las amenazas hostiles se clasifican en función de su distancia de paso en dos grupos, adoptando el avión atacado estrategias de evasión óptimas que maximicen la distancia de paso contra las amenazas del primer grupo, mientras que aquellas amenazas donde no es posible maximizar la distancia de paso serán interceptadas con los dispositivos de energía dirigida instalados en el avión atacado.

2025

El objeto de este trabajo consiste en la determinación de maniobras evasivas óptimas de una aeronave contra misil, utilizando la teoría de control. Partiendo de las funciones de transferencia de cada uno de los bloques del sistema de guiado, aplicando la transformada de Laplace a las señales, y empleando la teoría de control, se obtiene un sistema de ecuaciones diferenciales que describe la dinámica del proceso, el cual una vez resuelto permitiría obtener los extremos relativos de la gráfica de distancia de paso. El principal problema en esta fase es conocer las constantes de tiempo que caracterizan la función de transferencia. Si los sensores encargados de la detección de amenazas del avión atacado, son capaces de asegurar, con elevada probabilidad, la identificación concreta del misil agresor y se conoce su función de transferencia (dentro de un catálogo conocido a través de técnicas de inteligencia), el sistema de ecuaciones diferenciales puede integrarse numéricamente y calcularse la distancia de paso misil-avión atacado. En caso de no conocer las constantes de tiempo, se considera proceder a usar un algoritmo genético, integrar el sistema de ecuaciones diferenciales y obtener una distancia de paso calculada. Si los sensores de detección de amenazas del avión atacado, obtienen la distancia de paso real en una fase inicial del vuelo, se puede comparar la distancia de paso real con la distancia de paso calculada y aplicando el algoritmo genético en un proceso de optimización iterativo, converger a unas constantes de tiempo donde la distancia de paso real y calculada estén muy próximas.

2025

Aircraft that operate in a "hot" zone, under the simultaneous threat of several missiles, need to have technologies that effectively integrate evasive maneuvers, interference (Electronic Countermeasures or ECM), decoys (chaff, flares, ...), etc .; that provide advantages over the superior maneuverability of the missiles. In this context, it is clear that the missile is superior to the airplane in terms of maneuverability and thrust-to-weight ratio, with the aircraft attacked having resources that compensate for this superior maneuverability. With a cost much lower than the current combat aircraft, the missiles pose a very important threat to the crews, being necessary the development of strategies about how an aircraft can make an effective and effective defense against missile. In this way, the theory of control applied to the determination of optimal maneuvers of an aircraft that has been illuminated by a missile, aims to provide technical support to the decision-making process of the pilot of the aircraft.

2024, Toda Peace Institute Report

This paper posits that the combination of emerging and disruptive technologies and strategic conventional
weapons may have a revolutionary impact on the future of nuclear weapons. While emerging and disruptive
technologies may yield additional arguments to keep relying on nuclear weapons to defend against them,
they are often regarded as destabilizing for the global nuclear order, which makes it more likely that nuclear
deterrence will fail and nuclear weapons will be used. At the same time, strategic conventional weapon
systems (including hypersonic missiles) have deterrence characteristics comparable to nuclear weapons.
Because they could be used in a way that at least seeks to comply with jus in bello principles, by minimizing
civilian harm (in comparison with nuclear weapons), they are also more credible as a deterrent. This may in
turn increase political willingness to seriously consider fully delegitimizing nuclear weapons, and eventually
replacing them with the default option: modern conventional weapons.

2024, https://operamundi.uol.com.br/opiniao/o-golpe-que-emudeceu-a-europa-pode-abrir-as-portas-do-inferno/

Na dialética da espada e do escudo, que dinamiza o desenvolvimento da tecnologia bélica, ainda não há escudo que possa parar o golpe da espada que representa o Oreshnik russo

2024, NDU Journal

The reasons for the birth and continuation of India's BMD programme argue for security concerns. However, those are not reflected in on-ground realities. The paper explores said gap and the resulting security implications and highlights defence policy options. The drivers behind India's BMD programme can be analysed by considering the external and internal political drivers that shape India's security interests. India's BMD programme started before formally declaring itself a nuclear weapon state. It grew parallel with the Indo-US strategic partnership to build India's political and military standing as part of the US-led Indo-Pacific strategy. An increase in India's military potential will likely have severe repercussions for security and strategic stability between two nuclear neighbours, India and Pakistan. BMDs could lead to a false sense of protection for the possessor state and provide an incentive for launching a 'first strike' against the adve...

2024

The New Aviation, Missile Technology, and the Future Air Defense Systems

2024, KDR South Korea

이 글은 네루대학에서 정치학 박사학위를 한 마힌드라 교수가 쓴 글로 북한의 호전성에 대하여 그 지정 학적인 원인이 무엇인가 분석하고 있다. 인도의 학자들은 한반도 문제나 북핵 상황에 대하여 비교적 아웃 사이더의 입장에서 객관적인 아이디어를 제공한다. 마힌드라 교수는 김정은 시대 이후 북한의 핵실험과 미 사일 시험에 대하여 분석하면서 결국|대화를 재개하는 것만이 문제를 해결할 수 있다고 주장한다.

2024

The outbreak of war in Ukraine and Western
support for the Ukrainian state have brought up
the role of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization
(NATO) in international politics, a subject debated
in the press and media, in universities, in states,
and in international organizations. In hasty
assessments, the argument that emerges is that
the war, particularly the Russian administration
of Vladimir Putin, has given NATO a new reason
of life, since it no longer had any reason to
exist in the face of the defeat and dissolution of
the USSR. Our aim in this article is therefore to
demonstrate that NATO has always had a reason
to exist in order to fulfill the function assigned
to it by the Western powers: to eliminate
politically and militarily obstacles to the
expansion of Western capitalism. Because it is an
international political and military organization
linked to the capitalist powers led by the United
States, with its smaller European partners, it is
an organization whose dynamic is expansionist.
So, our object is NATO in its founding treaty,
institutional organization, strategic concepts,
summit meetings, geopolitical expansion,
partnerships, and military operations.
Keywords: NATO. Capitalism. Expansion.

2024, Russia Strategy on Geopolitics

This paper examines the interplay between historical territorial concerns and modern geopolitics through a focused case study of Russia's strategy in Ukraine and the Baltic states. The analysis highlights how Russia's imperial and Soviet legacies inform its contemporary geopolitical ambitions, particularly the reclaiming of territories associated with ethnic Russian populations. By exploring the significance of Ukraine as a geopolitical buffer and the strategic importance of the Baltic states within NATO's eastern flank, the paper delves into the complexities of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and Russia's hybrid warfare tactics. Additionally, it considers the implications for European security, U.S.-Russia relations, and the evolving dynamics of China-Russia cooperation. The study concludes with policy recommendations for NATO, the EU, Ukraine, the Baltic states, and global powers, emphasizing the need for a balanced approach to deterrence and diplomacy in a rapidly changing geopolitical landscape.

2024, Alternatives: Turkish Journal of International Relations

This paper will build on ballistic missile defense in Europe. In the first part, a brief historical overview will place the current public management issue into light. This is followed by a discussion of the main actors in the international debate, the problems that arise and the available options and recommendations to address missile defense. In the second part, differences between George W. Bush and Barack H. Obama will analyze under the title “Ballistic Missile Defense in Europe: Evolving Problems during Change in Presidential Administration"

2024, Defense One

As the Pentagon builds huge constellations to shrug off conventional ASAT weapons, potential adversaries are taking things to a terrifying new level. Nearly six decades after the Outer Space Treaty banned military activities in space,... more

2024, ResearchGate

The rapid advancements in missile technology, particularly hypersonic flight and highly maneuverable ballistic systems, have exposed critical vulnerabilities in traditional missile defense frameworks. These evolving threats—characterized... more

2024

İran'ın 1 Ekim 2024 akşamı İsrail'e karşı yürüttüğü sınırlı füze saldırısı hakkında değerlendirmeler.

2024, Uluslararası İlişkiler Dergisi

ABD ve NATO'nun son yıllarda üzerine önem ve öncelikle eğildiği füze savunma kalkanının temelinde, İran'ın nükleer silah edinme emellerinin doğrudan bir uzantısı olarak değerlendirilen İran'ın balistik füze envanterinden duyulan kaygılar ve tehdit algılamaları yatmaktadır. ABD'nin 2010 yılında gündeme getirdiği ve NATO ülkeleri nezdinde kabul gören EPAA (European Phased Adaptive Approach) adlı füze savunma yaklaşımı, Türkiye'nin füze tehdidi karşısındaki geleneksel yaklaşımlarıyla uyumlu olduğundan Ankara tarafından da benimsenmiş ve Türkiye EPAA için kritik önemde bir ülke konumuna yükselmiştir. Diğer taraftan, aslında ABD'nin tahsis ettiği askeri ve teknolojik kaynaklar üzerine inşa edilen EPAA yapılanmasında, NATO'nun Avrupalı müttefiklerinin katkıları ve olası bir çatışmanın seyri üzerindeki kontrolleri sınırlı düzeyde kaldığı gibi, EPAA'ya yönelik olarak önemli bazı teknolojik, operasyonel, takvimsel ve siyasi/stratejik belirsizlikler mevcuttur. Diğer taraftan, EPAA'nın ilerleyen safhalarında Türkiye'nin yeni bazı talep ve oldu-bittilerle karşı karşıya kalabileceği ihtimali göz ardı edilmemeli, bu olasılıkların Rusya ile ilişkiler ve Batı ile ilişkilerde ABD-Avrupa dengesinin gözetilmesi gibi farklı açılardan hesaba katılması gerekmektedir.

2024, Russian warfare and influence: States in the proximity of Russia

The turmoil descending on Europe with Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022 has altered many of the pre-existing conceptions of Russia as an actor in European security. Russia’s first invasion of Ukraine and the annexation of... more

2024

The Cold War ended with the fall of the Soviet Union in the early 1990s. Things were fine for a time, but in recent years tensions have begun to emerge between these two nations. Policy makers in both Washington and Moscow seem to be... more

2024, Kriter Dergi

Türkiye'nin hava savunmaya yönelik bugüne kadar hayata geçirdiği tüm projeleri kapsayacak olan Çelik Kubbe, Türkiye'nin katmanlı hava savunma sistemlerinin entegre bir şekilde tüm algılayıcı ve silahların ortak bir ağ yapısı altında çalışmasını sağlaması açısından önemli bir eşiği temsil ediyor. Böylece hava sahasında, tam hakimiyet sağlanırken oluşabilecek tehditlere karşı daha etkili ve hızlı bir şekilde karşılık verilebilecek.

2024

The conventional, missile and nuclear weapons arms race between India and Pakistan intensifies insecurity in the subcontinent and poses serious risks of strategic instability in South Asia. These security dilemmas demand a realistic agenda focused on practical confidence building measures in areas such as conflict prevention, misperception, and damage limitation if conflict occurs. Therefore it is imperative that New Delhi and Islamabad develop a bilateral arms control regime.

2024, Sabah

Günümüz güvenlik ortamında sürekli dönüşen tehditlere karşın etkin çözümlere sahip olmak tüm modern orduların temel gereksinimi durumundadır. Türk güvenlik güçlerinin özgün nitelikte yerli çözümlerle donatılmasına yönelik iradenin sergilendiği Savunma Sanayii İcra Komitesi (SSİK) son toplantısından da bu yönde çok önemli bir karar çıktı. Türkiye'nin hava sahasının korunmasında "Çelik Kubbe" projesi ile yeni bir döneme girildi. Böylelikle hava savunmaya yönelik Türkiye'nin sahip olduğu kabiliyetler aynı amaca hizmet edecek bir ağ yapısında birleştirilecek. Sürekli yerli ve milli çözümlerle güncellenecek, yeni kabiliyetler kazandırılacak olan Çelik Kubbe ülke hava sahasındaki egemenliğin, etkinliğin kilidi olacaktır.

2024, GUERRA DA UCRÂNIA COMO VETOR DE UMA NOVA FASE DA PROLIFERAÇÃO NUCLEAR

2024, A Importância da Capacidade de Dissuasão Nuclear: o Caso da Ucrânia

O Objetivo deste artigo é averiguar a importância da capacidade de dissuasão nuclear, a partir do caso da Ucrânia – tendo em vista o atual contexto de guerra com a Rússia – para evitar invasões/investidas militares. Neste caso específico,... more

2024, AVERIGUAÇÃO DO PORQUÊ DA SAÍDA DOS ESTADOS UNIDOS DO INTERMEDIATE-RANGE NUCLEAR FORCES TREAT (INF)

Este trabalho tem como objetivo averiguar quais motivos levaram os Estados Unidos da América (EUA) a saírem do Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (INF). Este acordo, celebrado entre norte-americanos e soviéticos em 1987, visava... more

2024, The American Conservative

Expansion was a misstep, but the situation is not unsalvageable—history offers clues to a better way. By any plausible metrics, NATO in its current form is an ever pressing burden on American shoulders. It need not be. If a grand bargain between Russia and a dormant defensive NATO helps Washington focus more on the rising dark clouds in the east, then that’s a good compromise. To reach that stage, drastic and original measures might be necessary. At the risk of mixing metaphors, Fenrir might have to cut the knot instead of trying to untie it. That starts with a reckoning with history.

2024, Observador

Cerca de 30 anos após a queda do Muro de Berlim (Nov. 1989), o fim da Guerra Fria (Dez. 1989) e a dissolução da União Soviética (Dez. 1991), será talvez instrutivo revisitar as análises, à época, de três académicos americanos: Francis... more

2024, International Security

Natio nal Mi ss ile D efens e If U.S. national missile defense (NMD) were only about countering ballistic missiles deployed by rogue states, 1 then whether to deploy limited NMD would be a "normal" national security issue. The military-technical question would concern feasibility: Would the missile defense work against the small missile forces that a few states may eventually deploy? The military-political questions would concern the risks to the United States of being vulnerable to rogue-state missiles and the amount Washington should be willing to pay for insurance against these risks. What makes NMD special is its unavoidable connection to U.S. strategic nuclear policy and to the United States' political relationships with Russia and China. Both states view U.S. NMD as a threat to their strategic nuclear capabilities and their relationship with the United States. If technically successful, even the limited NMD planned by the Clinton administration might in some scenarios undermine the capability of Russian nuclear forces. Russia will nd limited NMD still more worrisome, anticipating that initial U.S. deployments would be followed by larger ones. The NMD system under development poses a larger and more immediate challenge to Chinese nuclear capabilities, which currently include only about 20 single-warhead intercontinental-range missiles. The Bush administration has called for more robust and ambitious NMD-possibly increasing the number of ground-based interceptors and adding sea-and space-based interceptors-which promises to make it still more threatening. 2 Moreover, some proponents favor deploying NMD not only against rogue states, but also against China and possibly Russia. For example,

2024, International Security

Fetter argue that the United States should not pursue a nuclear damage-limitation capability against China: U.S. nuclear superiority is impossible to maintain beyond the short term, and its pursuit will provide few beneªts while incurring serious costs. In an extended arms race, however, we argue that U.S. damagelimitation capabilities are far more technically plausible than Glaser and Fetter conclude. Further, damage limitation capabilities can make a vital contribution to U.S. strategy. Glaser and Fetter argue that various countermeasures can thwart U.S. surveillance systems relevant to hunting mobile intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) (pp. 68-70). They further argue that China can thwart attacks on its command and control (C2) by dispersing it to mobile platforms, pre-delegating launch authority, and adopting a launch-on-warning posture (pp. 73-74). truncated analysis. Glaser and Fetter conclude their analysis without extending the measure-countermeasure competition very far. In so doing, they fall prey to the "fallacy of the last move," as though there were no counters to the countermeasures they propose. 2 For instance, China can employ decoy mobile missile complexes, but countering decoys is routine in long-term military competitions. 3 In the case of surveillance of mobile missiles, U.S. space-based radar (SBR) or other

2024, Intercept 1961: The Birth of Soviet Missile Defense

330 pages with 120+ figures and 200+ references Index: 950+ entries, including 150+individuals More than 50 years ago, pioneering scientists and engineers in the Soviet Union and the United States searched for a technical means of defense against ballistic missiles. This book tells the little-known story of the earliest breakthroughs which paved the way for the emergence of a powerful missile defense complex in the Soviet Union, a major factor in the Cold War.

2024

I will discuss solutions to the Syrian conflict while scoping the main and critical underpinnings of how Syria began to enter this “state of emergency” within the Middle-East. Therefore, the Syrian conflict has indeed, got worse over... more

2024

Geçtiğimiz 14 Nisan gecesi İran’ın İsrail’e karşı başlattığı misilleme saldırısı ile ilgili olarak, bu harekâtı irdeleyen makalemi bilgilerinize sunarım.