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ZCZC MIATCPAT1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN HURRICANE LENNY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 7 AM EST MON NOV 15 1999

...HURRICANE LENNY MOVING EASTWARD OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF HAITI. THE WARNING AND WATCH FOR JAMAICA MAY BE LOWERED LATER TODAY.

HURRICANE AND/OR TROPICAL STORM WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...PUERTO RICO...AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS LATER TODAY.

AT 7 AM EST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LENNY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.7 WEST OR ABOUT 175 MILES...280 KM...SOUTH OF KINGSTON JAMAICA.

LENNY IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 971 MB...28.67 INCHES.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH LENNY. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.

STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF JAMAICA WILL LIKELY DIMINISH LATER TODAY.

REPEATING THE 7 AM EST POSITION...15.4 N... 76.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...EAST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 971 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 10 AM EST.

BEVEN

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