Harris Had Stronger Debate, Polls Find, but the Race Remains Deadlocked (original) (raw)
Politics|Harris Had Stronger Debate, Polls Find, but the Race Remains Deadlocked
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/19/us/politics/harris-trump-times-siena-poll-pennsylvania.html
Advertisement
You have a preview view of this article while we are checking your access. When we have confirmed access, the full article content will load.
Kamala Harris holds an edge over Donald J. Trump in the battleground state of Pennsylvania. But new surveys found that the race remains a tossup nationally.
The New York Times
Philadelphia Inquirer
Siena College Poll
Sept. 11 to 16
If the 2024 presidential election were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were Kamala Harris and Donald Trump?
Among likely voters. Shaded areas represent margins of error.
Published Sept. 19, 2024Updated Nov. 6, 2024
Kamala Harris overwhelmingly impressed voters in her debate with Donald J. Trump, a new set of polls from The New York Times, The Philadelphia Inquirer and Siena College found, but she has failed so far to seize a decisive advantage in the presidential campaign.
The race is deadlocked nationally. Yet in the critical battleground state of Pennsylvania, Ms. Harris has a lead of four percentage points — a slight edge that is unchanged since early August. She has reassembled much of the core Democratic coalition in the state, winning the support of Black voters, younger voters and women there.
_[Combined, the two polls are a bit of a puzzle,_ Nate Cohn writes.]
The vice president received far stronger reviews of her debate performance last week than did Mr. Trump, with 67 percent of U.S. likely voters saying she did well compared with 40 percent for him. A majority of voters in every racial group, age bracket and education level — even white voters without a college degree, who are typically the former president’s most loyal demographic — gave her a positive review.
The New York Times
Philadelphia Inquirer
Siena College Poll
Sept. 11 to 16
How well do you think Kamala Harris did in the presidential debate?
How well do you think Donald Trump did in the presidential debate?
But even that was not enough to jostle a race that appears destined to become a battle of inches this fall, after a summer of tumult and upheaval.
Nationally, Mr. Trump and Ms. Harris are knotted at 47 percent. In Pennsylvania, Ms. Harris leads, 50 percent to 46 percent. The surveys were conducted almost entirely before the second apparent assassination attempt against Mr. Trump last Sunday.
| National | Pa. | |
|---|---|---|
| Times/Inquirer/Siena Likely voters Sept. 11–16 | Even | Harris +4 |
| Polling average voters As of 5 a.m. Sept. 19 | Harris +3 | Harris +2 |
| Fox News/Beacon & Shaw Likely voters Sept. 13–16 | Harris +2 | No poll |
| Ipsos/ABC News Likely voters Sept. 11–13 | Harris +6 | No poll |
| AtlasIntel Likely voters Sept. 11–12 | Trump +3 | No poll |
| Ipsos/Reuters Registered voters Sept. 11–12 | Harris +5 | No poll |
| Marist College Likely voters Sept. 12–17 | No poll | Even |
| Quinnipiac University Likely voters Sept. 12–16 | No poll | Harris +5 |
| Suffolk University/USA Today Likely voters Sept. 11–14 | No poll | Harris +3 |
| National | MarginPre-Debate | MarginPost-Debate |
|---|---|---|
| Times/Inquirer/Siena Among likely voters nationwide | Trump +2 | Even |
| Polling average Among all recent national polls | Harris +3 | Harris +3 |
| Pennsylvania | MarginPre-Debate | MarginPost-Debate |
|---|---|---|
| Times/Inquirer/Siena Among likely voters in Pennsylvania | Harris +4 | Harris +4 |
| Polling average Among all recent Pennsylvania polls | Harris <1 | Harris +2 |
Thank you for your patience while we verify access. If you are in Reader mode please exit and log into your Times account, or subscribe for all of The Times.
Thank you for your patience while we verify access.
Already a subscriber? Log in.
Want all of The Times? Subscribe.
Advertisement