Climate-model induced differences in the 21st century global and regional glacier contributions to sea-level rise (original) (raw)

Access this article

Log in via an institution

Subscribe and save

• Starting from 10 chapters or articles per month
• Access and download chapters and articles from more than 300k books and 2,500 journals
• Cancel anytime View plans

Buy Now

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

References

• Arendt A, 77 others (2012) Randolph glacier inventory [v1.0]: a dataset of global glacier outlines. http://www.glims.org/RGI. Global Land Ice Measurements from Space, Boulder Colorado, USA
• Bahr DB (1997) Global distributions of glacier properties: a stochastic scaling paradigm. Water Resour Res 33:1669–1679
  Article Google Scholar
• Bahr DB, Meier MF, Peckham SD (1997) The physical basis of glacier volume-area scaling. J Geophys Res 102(B9):20355–20362
  Article Google Scholar
• Bliss A, Hock R, Cogley JG (2013) A new inventory of mountain glaciers and ice caps for the Antarctic periphery. Ann Glaciol 54:191–199. doi:10.3189/2013AoG63A377
  Google Scholar
• Chen J, Ohmura A (1990) Estimation of Alpine glacier water resources and their change since the 1870s. IAHS Publ 193:127–135
  Google Scholar
• Chinn T, Winkler S, Salinger MJ, Haakensen N (2005) Recent glacier advances in Norway and New Zealand: a comparison of their glaciological and meteorological causes. Geogr Ann 87A:141–157
  Article Google Scholar
• Cogley JG (2009a) A more complete version of the World Glacier Inventory. Ann Glaciol 50:32–38
  Article Google Scholar
• Cogley JG (2009b) Geodetic and direct mass-balance measurements: comparison and joint analysis. Ann Glaciol 50:96–100
  Article Google Scholar
• de Woul M, Hock R (2005) Static mass-balance sensitivity of Arctic glaciers and ice caps using a degree-day approach. Ann Glaciol 42:217–224
  Article Google Scholar
• Dee DP, 35 others (2011) The ERA-Interim reanalysis: configuration and performance of the data assimilation system. Q J R Meteorol Soc 137(656):553–597. doi:10.1002/qj.828
• Dyurgerov MB (2010) Reanalysis of glacier changes: from the IGY to the IPY, 1960–2008. Data of Glaciological Studies, Publication 108, Moscow
• Ettema J, van den Broeke MR, van Meijgaard E, van den Berg WJ, Bamber JL, Box JE, Bales RC (2009) Higher surface mass balance of the Greenland ice sheet revealed by high-resolution climate modeling. Geophys Res Lett 36(L12501). doi:10.1029/2009GL038110
• Giesen RH, Oerlemans J (2010) Response of the ice cap Hardangerjøkulen in southern Norway to the 20th and 21st century climates. Cryosphere 4:191–213. doi:10.5194/tc-4-191-2010
  Article Google Scholar
• Giesen RH, Oerlemans J (2012) Calibration of a surface mass balance model for global-scale applications. Cryosphere 6:1463–1481. doi:10.5194/tc-6-1463-2012
  Article Google Scholar
• Heikkilä U, Sandvik A, Sorteberg A (2011) Dynamical downscaling of ERA-40 in complex terrain using the WRF regional climate model. Clim Dyn 37:1551–1564. doi:10.1007/s00382-010-0928-6
  Article Google Scholar
• Huss M, Jouvet G, Farinotti D, Bauder A (2010) Future high-mountain hydrology: a new parameterization of glacier retreat. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 14:815–829. doi:10.5194/hess-14-815-2010
  Article Google Scholar
• Immerzeel WW, van Beek LPH, Konz M, Shrestha AB, Bierkens MFP (2012) Hydrological response to climate change in a glacierized catchment in the Himalayas. Clim Change 110:721–736. doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0143-4
  Article Google Scholar
• IPCC (2007) Climate change 2007: the physical science basis. In: Solomon S, Qin D, Manning M, Chen Z, Marquis M, Averyt KB, Tignor M, Miller HL (eds) Contribution of working group I to the 4th assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
  Google Scholar
• Jacob T, Wahr J, Pfeffer WT (2012) Recent contributions of glaciers and ice caps to sea level rise. Nature 482:514–518. doi:10.1038/nature10847
  Article Google Scholar
• Landerer FW, Jungclaus JH, Marotzke J (2007) Regional dynamic and steric sea level change in response to the IPCC-A1B scenario. J Phys Oceanogr 37:296–312. doi:10.1175/JPO3013.1
  Article Google Scholar
• Marzeion B, Jarosch AH, Hofer M (2012) Past and future sea-level change from the surface mass balance of glaciers. Cryosphere 6(6):1295–1322. doi:10.5194/tc-6-1295-2012
  Article Google Scholar
• Meehl GA, Covey C, Delworth T, Latif M, McAvaney B, Mitchell JFB, Stouffer RJ, Taylor KE (2007) The WCRP CMIP3 multi-model dataset: a new era in climate change research. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 88:1383–1394
  Article Google Scholar
• Mihalcea C, Mayer C, Diolaiuti G, D’Agata C, Smiraglia C, Lambrecht A, Vuillermoz E, Tartari G (2008) Spatial distribution of debris thickness and melting from remote-sensing and meteorological data, at debris-covered Baltoro glacier, Karakoram, Pakistan. Ann Glaciol 48:49–57
  Article Google Scholar
• Mitchell TD, Jones PD (2005) An improved method of constructing a database of monthly climate observations and associated high-resolution grids. Int J Clim 25:693–712
  Article Google Scholar
• Nakicenovic N, 27 others (2000) IPCC special report on emissions scenarios. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
• New M, Lister D, Hulme M, Makin I (2002) A high-resolution data set of surface climate over global land areas. Clim Res 21:1–25
  Article Google Scholar
• Oerlemans J (1991) The mass balance of the Greenland ice sheet: sensitivity to climate change as revealed by energy-balance modelling. Holocene 1:40–49
  Article Google Scholar
• Oerlemans J, Knap WH (1998) A 1 year record of global radiation and albedo in the ablation zone of Morteratschgletscher, Switzerland. J Glaciol 44:231–238
  Google Scholar
• Oerlemans J, Bassford RP, Chapman W, Dowdeswell JA, Glazovsky AF, Hagen JO, Melvold K, de Ruyter de Wildt M, van de Wal RSW (2005) Estimating the contribution of Arctic glaciers to sea-level change in the next 100 years. Ann Glaciol 42:230–236
  Article Google Scholar
• Oerlemans J, Giesen RH, van den Broeke MR (2009) Retreating alpine glaciers: increased melt rates due to accumulation of dust (Vadret da Morteratsch, Switzerland). J Glaciol 55:729–736
  Article Google Scholar
• Pardaens AK, Gregory JM, Lowe JA (2010) A model study of factors influencing projected changes in regional sea level over the twenty-first century. Clim Dyn 36:2015–2033. doi:10.1007/s00382-009-0738-x
  Article Google Scholar
• Paul F, Kääb A, Maisch M, Kellenberger T, Haeberli W (2004) Rapid disintegration of Alpine glaciers observed with satellite data. Geophys Res Lett 31(L21402). doi:10.1029/2004GL020816
• Pelto MS (2006) The current disequilibrium of North Cascade glaciers. Hydrol Proc 20(4):769–779. doi:10.1002/hyp.6132
  Article Google Scholar
• Radić V, Hock R (2010) Regional and global volumes of glaciers derived from statistical upscaling of glacier inventory data. J Geophys Res 115(F01010). doi:10.1029/2009JF001373
• Radić V, Hock R (2011) Regionally differentiated contribution of mountain glaciers and ice caps to future sea-level rise. Nat Geosci 4:91–94. doi:10.1038/NGEO1052
  Article Google Scholar
• Raper SCB, Braithwaite RJ (2006) Low sea level rise projections from mountain glaciers and icecaps under global warming. Nature 439:311–313. doi:10.1038/nature04448
  Article Google Scholar
• Rasmussen LA, Conway H (2005) Influence of upper-air conditions on glaciers in Scandinavia. Ann Glaciol 42:402–408
  Article Google Scholar
• Scherler D, Bookhagen B, Strecker MR (2011) Spatially variable response of Himalayan glaciers to climate change affected by debris cover. Nat Geosci 4:156–159. doi:10.1038/ngeo1068
  Article Google Scholar
• Slangen ABA, van de Wal RSW (2011) An assessment of uncertainties in using volume-area modelling for computing the twenty-first century glacier contribution to sea-level change. Cryosphere 5:673–686. doi:10.5194/tc-5-673-2011
  Article Google Scholar
• Slangen ABA, Katsman CA, van de Wal RSW, Vermeersen LLA, Riva REM (2012) Towards regional projections of twenty-first century sea-level change based on IPCC SRES scenarios. Clim Dyn 38:1191–1209. doi:10.1007/s00382-011-1057-6
  Article Google Scholar
• Stahl K, Moore RD, Shea JM, Hutchinson D, Cannon AJ (2008) Coupled modelling of glacier and streamflow response to future climate scenarios. Water Resour Res 44(W02422). doi:10.1029/2007WR005956
• Urrutia R, Vuille M (2009) Climate change projections for the tropical Andes using a regional climate model: temperature and precipitation simulations for the end of the 21st century. J Geophys Res 114(D02108). doi:10.1029/2008JD011021
• World Glacier Monitoring Service (WGMS) (1999, updated 2012) World Glacier Inventory, Antarctica. doi:10.7265/N5/NSIDC-WGI-2012-02, National Snow and Ice Data Center, Boulder Colorado, USA
• Zemp M, Nussbaumer SU, Gärtner-Roer I, Hoelzle M, Paul F, Haeberli W (eds) (2011) Glacier mass balance bulletin no. 11 (2008–2009). ICSU(WDS)/IUGG(IACS)/UNEP/UNESCO/WMO, World Glacier Monitoring Service, Zurich, Switzerland

Download references