Meteorologically Driven Simulations of Dengue Epidemics in San Juan, PR (original) (raw)
Fig 3
Simulated and reported weekly total dengue fever cases with model parameterized for individual years.
The red line is reported DF cases, the black line is the ensemble mean of simulated DF cases, and the dashed gray lines are the ensemble maximum and minimum. Intra-annual variability is captured exceptionally well when the model is parameterized for the individual years 2010(A), 2011(B), and 2012(C). 2013(D) is not simulated as well.