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Papers by Jakob Hedenskog

Research paper thumbnail of The end of the Second Karabakh War Memo

Research paper thumbnail of Security in the Caucasus Russian policy and military posture

Denna studie analyserar Rysslands inställning till väpnade konflikter i Kaukasienregionen efter 2... more Denna studie analyserar Rysslands inställning till väpnade konflikter i Kaukasienregionen efter 2014. Kaukasien fortsätter att vara en konflikttyngd del av Rysslands närområde, där den största risken för krig är ett förnyat och utvidgat krig mellan Armenien och Azerbajdzjan över Nagorno-Karabach. Av de tre regionala stormakterna -Ryssland, Turkiet och Iranhar endast Ryssland militära baser i Kaukasien och är den enda som är redo att agera militärt i regionen.

Research paper thumbnail of Russia and International Cooperation on Counter-Terrorism From the Chechen Wars to the Syria Campaign

Research paper thumbnail of Security in Central Asia Russian policy and military posture

Security in Central Asia Russian policy and military posture, 2019

Research paper thumbnail of The United States and Russia in Africa A survey of US and Russian political, economic, and military-security relations with Africa

Research paper thumbnail of The feasibility of a UN peacekeeping mission in Donbas – Views from Ukraine and Russia

Research paper thumbnail of Windows onto Europe or Russian Dead Ends?: The Federal Centre and the Foreign Relations of Russia’s Western Regions

The NEBI YEARBOOK 2001/2002, 2002

Research paper thumbnail of Russia's Western Border Regions : Gateways to Europe?

Acta Slavica Iaponica, 2002

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Research paper thumbnail of Russian Leverage on the CIS and the Baltic States

FOI is an assignment-based authority under the Ministry of Defence. The core activities are resea... more FOI is an assignment-based authority under the Ministry of Defence. The core activities are research, method and technology development, as well as studies for the use of defence and security. The organization employs around 1350 people of whom around 950 are ...

Research paper thumbnail of Ukraine and NATO: Deadlock or Re-start?

Research paper thumbnail of Comparing the Baltic and Black Sea Regions: Regional Security, Energy Security and Euro-Atlantic Integration

Software Engineering, 2000

Research paper thumbnail of Russia as a Great Power: Dimensions of Security under Putin

Slavic Review, 2006

... Communities and Post-Communist Transformation Edited by Simon Smith 4 Repression and Resistan... more ... Communities and Post-Communist Transformation Edited by Simon Smith 4 Repression and Resistance in Communist Europe JC Sharman 5 Political ... 1999–2000 Anne White 13 Russian Society and the Orthodox Church Religion in Russia after communism Zoe Knox 14 ...

Research paper thumbnail of Russia¶ S Western Border Regions: Gateways to Europe?

Acta Slavica Iaponica, 2002

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Research paper thumbnail of Ukraine's economic reforms. Prospects of sustainability

Ukraine has been subject to several attempts of economic reforms since independence in 1991, but ... more Ukraine has been subject to several attempts of economic reforms since independence in 1991, but has not managed to fully transition to a market-based system. As a result, the Ukrainian economy has ended up in a semi-transformed state with many shortcomings. A main problem is that basic institutions like the rule of law have never been properly established. Instead, a powerful oligarch class emerged along with the early privatisations and their influence led to state capture, which has effectively hindered market reform and nurtured vested interests and corruption.
This report attempts to assess the potential of the Ukrainian economic reforms started in 2014 to become sustainable, in the sense that institutions underpinning a market economy may become permanent and sustain economic growth. The report also discusses the significant foreign assistance supporting the reform process, and oligarch influences that represent risks to sustainability. In the concluding assessment, it is found that although the risks for failure of the reforms remain present, for instance in the form of oligarch power, the opportunities for success appear to be quite strong. Reforms addressing corruption and establishing an independent judiciary have been started, and Ukraine has an engaged civil society that plays a key role in keeping the reforms on track and monitoring the behaviour of the political establishment.

Keywords: Ukraine, economic reform, foreign assistance, oligarchs

Research paper thumbnail of Georgian defence sector reform assessment

Detta verk är skyddat enligt lagen (1960:729) om upphovsrätt till litterära och konstnärliga verk... more Detta verk är skyddat enligt lagen (1960:729) om upphovsrätt till litterära och konstnärliga verk, vilket bl.a. innebär att citering är tillåten i enlighet med vad som anges i 22 § i nämnd lag. För att använda verket på ett sätt som inte medges direkt av svensk lag krävs särskild överenskommelse.

Research paper thumbnail of CHAPTER NINE THE TERRORIST THREAT AGAINST SOCHI-2014

Papers and reports by Jakob Hedenskog

Research paper thumbnail of Russian Military Capability in a Ten-Year Perspective - 2013

Research paper thumbnail of The end of the Second Karabakh War Memo

Research paper thumbnail of Security in the Caucasus Russian policy and military posture

Denna studie analyserar Rysslands inställning till väpnade konflikter i Kaukasienregionen efter 2... more Denna studie analyserar Rysslands inställning till väpnade konflikter i Kaukasienregionen efter 2014. Kaukasien fortsätter att vara en konflikttyngd del av Rysslands närområde, där den största risken för krig är ett förnyat och utvidgat krig mellan Armenien och Azerbajdzjan över Nagorno-Karabach. Av de tre regionala stormakterna -Ryssland, Turkiet och Iranhar endast Ryssland militära baser i Kaukasien och är den enda som är redo att agera militärt i regionen.

Research paper thumbnail of Russia and International Cooperation on Counter-Terrorism From the Chechen Wars to the Syria Campaign

Research paper thumbnail of Security in Central Asia Russian policy and military posture

Security in Central Asia Russian policy and military posture, 2019

Research paper thumbnail of The United States and Russia in Africa A survey of US and Russian political, economic, and military-security relations with Africa

Research paper thumbnail of The feasibility of a UN peacekeeping mission in Donbas – Views from Ukraine and Russia

Research paper thumbnail of Windows onto Europe or Russian Dead Ends?: The Federal Centre and the Foreign Relations of Russia’s Western Regions

The NEBI YEARBOOK 2001/2002, 2002

Research paper thumbnail of Russia's Western Border Regions : Gateways to Europe?

Acta Slavica Iaponica, 2002

5XVVLD ¶V LQWHJUDWLRQ LQWR WKH ZRUOG HFRQRP\ DQG LWV SDUWLFLSDWLRQ LQ WKH JOREDOLVDWLRQ SURFHVV L... more 5XVVLD ¶V LQWHJUDWLRQ LQWR WKH ZRUOG HFRQRP\ DQG LWV SDUWLFLSDWLRQ LQ WKH JOREDOLVDWLRQ SURFHVV LV JHQHUDOO\ VHHQ DV D ZD\ RI SURPRWLQJ SHDFH DQG VWDELO LW\ 7KH GHFHQWUDOLVDWLRQ RI WKH 5XVVLDQ )HGHUDWLRQ DQG WKH HPHUJHQFH RI WKH IHGHUDO VXEMHFWV DV SROLWLFDO DFWRUV ZLWK IRUHLJQ WLHV LQ WKH V ZDV FRQVLGHUHG WR IDFLOLWDWH WKLV FFRUGLQJWRWKHFFRUGLQJ WR WKH %HOJLDQ SROLWLFDO VFLHQWLVW 6WHSKDQ GH 6SLHJHOHLUH PRVW UHJLRQDO DFWRUV DUH SROLWLFDO SUDJPDWLVWV ZKR GLVOLNH IRUHLJQ DGYHQWXUHV DQG DUH FORVHU WR WKH :HVW WKDQ PDQ\ FHQWUDO GHFLVLRQPDNHUV 9LHZ LQJ 5XVVLD WRR ELJ IRU WRSGRZQ LQWHJUDWLRQ KH UHFRPPHQGV LQWHJUDWLRQ WKURXJK WKH UHJLRQV LQ WKH VDPH ZD\ DV -RQDWKDQ 6ZLIW ¶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¶V PRVW LPSRUWDQW JDWHZD\ RQ WKH VWUHQJWK RI LWV LQWHUQDWLRQDO DLUSRUWV DQG LWV ODUJH VKDUH RI 5XVVLD ¶V LQWHUQDWLRQDO FRQWDFWV DQG IRUHLJQ LQYHVWPHQW 7KH PHULFDQSROLWLFDOVFLHQWLVW0LFKDHOPHULFDQ SROLWLFDO VFLHQWLVW 0LFKDHO PHULFDQSROLWLFDOVFLHQWLVW0LFKDHOOH[VHHY HYHQ FRQFOXGHV WKDW FRPSDUHG ZLWK WKH ZKROH RI 5XVVLD WKH ERUGHU UHJLRQV KDYH OHVV IRUHLJQ LQYHVWPHQWV WKRXJK WKH JDS QDUURZHG LQ WKH ODWH V VPDOOHU SRSXODWLRQV ZLWK VPDOOHU FRQVXPHU EDVHV PRUH LPPLJUDWLRQ PRUH WHUULWRULDO FODLPV DQG HWKQLFEDVHG DFWLYLW\ IHZHU HWKQLF 5XVVLDQV DQG PRUH VXSSRUW IRU FRPPXQLVWV DQG QDWLRQ DOLVWV DQG VFDUFHU QDWXUDO UHVRXUFHV &RPSDULQJ WKH ERUGHU UHJLRQV VWDWLVWLFDOO\ KRZHYHU $OH[VHHY IRXQG WKDW WKHLU IRUHLJQ LQYHVWPHQWV DUH OLWWOH DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK HWKQLF LUUHGHQWD DQG SRVLWLYHO\ FRUUHODWHG ZLWK KLJK PLJUDWLRQ DQG KLJK QXP EHUV IRU UHIXJHHV ZKR IRVWHU HQWUHSUHQHXULDO ZRUN HWKLF DQG FURVVERUGHU EXVL QHVV FRQQHFWLRQV 6WHSKDQ GH 6SLHJHOHLUH ³*XOOLYHU ¶V 7KUHDGV 5XVVLD ¶V 5HJLRQV DQG WKH 5HVW RI WKH :RUOGĹ Q .LPLWDND 0DWVX]

Research paper thumbnail of Russian Leverage on the CIS and the Baltic States

FOI is an assignment-based authority under the Ministry of Defence. The core activities are resea... more FOI is an assignment-based authority under the Ministry of Defence. The core activities are research, method and technology development, as well as studies for the use of defence and security. The organization employs around 1350 people of whom around 950 are ...

Research paper thumbnail of Ukraine and NATO: Deadlock or Re-start?

Research paper thumbnail of Comparing the Baltic and Black Sea Regions: Regional Security, Energy Security and Euro-Atlantic Integration

Software Engineering, 2000

Research paper thumbnail of Russia as a Great Power: Dimensions of Security under Putin

Slavic Review, 2006

... Communities and Post-Communist Transformation Edited by Simon Smith 4 Repression and Resistan... more ... Communities and Post-Communist Transformation Edited by Simon Smith 4 Repression and Resistance in Communist Europe JC Sharman 5 Political ... 1999–2000 Anne White 13 Russian Society and the Orthodox Church Religion in Russia after communism Zoe Knox 14 ...

Research paper thumbnail of Russia¶ S Western Border Regions: Gateways to Europe?

Acta Slavica Iaponica, 2002

5XVVLD ¶V LQWHJUDWLRQ LQWR WKH ZRUOG HFRQRP\ DQG LWV SDUWLFLSDWLRQ LQ WKH JOREDOLVDWLRQ SURFHVV L... more 5XVVLD ¶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¶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¶V PRVW LPSRUWDQW JDWHZD\ RQ WKH VWUHQJWK RI LWV LQWHUQDWLRQDO DLUSRUWV DQG LWV ODUJH VKDUH RI 5XVVLD ¶V LQWHUQDWLRQDO FRQWDFWV DQG IRUHLJQ LQYHVWPHQW 7KH PHULFDQSROLWLFDOVFLHQWLVW0LFKDHOPHULFDQ SROLWLFDO VFLHQWLVW 0LFKDHO PHULFDQSROLWLFDOVFLHQWLVW0LFKDHOOH[VHHY HYHQ FRQFOXGHV WKDW FRPSDUHG ZLWK WKH ZKROH RI 5XVVLD WKH ERUGHU UHJLRQV KDYH OHVV IRUHLJQ LQYHVWPHQWV WKRXJK WKH JDS QDUURZHG LQ WKH ODWH V VPDOOHU SRSXODWLRQV ZLWK VPDOOHU FRQVXPHU EDVHV PRUH LPPLJUDWLRQ PRUH WHUULWRULDO FODLPV DQG HWKQLFEDVHG DFWLYLW\ IHZHU HWKQLF 5XVVLDQV DQG PRUH VXSSRUW IRU FRPPXQLVWV DQG QDWLRQ DOLVWV DQG VFDUFHU QDWXUDO UHVRXUFHV &RPSDULQJ WKH ERUGHU UHJLRQV VWDWLVWLFDOO\ KRZHYHU $OH[VHHY IRXQG WKDW WKHLU IRUHLJQ LQYHVWPHQWV DUH OLWWOH DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK HWKQLF LUUHGHQWD DQG SRVLWLYHO\ FRUUHODWHG ZLWK KLJK PLJUDWLRQ DQG KLJK QXP EHUV IRU UHIXJHHV ZKR IRVWHU HQWUHSUHQHXULDO ZRUN HWKLF DQG FURVVERUGHU EXVL QHVV FRQQHFWLRQV 6WHSKDQ GH 6SLHJHOHLUH ³*XOOLYHU ¶V 7KUHDGV 5XVVLD ¶V 5HJLRQV DQG WKH 5HVW RI WKH :RUOGĹ Q .LPLWDND 0DWVX]

Research paper thumbnail of Ukraine's economic reforms. Prospects of sustainability

Ukraine has been subject to several attempts of economic reforms since independence in 1991, but ... more Ukraine has been subject to several attempts of economic reforms since independence in 1991, but has not managed to fully transition to a market-based system. As a result, the Ukrainian economy has ended up in a semi-transformed state with many shortcomings. A main problem is that basic institutions like the rule of law have never been properly established. Instead, a powerful oligarch class emerged along with the early privatisations and their influence led to state capture, which has effectively hindered market reform and nurtured vested interests and corruption.
This report attempts to assess the potential of the Ukrainian economic reforms started in 2014 to become sustainable, in the sense that institutions underpinning a market economy may become permanent and sustain economic growth. The report also discusses the significant foreign assistance supporting the reform process, and oligarch influences that represent risks to sustainability. In the concluding assessment, it is found that although the risks for failure of the reforms remain present, for instance in the form of oligarch power, the opportunities for success appear to be quite strong. Reforms addressing corruption and establishing an independent judiciary have been started, and Ukraine has an engaged civil society that plays a key role in keeping the reforms on track and monitoring the behaviour of the political establishment.

Keywords: Ukraine, economic reform, foreign assistance, oligarchs

Research paper thumbnail of Georgian defence sector reform assessment

Detta verk är skyddat enligt lagen (1960:729) om upphovsrätt till litterära och konstnärliga verk... more Detta verk är skyddat enligt lagen (1960:729) om upphovsrätt till litterära och konstnärliga verk, vilket bl.a. innebär att citering är tillåten i enlighet med vad som anges i 22 § i nämnd lag. För att använda verket på ett sätt som inte medges direkt av svensk lag krävs särskild överenskommelse.

Research paper thumbnail of CHAPTER NINE THE TERRORIST THREAT AGAINST SOCHI-2014

Research paper thumbnail of Russian Military Capability in a Ten-Year Perspective - 2013