Barbara Tomassetti - Academia.edu (original) (raw)

Papers by Barbara Tomassetti

Research paper thumbnail of Supplementary material to "User-oriented hydrological indices for early warning system. Validation using post-event surveys: flood case studies on the Central Apennines District

Research paper thumbnail of Developing a landslide activation index based on hydrological stress index, for shallow landslides and debris flow forecasting

EGU General Assembly Conference Abstracts, Apr 1, 2019

Research paper thumbnail of User-oriented hydrological indices for early warning systems with validation using post-event surveys: flood case studies in the Central Apennine District

Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 2021

Research paper thumbnail of Increasing of severe hydrological events in the Po basin under global warming

Research paper thumbnail of Evaluating the impact of hydrometeorological conditions on E. coli concentration in farmed mussels and clams: experience in Central Italy

Journal of water and health, 2021

Highly populated coastal environments receive large quantities of treated and untreated wastewate... more Highly populated coastal environments receive large quantities of treated and untreated wastewater from human and industrial sources. Bivalve molluscs accumulate and retain contaminants, and their analysis provides evidence of past contamination. Rivers and precipitation are major routes of bacteriological pollution from surface or sub-surface runoff flowing into coastal areas. However, relationships between runoff, precipitation, and bacterial contamination are site-specific and dependent on the physiographical characteristics of each catchment. In this work, we evaluated the influence of precipitation and river discharge on molluscs' Escherichia coli concentrations at three sites in Central Italy, aiming at quantifying how hydrometeorological conditions affect bacteriological contamination of selected bivalve production areas. Rank-order correlation analysis indicated a stronger association between E. coli concentrations and the modelled Pescara River discharge maxima (r = 0.6...

Research paper thumbnail of Decision Support System for smart urban management: resilience against natural phenomena and aerial environmental assessment

A new concept of Decision Support System (DSS) is presented. It is able to account for and suppor... more A new concept of Decision Support System (DSS) is presented. It is able to account for and support all phases of the risk analysis process: event forecast, prediction of reliable and accurate damage scenarios, estimate of their impact on Critical Infrastructures (CI), estimate of the possible consequences. It also provides an estimate of the consequences in terms of service degradation and of impact on citizens, on urban area and on production activities, essential for the mitigation of the adverse events. It can be used in two different modes, either in an operational mode (on a 24/7 basis) or in a simulation mode to produce risk analysis, setting up synthetic natural hazards and assessing the resulting chain of events (damages, impacts and consequences). Among the various possible external data sources an aerial, drone based one is presented. The system may capture both thermal and visual images of CI, processing them into 3D models or collect chemical pollutants concentrations fo...

Research paper thumbnail of Small-catchment flood forecasting and drainage network extraction using computational intelligence

The 2006 IEEE International Joint Conference on Neural Network Proceedings

Research paper thumbnail of A meteorological–hydrological regional ensemble forecast for an early-warning system over small Apennine catchments in Central Italy

Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 2020

Research paper thumbnail of On the Use of Original and Bias-Corrected Climate Simulations in Regional-Scale Hydrological Scenarios in the Mediterranean Basin

Atmosphere, 2019

The response of Mediterranean small catchments hydrology to climate change is still relatively un... more The response of Mediterranean small catchments hydrology to climate change is still relatively unexplored. Regional Climate Models (RCMs) are an established tool for evaluating the expected climate change impact on hydrology. Due to the relatively low resolution and systematic errors, RCM outputs are routinely and statistically post-processed before being used in impact studies. Nevertheless, these techniques can impact the original simulated trends and then impact model results. In this work, we characterize future changes of a small Apennines (Central Italy) catchment hydrology, according to two radiative forcing scenarios (Representative Concentration Pathways, RCPs, 4.5 and 8.5). We also investigate the impact of a widely used bias correction technique, the empirical Quantile Mapping (QM) on the original Climate Change Signal (CCS), and the subsequent alteration of the original Hydrological Change Signal (HCS). Original and bias-corrected simulations of five RCMs from Euro-CORDE...

Research paper thumbnail of Regional ensemble forecast for early warning system over small Apennine catchments on Central Italy

Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions, 2019

Research paper thumbnail of Recursive neural network model for analysis and forecast of PM10 and PM2.5

Atmospheric Pollution Research, 2017

Abstract Atmospheric particulate matter (PM) is one of the pollutant that may have a significant ... more Abstract Atmospheric particulate matter (PM) is one of the pollutant that may have a significant impact on human health. Data collected during three years in an urban area of the Adriatic coast are analysed using three models: a multiple linear regression model, a neural network model with and without recursive architecture. Measured meteorological parameters and PM10 concentration are used as input to forecast the daily averaged concentration of PM10 from one to three days ahead. All simulations show that the neural network with recursive architecture has better performances compared to both the multiple linear regression model and the neural network model without the recursive architecture. Results of PM forecasts are compared with the air quality limits for health protection to test the performance as operational tool. The inclusion of carbon monoxide (CO) concentration as further input parameter in the model, has been evaluated in terms of forecast improvements. Finally, all models are used to forecast the PM2.5 concentration, using as input the meteorological data, the PM10 and CO concentration, to simulate the situation when PM2.5 is not observed. The comparison between observed and forecasted PM2.5 shows that the neural network is able to forecast the PM2.5 concentrations even if PM2.5 is not included among the input parameters.

Research paper thumbnail of Special issue: Hydroinformatics Cellular automata algorithms for drainage network extraction and rainfall data assimilation

L’Aquila, a distributed grid-based hydrological model (CHYM) has been developed to provide a gene... more L’Aquila, a distributed grid-based hydrological model (CHYM) has been developed to provide a general purpose model for operational flood warning activity. This paper presents two new cellular automata (CA) algorithms used respectively for drainage network extraction and rainfall data assimilation. The first is a cellular automaton-based algorithm for the extraction of a drainage network from an arbitrary digital elevation model. It has been implemented and tested on a large number of different domains. This algorithm is able to define the flow direction at every point on the digital elevation model where singular points are present (pits or flat areas). The second is a CA-based numerical technique for assimilating different data sources of rainfall to rebuild the rainfall field on a grid. This technique has been shown to produce a reasonable rainfield shape without any geometrical artefacts that often produce unrealistic rain gradients in the rainfield. Key words hydrological model; cellular automata; CHYM; drainage network extraction Algorithmes d’automates cellulaires pour l’extraction du réseau de drainage et l’assimilation de données pluviométriques Résumé Depuis 2002, dans le cadre du centre d’excellence Cetemps à l’université de L’Aquila, un modèle hydrologique distribué maillé (CHYM) a été développé pour fournir une modélisation générale

Research paper thumbnail of Impact of Biomass Burning emission on total peroxy nitrates: fire plume identification during the BORTAS campaign

Atmospheric Measurement Techniques Discussions, 2016

The total peroxy nitrates (∑PNs) concentrations have been measured using a thermal dissociation l... more The total peroxy nitrates (∑PNs) concentrations have been measured using a thermal dissociation laser induced fluorescence (TD-LIF) instrument during the BORTAS campaign, which focused on the impact of boreal biomass burning emissions on air quality in the Northern hemisphere. The strong correlation observed between the ∑PNs concentrations and those of the carbon monoxide (CO), a well-known pyrogenic tracer, suggests the possible use of the ∑PNs concentrations as marker of the biomass burning (BB) plumes. We applied both statistical and percentile methods to the ∑PNs concentrations, comparing the percentage of BB plume selected using these methods with the percentage evaluated applying the approaches usually used in literature. Moreover, adding the pressure threshold (~ 750 hPa) to ∑PNs, HCN and CO, as ancillary parameter, the BB plume identification is improved. An artificial recurrent neural network (ANN) model was adapted to simulate the concentrations of ∑PNs and the HCN includi...

Research paper thumbnail of A Neural Network approach for the downscaling of precipitation fields at Hydrological Scales

Research paper thumbnail of PACE aerobiologia 2009

Research paper thumbnail of The CETEMPS Hydro-Meteorological chain during HyMex

The Cetemps Hydrological model has been offline coupled with WRF-ARW and MM5 models in order to e... more The Cetemps Hydrological model has been offline coupled with WRF-ARW and MM5 models in order to estimate the possibility of flood occurrence. CHyM is a distributed grid based hydrological model implementing an explicit parameterization of different physical processes contributing to hydrological cycle, the model can be forced with temperature and precipitation scenarios predicted by MM5 or WRF model. In addition this model implements the calculus of two different alarm indexes providing a map of the segments of hydrological network where floods are more likely to occur. The WRF simulations are characterized by two domains running independently. The larger domain covers Europe with a horizontal resolution of 12 km using as analysis the ECMWF model, instead, the inner one covers Italy with a grid spacing of 3 km using as boundary and initial conditions the output from the low resolution simulation. CHyM alarm maps are described and the results for cases study occurred during HyMeX cam...

Research paper thumbnail of Analysis of surface ozone using a recurrent neural network

Science of The Total Environment, 2015

Hourly concentrations of ozone (O3) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2) have been measured for 16years, fr... more Hourly concentrations of ozone (O3) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2) have been measured for 16years, from 1998 to 2013, in a seaside town in central Italy. The seasonal trends of O3 and NO2 recorded in this period have been studied. Furthermore, we used the data collected during one year (2005), to define the characteristics of a multiple linear regression model and a neural network model. Both models are used to model the hourly O3 concentration, using, two scenarios: 1) in the first as inputs, only meteorological parameters and 2) in the second adding photochemical parameters at those of the first scenario. In order to evaluate the performance of the model four statistical criteria are used: correlation coefficient, fractional bias, normalized mean squared error and a factor of two. All the criteria show that the neural network gives better results, compared to the regression model, in all the model scenarios. Predictions of O3 have been carried out by many authors using a feed forward neural architecture. In this paper we show that a recurrent architecture significantly improves the performances of neural predictors. Using only the meteorological parameters as input, the recurrent architecture shows performance better than the multiple linear regression model that uses meteorological and photochemical data as input, making the neural network model with recurrent architecture a more useful tool in areas where only weather measurements are available. Finally, we used the neural network model to forecast the O3 hourly concentrations 1, 3, 6, 12, 24 and 48h ahead. The performances of the model in predicting O3 levels are discussed. Emphasis is given to the possibility of using the neural network model in operational ways in areas where only meteorological data are available, in order to predict O3 also in sites where it has not been measured yet.

Research paper thumbnail of Cetemps Hydrological Model (CHyM), a Distributed Grid-Based Model Assimilating Different Rainfall Data Sources

Water Science and Technology Library

Abstract Within the activities of Cetemps Center of Excellence of University of L'Aq... more Abstract Within the activities of Cetemps Center of Excellence of University of L'Aquila, a distributed grid based hydrological model has been developed with the aim to provide a general purpose tool for flood alert mapping. One of the main characteristic of this model ...

Research paper thumbnail of Numerical Experiments to Study the Possible Meteorological Changes Induced by the Presence of a Lake

Advances in Global Change Research, 2001

The Lake Fucino was the largest reservoir of fresh water in the Abruzzo Region until it was drain... more The Lake Fucino was the largest reservoir of fresh water in the Abruzzo Region until it was drained at the end of last century. The surface of the lake was about 150 square km. Temperature and precipitation historical records show appreciable changes in these ...

Research paper thumbnail of Changing hydrological conditions in the Po basin under global warming

Science of The Total Environment, 2014

Research paper thumbnail of Supplementary material to "User-oriented hydrological indices for early warning system. Validation using post-event surveys: flood case studies on the Central Apennines District

Research paper thumbnail of Developing a landslide activation index based on hydrological stress index, for shallow landslides and debris flow forecasting

EGU General Assembly Conference Abstracts, Apr 1, 2019

Research paper thumbnail of User-oriented hydrological indices for early warning systems with validation using post-event surveys: flood case studies in the Central Apennine District

Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 2021

Research paper thumbnail of Increasing of severe hydrological events in the Po basin under global warming

Research paper thumbnail of Evaluating the impact of hydrometeorological conditions on E. coli concentration in farmed mussels and clams: experience in Central Italy

Journal of water and health, 2021

Highly populated coastal environments receive large quantities of treated and untreated wastewate... more Highly populated coastal environments receive large quantities of treated and untreated wastewater from human and industrial sources. Bivalve molluscs accumulate and retain contaminants, and their analysis provides evidence of past contamination. Rivers and precipitation are major routes of bacteriological pollution from surface or sub-surface runoff flowing into coastal areas. However, relationships between runoff, precipitation, and bacterial contamination are site-specific and dependent on the physiographical characteristics of each catchment. In this work, we evaluated the influence of precipitation and river discharge on molluscs' Escherichia coli concentrations at three sites in Central Italy, aiming at quantifying how hydrometeorological conditions affect bacteriological contamination of selected bivalve production areas. Rank-order correlation analysis indicated a stronger association between E. coli concentrations and the modelled Pescara River discharge maxima (r = 0.6...

Research paper thumbnail of Decision Support System for smart urban management: resilience against natural phenomena and aerial environmental assessment

A new concept of Decision Support System (DSS) is presented. It is able to account for and suppor... more A new concept of Decision Support System (DSS) is presented. It is able to account for and support all phases of the risk analysis process: event forecast, prediction of reliable and accurate damage scenarios, estimate of their impact on Critical Infrastructures (CI), estimate of the possible consequences. It also provides an estimate of the consequences in terms of service degradation and of impact on citizens, on urban area and on production activities, essential for the mitigation of the adverse events. It can be used in two different modes, either in an operational mode (on a 24/7 basis) or in a simulation mode to produce risk analysis, setting up synthetic natural hazards and assessing the resulting chain of events (damages, impacts and consequences). Among the various possible external data sources an aerial, drone based one is presented. The system may capture both thermal and visual images of CI, processing them into 3D models or collect chemical pollutants concentrations fo...

Research paper thumbnail of Small-catchment flood forecasting and drainage network extraction using computational intelligence

The 2006 IEEE International Joint Conference on Neural Network Proceedings

Research paper thumbnail of A meteorological–hydrological regional ensemble forecast for an early-warning system over small Apennine catchments in Central Italy

Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 2020

Research paper thumbnail of On the Use of Original and Bias-Corrected Climate Simulations in Regional-Scale Hydrological Scenarios in the Mediterranean Basin

Atmosphere, 2019

The response of Mediterranean small catchments hydrology to climate change is still relatively un... more The response of Mediterranean small catchments hydrology to climate change is still relatively unexplored. Regional Climate Models (RCMs) are an established tool for evaluating the expected climate change impact on hydrology. Due to the relatively low resolution and systematic errors, RCM outputs are routinely and statistically post-processed before being used in impact studies. Nevertheless, these techniques can impact the original simulated trends and then impact model results. In this work, we characterize future changes of a small Apennines (Central Italy) catchment hydrology, according to two radiative forcing scenarios (Representative Concentration Pathways, RCPs, 4.5 and 8.5). We also investigate the impact of a widely used bias correction technique, the empirical Quantile Mapping (QM) on the original Climate Change Signal (CCS), and the subsequent alteration of the original Hydrological Change Signal (HCS). Original and bias-corrected simulations of five RCMs from Euro-CORDE...

Research paper thumbnail of Regional ensemble forecast for early warning system over small Apennine catchments on Central Italy

Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions, 2019

Research paper thumbnail of Recursive neural network model for analysis and forecast of PM10 and PM2.5

Atmospheric Pollution Research, 2017

Abstract Atmospheric particulate matter (PM) is one of the pollutant that may have a significant ... more Abstract Atmospheric particulate matter (PM) is one of the pollutant that may have a significant impact on human health. Data collected during three years in an urban area of the Adriatic coast are analysed using three models: a multiple linear regression model, a neural network model with and without recursive architecture. Measured meteorological parameters and PM10 concentration are used as input to forecast the daily averaged concentration of PM10 from one to three days ahead. All simulations show that the neural network with recursive architecture has better performances compared to both the multiple linear regression model and the neural network model without the recursive architecture. Results of PM forecasts are compared with the air quality limits for health protection to test the performance as operational tool. The inclusion of carbon monoxide (CO) concentration as further input parameter in the model, has been evaluated in terms of forecast improvements. Finally, all models are used to forecast the PM2.5 concentration, using as input the meteorological data, the PM10 and CO concentration, to simulate the situation when PM2.5 is not observed. The comparison between observed and forecasted PM2.5 shows that the neural network is able to forecast the PM2.5 concentrations even if PM2.5 is not included among the input parameters.

Research paper thumbnail of Special issue: Hydroinformatics Cellular automata algorithms for drainage network extraction and rainfall data assimilation

L’Aquila, a distributed grid-based hydrological model (CHYM) has been developed to provide a gene... more L’Aquila, a distributed grid-based hydrological model (CHYM) has been developed to provide a general purpose model for operational flood warning activity. This paper presents two new cellular automata (CA) algorithms used respectively for drainage network extraction and rainfall data assimilation. The first is a cellular automaton-based algorithm for the extraction of a drainage network from an arbitrary digital elevation model. It has been implemented and tested on a large number of different domains. This algorithm is able to define the flow direction at every point on the digital elevation model where singular points are present (pits or flat areas). The second is a CA-based numerical technique for assimilating different data sources of rainfall to rebuild the rainfall field on a grid. This technique has been shown to produce a reasonable rainfield shape without any geometrical artefacts that often produce unrealistic rain gradients in the rainfield. Key words hydrological model; cellular automata; CHYM; drainage network extraction Algorithmes d’automates cellulaires pour l’extraction du réseau de drainage et l’assimilation de données pluviométriques Résumé Depuis 2002, dans le cadre du centre d’excellence Cetemps à l’université de L’Aquila, un modèle hydrologique distribué maillé (CHYM) a été développé pour fournir une modélisation générale

Research paper thumbnail of Impact of Biomass Burning emission on total peroxy nitrates: fire plume identification during the BORTAS campaign

Atmospheric Measurement Techniques Discussions, 2016

The total peroxy nitrates (∑PNs) concentrations have been measured using a thermal dissociation l... more The total peroxy nitrates (∑PNs) concentrations have been measured using a thermal dissociation laser induced fluorescence (TD-LIF) instrument during the BORTAS campaign, which focused on the impact of boreal biomass burning emissions on air quality in the Northern hemisphere. The strong correlation observed between the ∑PNs concentrations and those of the carbon monoxide (CO), a well-known pyrogenic tracer, suggests the possible use of the ∑PNs concentrations as marker of the biomass burning (BB) plumes. We applied both statistical and percentile methods to the ∑PNs concentrations, comparing the percentage of BB plume selected using these methods with the percentage evaluated applying the approaches usually used in literature. Moreover, adding the pressure threshold (~ 750 hPa) to ∑PNs, HCN and CO, as ancillary parameter, the BB plume identification is improved. An artificial recurrent neural network (ANN) model was adapted to simulate the concentrations of ∑PNs and the HCN includi...

Research paper thumbnail of A Neural Network approach for the downscaling of precipitation fields at Hydrological Scales

Research paper thumbnail of PACE aerobiologia 2009

Research paper thumbnail of The CETEMPS Hydro-Meteorological chain during HyMex

The Cetemps Hydrological model has been offline coupled with WRF-ARW and MM5 models in order to e... more The Cetemps Hydrological model has been offline coupled with WRF-ARW and MM5 models in order to estimate the possibility of flood occurrence. CHyM is a distributed grid based hydrological model implementing an explicit parameterization of different physical processes contributing to hydrological cycle, the model can be forced with temperature and precipitation scenarios predicted by MM5 or WRF model. In addition this model implements the calculus of two different alarm indexes providing a map of the segments of hydrological network where floods are more likely to occur. The WRF simulations are characterized by two domains running independently. The larger domain covers Europe with a horizontal resolution of 12 km using as analysis the ECMWF model, instead, the inner one covers Italy with a grid spacing of 3 km using as boundary and initial conditions the output from the low resolution simulation. CHyM alarm maps are described and the results for cases study occurred during HyMeX cam...

Research paper thumbnail of Analysis of surface ozone using a recurrent neural network

Science of The Total Environment, 2015

Hourly concentrations of ozone (O3) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2) have been measured for 16years, fr... more Hourly concentrations of ozone (O3) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2) have been measured for 16years, from 1998 to 2013, in a seaside town in central Italy. The seasonal trends of O3 and NO2 recorded in this period have been studied. Furthermore, we used the data collected during one year (2005), to define the characteristics of a multiple linear regression model and a neural network model. Both models are used to model the hourly O3 concentration, using, two scenarios: 1) in the first as inputs, only meteorological parameters and 2) in the second adding photochemical parameters at those of the first scenario. In order to evaluate the performance of the model four statistical criteria are used: correlation coefficient, fractional bias, normalized mean squared error and a factor of two. All the criteria show that the neural network gives better results, compared to the regression model, in all the model scenarios. Predictions of O3 have been carried out by many authors using a feed forward neural architecture. In this paper we show that a recurrent architecture significantly improves the performances of neural predictors. Using only the meteorological parameters as input, the recurrent architecture shows performance better than the multiple linear regression model that uses meteorological and photochemical data as input, making the neural network model with recurrent architecture a more useful tool in areas where only weather measurements are available. Finally, we used the neural network model to forecast the O3 hourly concentrations 1, 3, 6, 12, 24 and 48h ahead. The performances of the model in predicting O3 levels are discussed. Emphasis is given to the possibility of using the neural network model in operational ways in areas where only meteorological data are available, in order to predict O3 also in sites where it has not been measured yet.

Research paper thumbnail of Cetemps Hydrological Model (CHyM), a Distributed Grid-Based Model Assimilating Different Rainfall Data Sources

Water Science and Technology Library

Abstract Within the activities of Cetemps Center of Excellence of University of L'Aq... more Abstract Within the activities of Cetemps Center of Excellence of University of L'Aquila, a distributed grid based hydrological model has been developed with the aim to provide a general purpose tool for flood alert mapping. One of the main characteristic of this model ...

Research paper thumbnail of Numerical Experiments to Study the Possible Meteorological Changes Induced by the Presence of a Lake

Advances in Global Change Research, 2001

The Lake Fucino was the largest reservoir of fresh water in the Abruzzo Region until it was drain... more The Lake Fucino was the largest reservoir of fresh water in the Abruzzo Region until it was drained at the end of last century. The surface of the lake was about 150 square km. Temperature and precipitation historical records show appreciable changes in these ...

Research paper thumbnail of Changing hydrological conditions in the Po basin under global warming

Science of The Total Environment, 2014