Helen Hodges - Academia.edu (original) (raw)

Papers by Helen Hodges

International Journal for Population Data Science, Aug 25, 2022

By linking external data to that already held in SAIL Databank, a fuller picture of the sometimes... more By linking external data to that already held in SAIL Databank, a fuller picture of the sometimes-chaotic lives of those in the youth justice system has been compiled. By looking at the impact of changes in circumstances on the likelihood of offending, opportunities for intervention have been identified.

International Journal of Population Data Science

ObjectivesTo understand the needs and vulnerabilities of this cohort, and identify where there ar... more ObjectivesTo understand the needs and vulnerabilities of this cohort, and identify where there are opportunities for timely and appropriate support from a range of statutory and non-statutory organisations as they navigate the youth justice system. MethodsThis feasibility study linked external youth justice data from two Welsh local authorities with education, health, social services and family court data held in SAIL Databank. Once combined, it was possible to gain further insights into the nature and extent of contact with other state agencies, and to test for statistically significant differences in the profile of this cohort relative to their peers; in index risk scores across 12 domains and in the trajectory of the probability of further offending behaviour. The latter was considered via a series of hierarchical binary logistical regression models conducted under a Bayesian framework. ResultsThose with double system contact typically had higher index risk scores than their peer...

Residential Treatment for Children & Youth, Mar 17, 2022

Wales Centre for Public Policy, Nov 8, 2019

Wales Centre for Public Policy, Feb 28, 2019

Cardiff University was founded in 1883. Located in a thriving capital city, Cardiff is an ambitio... more Cardiff University was founded in 1883. Located in a thriving capital city, Cardiff is an ambitious and innovative university, which is intent on building strong international relationships while demonstrating its commitment to Wales. Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC) is part of UK Research and Innovation, a new organisation that brings together the UK's seven research councils, Innovate UK and Research England to maximise the contribution of each council and create the best environment for research and innovation to flourish. Welsh Government is the devolved government of Wales, responsible for key areas of public life, including health, education, local government, and the environment.

Wales Centre for Public Policy, Jun 24, 2020

Wales Centre for Public Policy, Sep 9, 2020

Wales Centre for Public Policy, Feb 17, 2020

What Works for Children's Social Care, 2020

On 31st March 2018, there were 6,405 children looked after in Wales, almost 1,900 more children t... more On 31st March 2018, there were 6,405 children looked after in Wales, almost 1,900 more children than were looked after in 2006. Over that time Wales has consistently had more children looked after per 10,000 of the population than the rest of the UK, and that gap has widened. Within Wales, while most Local Authorities have seen a rise in both the number and rate of children looked after, there is significant variation; and some have seen the rate of children looked after fall since 2014. Using published data, this report explores what we can say about the factors that are driving these trends. The following infographics drawing on our data analysis show the kinds of placements children in Wales are in and where they’re placed.

Children Looked After in Wales: Trends, Sep 9, 2020

Children Looked After in Wales: Factors Contributing to Variation in Rates, Sep 9, 2020

International Journal of Population Data Science, 2019

BackgroundYoung people who have offended were, until recently, assessed using the Core ASSET Prof... more BackgroundYoung people who have offended were, until recently, assessed using the Core ASSET Profile – a tool which determined their likelihood of reoffending based on their criminal history and practitioner scores across 12 domains. The repeated assessments provide a set of data for each individual which can be used to model how their risk of further offending varies over time. Having conducted an initial proof of concept study, this work explores the potential of extending the range of ‘risk’ and ‘protective’ factors using anonymised linked data held within the SAIL Databank. Main AimThe feasibility study is designed to establish the potential for using administrative data to develop a more sensitive assessment tool for use in the youth justice system. Specifically, the study explores the impact of being care experienced and of subsequent system contact in elevating the risk of further offending. ApproachA series of Bayesian hierarchical models will be generated which mimic the fe...