Marinos Tsigas - Academia.edu (original) (raw)

Papers by Marinos Tsigas

Research paper thumbnail of Using state-level simulations in a political economy model of US trade policy

Public Choice, 2008

Most analyses of US congressional votes on trade policy identify political and economic factors, ... more Most analyses of US congressional votes on trade policy identify political and economic factors, and general economic conditions as significant factors. In this paper we examine whether simulated state-level impacts of trade policy changes obtained from an applied general equilibrium model explain recent US Senate votes on trade bills. We find that simulated gross state product effects are good predictors

Research paper thumbnail of World Agriculture and Climate Change: Economic Adaptations

Recent studies suggest that possible global increases in temperature and changes in precipitation... more Recent studies suggest that possible global increases in temperature and changes in precipitation patterns during the next century will affect world agriculture. Because of the ability of farmers to adapt , however, these changes are not likely to imperil world food production. Nevertheless, world production of all goods and services may decline, if climate change is severe enough or if

Research paper thumbnail of A general equilibrium analysis of effects of undocumented workers in the United States

We examine some of the economic impacts of the 7.2 million undocumented workers in the United Sta... more We examine some of the economic impacts of the 7.2 million undocumented workers in the United States. We use the USAGE-ITC model, an applied general equilibrium model of the United States. Our simulation suggests that the immigration surplus due to undocumented workers is about $20 billion, which is about 0.19 percent of GDP. Additional calculations with the GTAP model of global trade suggest that ignoring the international implications of immigration and remittances might underestimate the immigration surplus due to undocumented workers.

Research paper thumbnail of Western Hemisphere Integration: Trade Policy Reform and Environmental Policy Harmonization

Research paper thumbnail of Trade Implications of Timber Certification and Ecolabelling in the European Union 1

Research paper thumbnail of Impacts of energy prices on farms in two areas of North Dakota /

Typescript (photocopy). Abstract (1 leaf) bound with copy. Thesis (M.S.)--North Dakota State Univ... more Typescript (photocopy). Abstract (1 leaf) bound with copy. Thesis (M.S.)--North Dakota State University, 1981. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 138-149).

Research paper thumbnail of Policy reform in agriculture and the environment Linkages in the crops sector

Linkages in the crops sector Summary 8. Further work may supplement this quantitative analysis wi... more Linkages in the crops sector Summary 8. Further work may supplement this quantitative analysis with country-specific disaggregated analysis to assess the environmental impacts of trade liberalization at the sub-national level. The approach applied by is promising.

Research paper thumbnail of Testing dynamic models of the farm firm

In this paper two models of dynamic firm behavior are fitted to a data set developed from busines... more In this paper two models of dynamic firm behavior are fitted to a data set developed from business records of Indiana dairy farms. The parametric, restrictions implied by a cost-of-adjustment model are rejected. A less restrictive, disequilibrium model is accepted; this is a model of partial and interrelated adjustment among inputs and outputs. The results suggest that adjustment in quasi-fixed inputs is slow affecting the adjustment in variable inputs and outputs.

Research paper thumbnail of How would Food Markets be Affected by Liberalizing Trade in Processed Foods?

SSRN Electronic Journal, 2000

This paper discusses some of the implications of liberalizing trade in processed foods in the con... more This paper discusses some of the implications of liberalizing trade in processed foods in the context of the upcoming WTO trade negotiations. Simulated impacts suggest that a 30 percent reduction in farm and food tariffs would benefit U.S. farming in terms of output, net exports and income. The U.S. processed food sector would decline, but net exports of processed foods would increase. A 30 percent reduction in farm tariffs coupled with tariff de-escalation in farm-processed foods trade would strengthen further the U.S. farm economy as well as net exports of processed foods. The U.S. processed foods sector would gain the most when a 30 percent reduction in farm tariffs is coupled with elimination of tariff escalation in farm-processed foods trade.

Research paper thumbnail of Market Access Liberalization for Food and Agricultural Products: A General Equilibrium Assessment of Tariff-Rate Quotas

SSRN Electronic Journal, 2000

A global trade, economywide framework is used to assess the implications of improvements in marke... more A global trade, economywide framework is used to assess the implications of improvements in market access through quota expansion and lowering of in-and out-of-quota tariffs. Special features include recent estimates of applied tariffs and TRQs and explicit treatment of those policies in the model. Estimates of welfare impacts suggest that policy reform agreed in the URAA and continuation of such reform would lead to significant welfare gains for the world as a whole and for most regions. Further work may include alternative liberalization scenarios to identify and prioritize policy options regarding market access.

Research paper thumbnail of Disaggregate U.S. Labor Statistics for the USAGE 2.0 and GTAP Applied General Equilibrium Models

SSRN Electronic Journal, 2000

Research paper thumbnail of A Modeling Framework for Multiregional Analysis of the U.S. Economy

SSRN Electronic Journal, 2000

Research paper thumbnail of World Price-Sensitive Goods: A U.S. Macro, Sectoral and State-Level Analysis

SSRN Electronic Journal, 2000

ABSTRACT This paper examines the sensitivity of the U.S. national and state economies to foreign ... more ABSTRACT This paper examines the sensitivity of the U.S. national and state economies to foreign costs utilizing estimates of elasticity-type measures, which incorporate the effects of complete adjustment in all factor and product markets to a shock in the supply of a given foreign commodity.

Research paper thumbnail of General equilibrium analysis of supply control in US agriculture

European Review of Agricultural Economics, 1991

This paper provides a general equilibrium analysis of several alternative supply control measures... more This paper provides a general equilibrium analysis of several alternative supply control measures currently employed (or proposed) for US agriculture. Results confirm that acreage controls generate a large marginal excess burden. How-ever, tradeable output quotas are found to be ...

Research paper thumbnail of Enriching U.S. labor results in a multi-regional CGE model

Economic Modelling, 2014

JEL classification: C68 F16 J31 Keywords: Labor Trade CGE model GTAP Wage Labor structure Labor d... more JEL classification: C68 F16 J31 Keywords: Labor Trade CGE model GTAP Wage Labor structure Labor disaggregation

Research paper thumbnail of Impacts of Better Trade Facilitation in Developing Countries: Analysis with a New GTAP Database for the Value of Time in Trade

submitted to GTAP 11th Annual Conference Helsinki, …, 2008

provided much of the "raw "material in concepts and in substance by recalculating the value of ti... more provided much of the "raw "material in concepts and in substance by recalculating the value of time and providing his always clear and enlightened discussions. All remaining errors and omissions are, of course, the pure responsibility of the authors.

Research paper thumbnail of Tax Policy and U.S. Agriculture: A General Equilibrium Analysis

American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1988

Page 1. Tax Policy and US Agricultur e: A General Equilibrium Analysis Thomas W. Hertel and Marin... more Page 1. Tax Policy and US Agricultur e: A General Equilibrium Analysis Thomas W. Hertel and Marinos E. Tsigas This article emloys a computable general equilibrium model to analyze the effects of eliminating farm and food tax preferences in 1977. ...

Research paper thumbnail of Shifting uses for natural resources in a changing climate

Changes in climate lead to changes in land resources, which in turn lead to changes in the global... more Changes in climate lead to changes in land resources, which in turn lead to changes in the global pattern of economic activity. A number of studies have evaluated effects of climate change on world agricultural systems. Most however used methods that did not permit explicit incorporation of land resources into the analysis. In the present study, the authors are able

Research paper thumbnail of How a Global Inter-Country Input-Output Table with Processing Trade Account Can be constructed from GTAP Database

We developed a method to construct a global ICIO table from version 8 GTAP database as well as de... more We developed a method to construct a global ICIO table from version 8 GTAP database as well as detailed trade data from UN COMTRADE, and two additional IO tables for major emerging economies where processing exports are a large portion of their external trade. We integrate the GTAP database and the additional information with a quadratic mathematical programming model that (a) minimizes the deviation of the resulting new data set from the original GTAP data, (b) ensures that supply and use balance for each sector and every country, and (c) keeps all sectoral bilateral trade flows in the GTAP database constant. Bilateral and aggregate reliability indexes are computed for each GTAP sectors and end use categories which are used to control the relative amount of adjustment for each end-use categories within each original bilateral trade flows from the GTAP database. The new database covers 63 countries/regions and 41 sectors for 2004 and 2007 two years.

Research paper thumbnail of Implications of Tax Policy for U.S. Food and Agriculture A Multiregional, Economy-wide Approach

Research paper thumbnail of Using state-level simulations in a political economy model of US trade policy

Public Choice, 2008

Most analyses of US congressional votes on trade policy identify political and economic factors, ... more Most analyses of US congressional votes on trade policy identify political and economic factors, and general economic conditions as significant factors. In this paper we examine whether simulated state-level impacts of trade policy changes obtained from an applied general equilibrium model explain recent US Senate votes on trade bills. We find that simulated gross state product effects are good predictors

Research paper thumbnail of World Agriculture and Climate Change: Economic Adaptations

Recent studies suggest that possible global increases in temperature and changes in precipitation... more Recent studies suggest that possible global increases in temperature and changes in precipitation patterns during the next century will affect world agriculture. Because of the ability of farmers to adapt , however, these changes are not likely to imperil world food production. Nevertheless, world production of all goods and services may decline, if climate change is severe enough or if

Research paper thumbnail of A general equilibrium analysis of effects of undocumented workers in the United States

We examine some of the economic impacts of the 7.2 million undocumented workers in the United Sta... more We examine some of the economic impacts of the 7.2 million undocumented workers in the United States. We use the USAGE-ITC model, an applied general equilibrium model of the United States. Our simulation suggests that the immigration surplus due to undocumented workers is about $20 billion, which is about 0.19 percent of GDP. Additional calculations with the GTAP model of global trade suggest that ignoring the international implications of immigration and remittances might underestimate the immigration surplus due to undocumented workers.

Research paper thumbnail of Western Hemisphere Integration: Trade Policy Reform and Environmental Policy Harmonization

Research paper thumbnail of Trade Implications of Timber Certification and Ecolabelling in the European Union 1

Research paper thumbnail of Impacts of energy prices on farms in two areas of North Dakota /

Typescript (photocopy). Abstract (1 leaf) bound with copy. Thesis (M.S.)--North Dakota State Univ... more Typescript (photocopy). Abstract (1 leaf) bound with copy. Thesis (M.S.)--North Dakota State University, 1981. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 138-149).

Research paper thumbnail of Policy reform in agriculture and the environment Linkages in the crops sector

Linkages in the crops sector Summary 8. Further work may supplement this quantitative analysis wi... more Linkages in the crops sector Summary 8. Further work may supplement this quantitative analysis with country-specific disaggregated analysis to assess the environmental impacts of trade liberalization at the sub-national level. The approach applied by is promising.

Research paper thumbnail of Testing dynamic models of the farm firm

In this paper two models of dynamic firm behavior are fitted to a data set developed from busines... more In this paper two models of dynamic firm behavior are fitted to a data set developed from business records of Indiana dairy farms. The parametric, restrictions implied by a cost-of-adjustment model are rejected. A less restrictive, disequilibrium model is accepted; this is a model of partial and interrelated adjustment among inputs and outputs. The results suggest that adjustment in quasi-fixed inputs is slow affecting the adjustment in variable inputs and outputs.

Research paper thumbnail of How would Food Markets be Affected by Liberalizing Trade in Processed Foods?

SSRN Electronic Journal, 2000

This paper discusses some of the implications of liberalizing trade in processed foods in the con... more This paper discusses some of the implications of liberalizing trade in processed foods in the context of the upcoming WTO trade negotiations. Simulated impacts suggest that a 30 percent reduction in farm and food tariffs would benefit U.S. farming in terms of output, net exports and income. The U.S. processed food sector would decline, but net exports of processed foods would increase. A 30 percent reduction in farm tariffs coupled with tariff de-escalation in farm-processed foods trade would strengthen further the U.S. farm economy as well as net exports of processed foods. The U.S. processed foods sector would gain the most when a 30 percent reduction in farm tariffs is coupled with elimination of tariff escalation in farm-processed foods trade.

Research paper thumbnail of Market Access Liberalization for Food and Agricultural Products: A General Equilibrium Assessment of Tariff-Rate Quotas

SSRN Electronic Journal, 2000

A global trade, economywide framework is used to assess the implications of improvements in marke... more A global trade, economywide framework is used to assess the implications of improvements in market access through quota expansion and lowering of in-and out-of-quota tariffs. Special features include recent estimates of applied tariffs and TRQs and explicit treatment of those policies in the model. Estimates of welfare impacts suggest that policy reform agreed in the URAA and continuation of such reform would lead to significant welfare gains for the world as a whole and for most regions. Further work may include alternative liberalization scenarios to identify and prioritize policy options regarding market access.

Research paper thumbnail of Disaggregate U.S. Labor Statistics for the USAGE 2.0 and GTAP Applied General Equilibrium Models

SSRN Electronic Journal, 2000

Research paper thumbnail of A Modeling Framework for Multiregional Analysis of the U.S. Economy

SSRN Electronic Journal, 2000

Research paper thumbnail of World Price-Sensitive Goods: A U.S. Macro, Sectoral and State-Level Analysis

SSRN Electronic Journal, 2000

ABSTRACT This paper examines the sensitivity of the U.S. national and state economies to foreign ... more ABSTRACT This paper examines the sensitivity of the U.S. national and state economies to foreign costs utilizing estimates of elasticity-type measures, which incorporate the effects of complete adjustment in all factor and product markets to a shock in the supply of a given foreign commodity.

Research paper thumbnail of General equilibrium analysis of supply control in US agriculture

European Review of Agricultural Economics, 1991

This paper provides a general equilibrium analysis of several alternative supply control measures... more This paper provides a general equilibrium analysis of several alternative supply control measures currently employed (or proposed) for US agriculture. Results confirm that acreage controls generate a large marginal excess burden. How-ever, tradeable output quotas are found to be ...

Research paper thumbnail of Enriching U.S. labor results in a multi-regional CGE model

Economic Modelling, 2014

JEL classification: C68 F16 J31 Keywords: Labor Trade CGE model GTAP Wage Labor structure Labor d... more JEL classification: C68 F16 J31 Keywords: Labor Trade CGE model GTAP Wage Labor structure Labor disaggregation

Research paper thumbnail of Impacts of Better Trade Facilitation in Developing Countries: Analysis with a New GTAP Database for the Value of Time in Trade

submitted to GTAP 11th Annual Conference Helsinki, …, 2008

provided much of the "raw "material in concepts and in substance by recalculating the value of ti... more provided much of the "raw "material in concepts and in substance by recalculating the value of time and providing his always clear and enlightened discussions. All remaining errors and omissions are, of course, the pure responsibility of the authors.

Research paper thumbnail of Tax Policy and U.S. Agriculture: A General Equilibrium Analysis

American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1988

Page 1. Tax Policy and US Agricultur e: A General Equilibrium Analysis Thomas W. Hertel and Marin... more Page 1. Tax Policy and US Agricultur e: A General Equilibrium Analysis Thomas W. Hertel and Marinos E. Tsigas This article emloys a computable general equilibrium model to analyze the effects of eliminating farm and food tax preferences in 1977. ...

Research paper thumbnail of Shifting uses for natural resources in a changing climate

Changes in climate lead to changes in land resources, which in turn lead to changes in the global... more Changes in climate lead to changes in land resources, which in turn lead to changes in the global pattern of economic activity. A number of studies have evaluated effects of climate change on world agricultural systems. Most however used methods that did not permit explicit incorporation of land resources into the analysis. In the present study, the authors are able

Research paper thumbnail of How a Global Inter-Country Input-Output Table with Processing Trade Account Can be constructed from GTAP Database

We developed a method to construct a global ICIO table from version 8 GTAP database as well as de... more We developed a method to construct a global ICIO table from version 8 GTAP database as well as detailed trade data from UN COMTRADE, and two additional IO tables for major emerging economies where processing exports are a large portion of their external trade. We integrate the GTAP database and the additional information with a quadratic mathematical programming model that (a) minimizes the deviation of the resulting new data set from the original GTAP data, (b) ensures that supply and use balance for each sector and every country, and (c) keeps all sectoral bilateral trade flows in the GTAP database constant. Bilateral and aggregate reliability indexes are computed for each GTAP sectors and end use categories which are used to control the relative amount of adjustment for each end-use categories within each original bilateral trade flows from the GTAP database. The new database covers 63 countries/regions and 41 sectors for 2004 and 2007 two years.

Research paper thumbnail of Implications of Tax Policy for U.S. Food and Agriculture A Multiregional, Economy-wide Approach