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Papers by Mark Boothe

Research paper thumbnail of Examining the Roles of the Easterly Wave Critical Layer and Vorticity Accretion during the Tropical Cyclogenesis of Hurricane Sandy*

Monthly Weather Review, 2015

Research paper thumbnail of Atlantic Application of the Systematic Approach to Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasting. Part 1. Environmental Structure Characteristics

This Meteorological knowledge base for application of the Systematic Approach to Tropical Cyclone... more This Meteorological knowledge base for application of the Systematic Approach to Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasting in the Atlantic basin follows from similar knowledge bases previously developed for the western North Pacific, the eastern and central North Pacific, and the Southern Hemisphere. A common environment structure terminology has been adopted in which three synoptic patterns (Standard, Poleward, and Midlatitude) are found in each of these basins. Each basin also has a special pattern, which in the Atlantic is the Upper-level low. The conceptual models for these synoptic patterns with their associated synoptic regions are described here via a conceptual model, analysis examples, and the characteristic track segments within each region. A climatology of occurrences in each patter/region for the 1568 cases during 1990-98 is prepared. The second key element in the knowledge base is the transitional mechanisms that change the environment structure and thus change the tropical c...

Research paper thumbnail of Accuracy of Atlantic and Eastern North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecast Guidance

Weather and Forecasting, 2007

... J. Geophys. Res., 81, 1153–1162. Emanuel, KA, and E. Rappaport, 2000: Forecast skill of a sim... more ... J. Geophys. Res., 81, 1153–1162. Emanuel, KA, and E. Rappaport, 2000: Forecast skill of a simplified hurricane intensity prediction model. Preprints, 24th Conf. ... Meteor. Soc., CD-ROM, 6A.5. Franklin, JL, 2005: 2004 National Hurricane Center verification report. ...

Research paper thumbnail of Dynamical Tropical Cyclone 96- and 120-h Track Forecast Errors in the Western North Pacific

Weather and Forecasting, 2007

Research paper thumbnail of Assessment of Western North Pacific 96- and 120-h Track Guidance and Present Forecastability

Weather and Forecasting, 2007

Research paper thumbnail of Weighted Position and Motion Vector Consensus of Tropical Cyclone Track Prediction in the Western North Pacific

Monthly Weather Review, 2008

Research paper thumbnail of Condensed and updated version of the systematic approach meteorological knowledge base western North Pacific

Public resltarlng burden for this colleclton of nifnomatoon no es• atned to aeqerq# is hour oP re... more Public resltarlng burden for this colleclton of nifnomatoon no es• atned to aeqerq# is hour oP resoonte. including the tsme for reviewing Instrruitfot, eaeching eutting dais tourCes. gathef)ng and maitfaining the daes needed, and €ompletrng and reviewing the cofect[on, of informnation Send comments f egarddng thi burden estimate of any other asbect of this tollctt.on of information. inluding uggettfo n fo1 reducing shot bIurden. to Washington Headquartert ServKet. Olrectorate tot information Ooerations and ae-parts. ts) ti jeffeton Do." Highway. Suite 1204. At hn9f On. VA 21202-4302. end to the Office of Management and Budget. Paperwok Aiduction Protect (0704.0188). Washington. DC 20503.

Research paper thumbnail of Southern Hemisphere Application of the Systematic Approach to Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasting. Part 2. Climatology and Refinement of Meteorological …

Form approved OMB No 0704-0188 Public reporting burden for this collection of information is esti... more Form approved OMB No 0704-0188 Public reporting burden for this collection of information is estimated to average 1 hour per response, including the time for reviewing instructions, searching existing data sources, Gathering and maintaining the data needed, and completing and reviewing the collection of information. Send comments regarding this burden estimate or any other aspect of this collection of information, including suggestions for reducing this burden, to Washington Headquarters Services, Directorate for information Operations and Reports, 1215 Jefferson Davis Highway, Suite 1204, Arlington, VA 22202-4302, and to the Office of Management and Budget, Paperwork Reduction Project (0704-0188), Washington, DC 20503.

Research paper thumbnail of Systematic and Integrated Approach To Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasting in the Eastern and Central North Pacific

Research paper thumbnail of Statistical Postprocessing of NOGAPS Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasts

Monthly Weather Review, 1999

Research paper thumbnail of Examining the Roles of the Easterly Wave Critical Layer and Vorticity Accretion during the Tropical Cyclogenesis of Hurricane Sandy*

Monthly Weather Review, 2015

Research paper thumbnail of Atlantic Application of the Systematic Approach to Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasting. Part 1. Environmental Structure Characteristics

This Meteorological knowledge base for application of the Systematic Approach to Tropical Cyclone... more This Meteorological knowledge base for application of the Systematic Approach to Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasting in the Atlantic basin follows from similar knowledge bases previously developed for the western North Pacific, the eastern and central North Pacific, and the Southern Hemisphere. A common environment structure terminology has been adopted in which three synoptic patterns (Standard, Poleward, and Midlatitude) are found in each of these basins. Each basin also has a special pattern, which in the Atlantic is the Upper-level low. The conceptual models for these synoptic patterns with their associated synoptic regions are described here via a conceptual model, analysis examples, and the characteristic track segments within each region. A climatology of occurrences in each patter/region for the 1568 cases during 1990-98 is prepared. The second key element in the knowledge base is the transitional mechanisms that change the environment structure and thus change the tropical c...

Research paper thumbnail of Accuracy of Atlantic and Eastern North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecast Guidance

Weather and Forecasting, 2007

... J. Geophys. Res., 81, 1153–1162. Emanuel, KA, and E. Rappaport, 2000: Forecast skill of a sim... more ... J. Geophys. Res., 81, 1153–1162. Emanuel, KA, and E. Rappaport, 2000: Forecast skill of a simplified hurricane intensity prediction model. Preprints, 24th Conf. ... Meteor. Soc., CD-ROM, 6A.5. Franklin, JL, 2005: 2004 National Hurricane Center verification report. ...

Research paper thumbnail of Dynamical Tropical Cyclone 96- and 120-h Track Forecast Errors in the Western North Pacific

Weather and Forecasting, 2007

Research paper thumbnail of Assessment of Western North Pacific 96- and 120-h Track Guidance and Present Forecastability

Weather and Forecasting, 2007

Research paper thumbnail of Weighted Position and Motion Vector Consensus of Tropical Cyclone Track Prediction in the Western North Pacific

Monthly Weather Review, 2008

Research paper thumbnail of Condensed and updated version of the systematic approach meteorological knowledge base western North Pacific

Public resltarlng burden for this colleclton of nifnomatoon no es• atned to aeqerq# is hour oP re... more Public resltarlng burden for this colleclton of nifnomatoon no es• atned to aeqerq# is hour oP resoonte. including the tsme for reviewing Instrruitfot, eaeching eutting dais tourCes. gathef)ng and maitfaining the daes needed, and €ompletrng and reviewing the cofect[on, of informnation Send comments f egarddng thi burden estimate of any other asbect of this tollctt.on of information. inluding uggettfo n fo1 reducing shot bIurden. to Washington Headquartert ServKet. Olrectorate tot information Ooerations and ae-parts. ts) ti jeffeton Do." Highway. Suite 1204. At hn9f On. VA 21202-4302. end to the Office of Management and Budget. Paperwok Aiduction Protect (0704.0188). Washington. DC 20503.

Research paper thumbnail of Southern Hemisphere Application of the Systematic Approach to Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasting. Part 2. Climatology and Refinement of Meteorological …

Form approved OMB No 0704-0188 Public reporting burden for this collection of information is esti... more Form approved OMB No 0704-0188 Public reporting burden for this collection of information is estimated to average 1 hour per response, including the time for reviewing instructions, searching existing data sources, Gathering and maintaining the data needed, and completing and reviewing the collection of information. Send comments regarding this burden estimate or any other aspect of this collection of information, including suggestions for reducing this burden, to Washington Headquarters Services, Directorate for information Operations and Reports, 1215 Jefferson Davis Highway, Suite 1204, Arlington, VA 22202-4302, and to the Office of Management and Budget, Paperwork Reduction Project (0704-0188), Washington, DC 20503.

Research paper thumbnail of Systematic and Integrated Approach To Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasting in the Eastern and Central North Pacific

Research paper thumbnail of Statistical Postprocessing of NOGAPS Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasts

Monthly Weather Review, 1999

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