Analysis of migration as the element of demographic changes in the europe an union context (original) (raw)
Demography and Migration - from the past to the future
The center topic of the 12th Carpathian Basin Summer University was the analysis of the effects and the present situation of demography changes and migration processes. This paper is a cluster of the numerous presentations. The content is not a selection, the publication was open for every lecturer, and participant. The texts summarise briefly the contents of the lectures and reflections dividing them into three topics: society, politics and religion.
New migration trends of the population in a modern society
СОЦИОЛОШКИ ДИСКУРС
Spatial movement of the population is not a new phenomenon - it hasbeen happening throughout the history in its various shapes, scopeand intensity. Nevertheless, with the processes of globalisation it hasbeen more and more noticeable taking a new shape and social characteristics(especially, economic migration). However, many of thethreats and problems manifested at a global level still stay the maincauses of legal and/or illegal, voluntary and involuntary migrations(poverty, unemployment, civil wars, persecutions, climate change,etc.). Long-term economic and demographic problems in developedcountries have negative consequences - reducing the working-agepopulation, undermining the sustainability of the social protectionsystem and sustainable economic growth and the development of societyin general. Therefore, the importance of migration has been notedto remedy these negative consequences. In order to face the problemsthat cause migration, the challenges and consequences of migration,...
Migration and Ageing of the Population of the Czech Republic and the EU Countries
Prague Economic Papers, 2010
The population ageing is the main population problem of Europe. Population development may influence the economy and the economy may retrospectively influence population development. The consequences of this process may appear with a delay of several decades and they may have an unfavourable influence on the functioning of the economy and the prosperity of individual European countries. In connection with this, the international migration is often brought up, mainlythe question whether the migration can solve or at least lessen the ramifi cations connected with the decrease in the number of population itself and population ageing. The migration itself israther wide and extensive and cannot be dwelled upon in great detail, ergo we pointed out some of the ground ideas in this article, especially those which are most commonly connected with thedemographic migration.
European Journal of Population / Revue européenne de Démographie, 2007
Population and labour force projections are made for 27 selected European countries for 2002-2052, focussing on the impact of international migration on population and labour force dynamics. Starting from single scenarios for fertility, mortality and economic activity, three sets of assumptions are explored regarding migration flows, taking into account probable policy developments in Europe following the enlargement of the EU. In addition to age structures, various support ratio indicators are analysed. The results indicate that plausible immigration cannot offset the negative effects of population and labour force ageing. Keywords Population projections AE Labour force projections AE International migration AE Population ageing AE Europe Ré sumé Des projections de population et de population active sont pré senté es pour 27 pays Europé ens pour la pé riode 2002-2052, avec un inté rê t particulier pour l'impact de la migration internationale sur la dynamique des populations. A partir de scé narios uniques pour la fé condité , la mortalité et l'activité é conomique, trois sé ries d'hypothè ses concernant les flux migratoires sont exploré es, en inté grant des prévisions sur les dé veloppements des politiques publiques à la suite de l'é largissement de l'Union Europé enne. Les structures par â ge sont analysé es, de mê me que des indicateurs de rapports de dé pendance. Les ré sultats indiquent que les flux d'immigration vraisemblables ne pourront pas compenser les effets né gatifs du vieillissement de la population et de celui de la population active.
Future demographic change in Europe: the contribution of migration
2003
This paper quantitatively assesses the effects of possible alternative future migration trends in the European Union (EU-15) on population growth and ageing until 2050. In particular, it views the uncertainty about future migration trends in the context of the range of possible future fertility and mortality trends. This is first done by comparing two sets of probabilistic population projections, a "regular" one including immigration, and a hypothetical "no migration" case assuming a closed population. In the second part we consider the question to what extent immigration can compensate for the low birth rates in Europe by combining seven alternative fertility-level scenarios with four migration scenarios. The results show a distinct compensatory effect for both total population size and the old-age dependency ratio: 100,000 additional immigrants per year have the same effect as an increase in the total fertility rate by 0.1 children per woman on average.
Population Change and Migration in Europe and the UK
Drew, J. and Bond, M. (eds.) (2013) The Regent's Report: The UK and Europe: Costs, Benefits, Options. , 2013
Migration is difficult to analyse: the process is complex, the data poor, and the theory unsatisfactory. In addition, it suffers from unpredictable policy changes. But what is clear is that the UK and the other member states of the European Union currently face significant population fluctuations characterised by an ageing population and an increase in migration. Births and deaths are well-recorded in the industrialised countries and demographic techniques enable reasonably accurate projections. However, migration registers – the number and characteristics of people entering and leaving an area - are not equally good and reliable in all countries.
The Contribution of Migration to Europe’s Demographic Future: Projections for the EU-25 to 2050
2007
This paper quantifies the extent to which different assumptions about net migration gains in the European Union contribute to future population growth and to diminishing the rate of population aging. This is done first in the context of probabilistic population projections, where the results of a model based on the full uncertainty distributions in fertility, mortality and migration are contrasted to an otherwise identical model in which a closed population is assumed, i.e., without migration gains or losses. The results show that without migration gains, Europe would be headed towards continuous population shrinkage. As a second approach, 25 scenarios are specified that combine five alternative future fertility levels (ranging from total fertility rates of 0.8 to 2.4) with five alternative migration levels (ranging from zero to 2.0 million annual net migration gains). The results show that fertility and migration have a compensatory relationship where, around the middle of the considered range, a fertility rate that is constantly 0.1 children higher has the same effect on the old-age dependency ratio as an additional constant annual migration gain of 375,000 at the level of the EU-25 by 2050.
Central + East European Politics 5E (Rowman + Littlefield), 2021
This is a chapter on contemporary issues of demography and migration in East and Central Europe. It examines the sociological, political, and economic significance of demographic and migration trends in the region.
International Migration in Europe in the 21ST Century
Proceedings 2018
Migrations are often associated with improving the educational and qualification structure of the population, increasing its cultural level, but also with the increase in its needs and the expansion of the domestic and foreign markets. On the other hand, migrations also have contradictory consequences-loss of working time, loss of leisure time, reduction of population and deterioration of its structure, excessive concentration of population, "forced" urbanization and a number of others. Migration is a complex demographic and socioeconomic process that is related to the development of productive forces and relations, the reproduction of the population and its territorial distribution. Migration for work is perhaps the most common type of migration for the EU. Migration is a global problem that will remain in the future. Coping with the increasing migratory flows of people is one of the main problems at the beginning of the 21st century. In view of the importance of international migration for the dynamics of the population in Europe, it is of great importance to explore the factors that determine it. Such knowledge would contribute to making more accurate forecasts on migration, which in turn will also help to better predict the population. Different types of migration will leave a different impression on the overall appearance of parts of Europe that changes over time.
The main aspects of migration flow and its impacts on Europe on the context of modern century
Concepts such as immigrants, refugees and asylum seekers are more and more on our agenda every day. Millions of people from various countries these adjectives, world by millions of people trying to live in this status in European countries. The fact that a significant proportion of immigrants who want to leave their country wants to come to Europe cannot be ignored. There are various reasons behind this. For example, immigrant networks of families and acquaintances in Europe tend to facilitate migration and to see Europe as a dusty pink or even a paradise on earth. A large flow of migrants has a non-indicative effect on the EU, because there are many protests from EU citizens and some countries. This paper will analyze the migration flows and its impacts on European Union on the context of modern centuryPolitikos mokslų ir diplomatijos fakult.Vytauto Didžiojo universiteta