Self-Deception Surrounds India-Pakistan Summit. (original) (raw)

Changing Equations of India-Pakistan Relations: Unresolved Kashmir Dispute as a Decider Factor

Since the independence and violent partition of two South Asian countries India and Pakistan in 1947, relations between these two have been inflexible, conflictual, distrustful and very risky political stand off in global context in general and in South Asia particular. Moreover, both are closest and bordering neighbors with close literary, social and cultural bonds but remained at great distance from each other. It is doubtless that there are many reasons and factors behind such turbulence situations and unstabilized political environment but Kashmir issue remains the primary factor and problematic for the development of two nations. However, India and Pakistan have always been caught in enduring conflicts, but in recent time, there are certain changes took place due to the change in the leadership and misadventures/infiltration/proxy war in Kashmir valley as their relations seem to be bitterer than ever before which give the space to international organizations to intervene in their disputes and state of affairs. In such situation, Kashmir is being seen as decider factor to Indo-Pak relations. In such context, this paper is an attempt to touch various issues especially Kashmir dispute between these two nations including the understanding of changing nature of their relations for many years while highlighting the role of external powers which would contribute to the transitory nature of their dynamic relations to draw analytical inferences. It also tries to explore the future of Indo-Pak relations while examining attempts made in the direction to normalize their relations.

The Indo-Pak Dialogue: The deadlock between two countries over Kashmir (2008-2021

India and Pakistan both states are next door. After the independence, Kashmir became only one of the major brinks of war between both countries. Meanwhile, democratic governments did not solve the problem through the peace process with India. But Parvez Musharraf who was the only leader in Pakistan wanted to bring Kashmir to table talks and the peace process. In 2010, PPP had analyzed the whole situation after it had banned the Jammat ud Dawa (JD) and some of the leaders were arrested which might create fruitful decisions on composite dialogue on both sides. Due to the decrease in surgical strikes and moderate approach in IAK in 2010. Indeed, Indian government is sincere at least by talking with Pakistan about the critical issue over Kashmir. To break out the ondeadlock backchannel diplomacy. But there is not any chance to cease the problem of violence in Kashmir. But it should be the true nature of action to bring peace and to solve the issue with clear objects. Pakistan is also considering this issue to end by both sides however, at the composite dialogues. There was too much critical time for both to go to war against each other after the revocation of 370 in Jammu and Kashmir in 2019. Since the peace process started from both sides and agree to not interfere with the third-party involvement in this issue as further. The main tigered has come out at the level of that condition down and jury for the new desire of peace. And both sides are willing to end the deadlock between both countries after the mistrust among themselves. In 2021, both countries are looking to break the deadlock over Kashmir to solve the conflict through backchannel diplomacy.

Getting to Yes in the India-Pakistan Conflict: Addressing Indian concerns on a possible compromise with Pakistan

Journal of Peace, Conflict & Development, 2015

Even after 65 years of their independence, India and Pakistan are locked in a deadly territorial conflict over Kashmir. Despite several mediation attempts and many rounds of bilateral negotiations, Kashmir still defies a solution. Fisher and Ury’s win-win solution in Getting to Yes is applied on India-Pakistan conflict to understand the nature of conflict and see how their four suggested methods can help addressing the deadlock in the peace process between India and Pakistan. In the second part of the paper Fisher and Ury’s method, “focus on interests not positions” is used to understand the Indian fears and concerns behind India’s declared policy of calling Kashmir as their “integral part”. It is despite the fact that the first Indian Prime Minister, Nehru had made solid pledges in UN and on other forums of holding a plebiscite in Kashmir to determine the right of self determination of the people of Kashmir. An attempt is made to look at Indian concerns more deeply and find out the possible ways of addressing them.

Indo-Pak Relations: Kashmir Perspective

Since independence in 1947 of India and Pakistan, Kashmir has remained a bone of contention between Pakistan and India. The most problematic region between India and Pakistan was Kashmir, a small region located high in the Himalayas. At Independence, Kashmir, comprised of an 80 percent Muslim majority, still had not chosen whether to join India or Pakistan. Since independence in 1947 of India and Pakistan, Kashmir has remained a bone of contention between Pakistan and India. They have fought three wars so far on the dispute and continue to be a source of irritant in their relations. It is also a flash point between the two nuclear powers of South Asia. In this paper there is an effort to understand the Kashmir problem between two states.

EXPLAINING THE CURRENT INDIA-PAKISTAN STALEMATE: HOW CAN THEY MOVE AHEAD

Regional Studies, 2022

As confirmed by the then foreign minister of Pakistan Khurshid Mahmud Kasuri in his book Neither a Hawk, Nor a Dove, India and Pakistan were close to resolving the Kashmir dispute and signing a treaty of peace, security, and friendship in 2007 on the lines of Elysée Treaty signed between Germany and France. But then Mumbai happened in 2008. Since then, despite several efforts, both countries could not come back to the negotiation track which was termed as a stalemate by many observers of South Asian politics. On top of it, the Modi government in India unilaterally revoked Articles 370 and 35-A of its Constitution in August 2019 and converted the autonomous state of Jammu and Kashmir into two Union Territories. This step has further deepened the stalemate. In this paper, tracing the developments from 2008 onwards, the nature and scope of the stalemate between India and Pakistan are studied. An attempt is made to identify the conflicting issues that have caused this stalemate and where exactly they are stuck. Moreover, the paper also discusses how the two countries can move forward and what can the possible way out is if both parties are willing to move forward.

The Kashmir Dispute: Key to South Asian Peace 1 The Kashmir Dispute: Key to South Asian Peace

Not only the future of Indo-Pak relations but prospects of peace in South Asia hinge on resolution of the Kashmir dispute. The seeds of the dispute were sown by the British and all efforts by Pakistan and international agencies have been frustrated by Indian intransigence which rejects arbitration and uses all diplomatic guiles to delay efforts towards a negotiated settlement. Pakistan policy has been consistent all along and achieve success in internationalizing the issue which India wishes to maintain as a bilateral tussle. The on-again off-again composite dialogue process together with backdoor diplomacy all seem to be getting nowhere. In such a situation out of the box strategies need to be tried towards which a beginning was made by general Musharraf resulting in some softening of communication between the two Kashmirs. Deep rooted distrust, differing security perceptions and chosen ideologies continue to mark all thresh approaches. The history of these trends and developments are discussed and the pros and cons of various approaches together with the China like strategy of putting problems on the back burner and pursuing CBMS are discussed with implications.

Déjà vu All Over Again? Why Dialogue Won’t Solve the Kashmir Dispute.

2001

and Pakistan over the state of Kashmir has become the cause of international concern. The stakes for these nuclear-armed rivals are high. Each views Kashmir as the validation of its national ideology; each fears that giving it up will result in serious domestic turmoil. Moreover, each country has plausible

PAKISTAN'S CHANGING OUTLOOK ON KASHMIR

Having remained wedded to Kashmir as an " armed self-determination conflict " for over five decades, Pakistan under General Pervez Musharraf seems to be changing course in favor of a diplomatic settlement that would be acceptable to India, Pakistan and the Kashmiris. This changing Pakistani outlook on Kashmir is clearly reflected in President Musharraf's advocacy of a four point proposal which seeks a settlement of the Kashmir dispute outside the framework of UN resolutions. This article describes key elements of Islamabad's new thinking on Kashmir, analyses some of the domestic, regional and global factors underpinning this change and concludes by noting some of the domestic challenges faced by Musharraf in effectively pursuing his out of the box thinking on Kashmir. KEYWORDS

INDIA-PAKISTAN CONFRONTATION: WHAT HAS CHANGED ABOUT INDIAN- HELD KASHMIR SINCE 1947

Prologue The ideological imprudence and political short-sightedness of Indian leadership has never allowed it to win the hearts and minds of Kashmiris. Treating the Kashmiris with an iron fist would never complement Indian grand strategy in the region and beyond. The human sufferings in Indian-held Kashmir (IHK) would also continue to jeopardize India's self-proclaimed world shining image. The Kashmir conflict has long begun to cease as a 'mere territorial dispute' between India and Pakistan given the strategic pattern of regional and international politics in the last few decades, large-scale western influence in the region, proxy wars, dynamics of alliances and coalitions within and beyond the region, and most importantly, the rise and spread of dissident elements in IHK with strong linkages elsewhere. Becoming well aware of these socio-political dynamics, New Delhi has lately realized the futility of any solution of Kashmir issue without taking into account the diverse political aspirations of Kashmiris living in the region. What is still missing in New Delhi's policy vision, however, is her stiffness over not allowing a trilateral dialogue to break the impasse of political negotiations and finding a win-win solution on all three fronts, i.e., India, Pakistan, and Kashmir. The nature of India-Pakistan peace parleys and the strategic issues involved in them often fail to complement whatever New Delhi and Kashmiri leadership arrives at and vice versa. The peace process on Kashmir is a broad subject to be dealt with in a single study. This paper, therefore, limits itself to socio-political and military dynamics through which IHK has been passing during the past six decades, making it vulnerable to communal wrangling just like the rest of India.