Combining ALT/AST Values with Surgical APGAR Score Improves Prediction of Major Complications after Hepatectomy (original) (raw)
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Scientific Reports, 2020
The aim of this study was to assess and compare the discriminatory performance of well-known risk assessment scores in predicting mortality risk after extended hepatectomy (EH). A series of 250 patients who underwent EH (≥5 segments resection) were evaluated. Aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI), albumin to bilirubin (ALBI) grade, predictive score developed by Breitenstein et al., liver fibrosis (FIB-4) index, and Heidelberg reference lines charting were used to compute cut-off values, and the sensitivity and specificity of each risk assessment score for predicting mortality were also calculated. Major morbidity and 90-day mortality after EH increased with increasing risk scores. APRI (86%), ALBI (86%), Heidelberg score (81%), and FIB-4 index (79%) had the highest sensitivity for 90-day mortality. However, only the FIB-4 index and Heidelberg score had an acceptable specificity (70% and 65%, respectively). A two-stage risk assessment strategy (Heidelberg–FIB-4 mo...
HPB : the official journal of the International Hepato Pancreato Biliary Association, 2018
The American College of Surgeons NSQIP Surgical Risk Calculator (SRC) was developed to estimate postoperative outcomes. Our goal was to develop and validate an institution-specific risk calculator for patients undergoing major hepatectomy at Carolinas Medical Center (CMC). Outcomes generated by the SRC were recorded for 139 major hepatectomies performed at CMC (2008-2016). Novel predictive models for seven postoperative outcomes were constructed and probabilities calculated. Brier score and area under the curve (AUC) were employed to assess accuracy. Internal validation was performed using bootstrap logistic regression. Logistic regression models were constructed using bivariate and multivariate analyses. Brier scores showed no significant difference in the predictive ability of the SRC and CMC model. Significant differences in the discriminative ability of the models were identified at the individual level. Both models closely predicted 30-day mortality (SRC AUC: 0.867; CMC AUC: 0....
Journal of Surgical Oncology, 2019
Background: Post hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) is a serious complication in patients undergoing liver resection. This study hypothesized that a new pre-operative risk score developed through statistical modeling to predict PHLF could be used to stratify patients at higher risk of PHLF. Methods: Patients who underwent hepatectomy between 2008 and 2016 were included in the derivation and validation cohorts. A multivariable binary logistic regression model was performed to identify predictors of PHLF, and a prognostic score was derived. Results: A total of 1269 patients were included in the derivation cohort. PHLF was encountered in 13.1% and was associated with significantly increased 90-day mortality and prolonged post-operative hospital stay (both p < 0.001). Multivariable analysis identified the extent of surgery (p < 0.001) and pre-operative bilirubin (p = 0.015), INR (p < 0.001), and creatinine (p = 0.048) to be independent predictors of PHLF. A risk score derived from these factors returned an area under the ROC curve (AUROC) of 0.816 (p < 0.001) for an internal validation cohort (N = 453), significantly outperforming the MELD score (AUROC: 0.643). Conclusion: The PHLF risk score could be used to stratify the risk of PHLF among patients planned for hepatectomy.
Annals of Surgery, 2021
Objective: To compare different criteria for post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) and evaluate the association between International Study Group of Liver Surgery (ISGLS) PHLF and the Comprehensive Complication Index (CCI)” and 90-day mortality. Summary of Background Data: PHLF is a serious complication following hepatic resection. Multiple criteria have been developed to characterize PHLF. Methods: Adults who underwent major hepatectomies at twelve international centers (2010–2020) were included. We identified patients who met criteria for PHLF based on three definitions: 1) ISGLS, 2) Balzan (INR > 1.7 and bilirubin > 2.92mg/dL) or 3) Mullen (peak bilirubin >7mg/dL). We compared the 90-day mortality and major morbidity predicted by each definition. We then used logistic regression to determine the odds of CCI>40 and 90-day mortality associated with ISGLS grades. Results: Among 1646 included patients, 19 (1.1%) met Balzan, 68 (4.1%) met Mullen, and 444 (27.0%) met ISGLS ...
World Journal of Surgery, 2020
Background Liver resection (LR) is the main modality of treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM). Post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) remains the most dreaded complication. We aim to create a prognostic score for early risk stratification of patients undergoing LR. Methodology Clinical and operative data of 472 patients between 2000 and 2016 with HCC or CRLM undergoing major hepatectomy were extracted and analysed from a prospectively maintained database. PHLF was defined using the 50-50 criteria. Results Liver cirrhosis and fatty liver were histologically confirmed in 35.6% and 53% of patients. 4.7% (n = 22) of patients had PHLF. A 90-day mortality was 5.1% (n = 24). Pre-operative albumin-bilirubin score (p = 0.0385), prothrombin time (p \ 0.0001) and the natural logarithm of the ratio of post-operative day 1 to pre-operative serum bilirubin (SB) (ln(POD1 Bil/ pre-op Bil); p \ 0.0001) were significantly independent predictors of PHLF. The PHLF prognostic nomogram was developed using these factors with receiver operating curve showing area under curve of 0.88. Excellent sensitivity (94.7%) and specificity (95.7%) for the prediction of PHLF (50-50 criteria) were achieved at cutoffs of 9 and 11 points on this model. This score was also predictive of PHLF according to Peak Bil [ 7 and International Study Group for Liver Surgery criteria, intensive care unit admissions, length of stay, all complications, major complications, re-admissions and mortality (p \ 0.05). Conclusions The PHLF nomogram (https://tinyurl.com/SGH-PHLF-Risk-Calculator) can serve as a useful tool for early identification of patients at high risk of PHLF before the 'point of no return'. This allows enforcement of closer monitoring, timely intervention and mitigation of adverse outcomes.
Medicine, 2016
To construct a robust morbidity risk-prediction model based on a Japanese nationwide web-based database of patients who underwent liver surgery.Although liver resection has become safer, patient mortality and morbidity still occur. This study investigated postoperative morbidity risks in patients who underwent hepatectomy in Japan at institutions registered in the National Clinical Database.This analysis involved 14,970 patients who underwent hepatectomy of more than 1 section, except for left lateral sectionectomy, during 2011 and 2012 at 1192 hospitals in Japan. Patients were randomized into 2 subsets, with 80% of patients analyzed for model development and the remaining 20% for model validation.Rates of 90-day inhospital mortality and overall morbidity were 3.7% and 25.7%, respectively. Rates of surgical site infection and bile leakage were 9.0% and 8.0%, respectively, but these morbidities showed little association with mortality. Rates of nonsurgical complications, including po...
HPB, 2015
Objectives: Post-hepatectomy liver failure has a major impact on patient outcome. This study aims to explore the impact of the integration of a novel patient-centred evaluation, the LiMAx algorithm, on perioperative patient outcome after hepatectomy. Methods: Trends in perioperative variables and morbidity and mortality rates in 1170 consecutive patients undergoing elective hepatectomy between January 2006 and December 2011 were analysed retrospectively. Propensity score matching was used to compare the effects on morbidity and mortality of the integration of the LiMAx algorithm into clinical practice. Results: Over the study period, the proportion of complex hepatectomies increased from 29.1% in 2006 to 37.7% in 2011 (P = 0.034). Similarly, the proportion of patients with liver cirrhosis selected for hepatic surgery rose from 6.9% in 2006 to 11.3% in 2011 (P = 0.039). Despite these increases, rates of post-hepatectomy liver failure fell from 24.7% in 2006 to 9.0% in 2011 (P < 0.001) and liver failurerelated postoperative mortality decreased from 4.0% in 2006 to 0.9% in 2011 (P = 0.014). Propensity score matching was associated with reduced rates of post-hepatectomy liver failure [24.7% (n = 77) versus 11.2% (n = 35); P < 0.001] and related mortality [3.8% (n = 12) versus 1.0% (n = 3); P = 0.035]. Conclusions: Postoperative liver failure and postoperative liver failure-related mortality decreased in patients undergoing hepatectomy following the implementation of the LiMAx algorithm.
Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery, 2016
Background While minimally invasive surgery (MIS) to treat liver tumors has increased, data on perioperative outcomes of MIS relative to open liver resection (O-LR) are lacking. We sought to compare short-term outcomes among patients undergoing MIS vs. O-LR in a nationally representative database. Methods The National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database was used to identify patients undergoing hepatectomy between January 1 and December 31, 2014. Propensity score matching algorithm was used to balance differences in baseline characteristics among MIS and O-LR groups. Results A total of 3064 patients were included in the study. After propensity matching, the baseline characteristics for O-LR and MIS groups were comparable (minimum p value=0.12). Incidence of superficial surgical site infections, intraoperative or postoperative blood transfusions, and pulmonary embolism was lower among patients in MIS group compared to O-LR (p<0.02). Liver failure and biliary leakage were also less frequent among patients undergoing MIS (p<0.01). Similarly, MIS was associated with a shorter length of hospital stay (LOS) compared to O-LR (p<0.001). Of note, 30-day postoperative mortality and readmission were comparable between the two groups. Conclusions Patients undergoing MIS had a lower postoperative morbidity and shorter LOS compared with patients undergoing O-LR. MIS is safe and may be associated with improved short-term outcomes following hepatic surgery.
European Journal of Surgical Oncology (EJSO), 2017
Introduction: Recently, there has been increasing interest in the preoperative prediction and prevention of post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF). This is a particular concern in colorectal liver metastases (CRLM), when surgery follows potentially hepatotoxic chemotherapy. Platelet-based liver scores (PBLS) such as APRI and FIB-4 are predictive of chemotherapy-associated liver injury (CALI) and PHLF. Estimation of the future liver remnant function (eFLRF) by combining 99m Tc-Mebrofenin Hepatobiliary Scintigraphy (HBS BSA) with future liver remnant volume ratio (FLRV%), is predictive of PHLF and related mortality. We hypothesized that a HBS BSA based formula was a better predictor for PHLF than PBLS in chemotherapy-pretreated CRLM. Methods: Between 2012 and 2016, 140 patients underwent liver resection for CRLM following systemic therapy. HBS BSA , FLRV%, eFLRF and PBLS were calculated and compared for their value in predicting PHLF. Results: eFLRF and FLRV% had a better predictive value for PHLF than HBS BSA alone and APRI and FIB-4 (AUC = 0.800, 0.843 versus 0.652, 0.635 and 0.658 respectively). In a subgroup analysis (Oxaliplatin all, Oxaliplatin ≥ 6 cycles, Irinotecan all and Irinotecan ≥ 6 cycles), eFLRF was the only factor predictive for PHLF in all subgroups (all: p ≤ 0.05). Prediction of HBS BSA for chemotherapy associated steato-hepatitis (CASH) reached significance (p = 0.06). FIB-4 was predictive for sinusoidal obstruction syndrome (SOS) (p = 0.011). Only weak correlation was found between HBS BSA and PBLS. Conclusion: eFLRF is a better predictor of PHLF than PBLS or HBS BSA alone. PBLS seem to measure other aspects of liver function or damage than HBS BSA .