Hans J Pasman, Risk Analysis and Control for Industrial Processes - Gas, Oil and Chemicals: A System Perspective for Assessing and Avoiding Low-Probability, High-Consequence Events (original) (raw)
Related papers
International journal of performability engineering, 2015
To Be or Not to Be.. Is it nobler to put up with all the nasty things that luck throws your way, or to fight against all those troubles by simply putting an end to them once and for all? William Shakespeare, Hamlet, Act 3, Scene 1 (modern text) SUMMARY Numerous decisions are made daily on conducting economically relevant activities involving hazards, hence each of these activities implies a risk. Risk taking is something that we do as a person on an individual basis everyday. Crossing a road as a pedestrian with approaching traffic in sight is commonplace, as well as a driver overtaking a car in front of him on a provincial road with oncoming traffic in sight. In any of these decisions, there is a weighing up front: gains versus risk of losses. In these simple examples the cost of an accident is high, the action could take yours or another person's life, and the gains may not be very significantdjust a few seconds in time saved. With industrial accidents the situation is not different: given a certain process a shortcut on a procedure can be associated with a large safety riskdthe company can go bankrupt if the risk event materializes. However, gains in effort or time may be rather small, although these may be significant in surviving the competition better. Of course, the scale makes a difference. But, there may be many lives at risk (and as a decision maker, probably not your own life) and damage may run up from millions to billions, and it may have long-term effects on employment, and degradation of quality of life of people and the environment. Costs of an industrial accident are not only those of the company in a direct sense but also the personal cost of people involved and not the least the social and economic cost of society as a whole. Complexity may easily obscure the largest possible consequences of a process or a project. And even when one realizes the possibility, intuitively one is inclined to CHAPTER Risk Analysis and Control for Industrial Processes-Gas, Oil and Chemicals.
2015
To Be or Not to Be.. Is it nobler to put up with all the nasty things that luck throws your way, or to fight against all those troubles by simply putting an end to them once and for all? William Shakespeare, Hamlet, Act 3, Scene 1 (modern text) SUMMARY Numerous decisions are made daily on conducting economically relevant activities involving hazards, hence each of these activities implies a risk. Risk taking is something that we do as a person on an individual basis everyday. Crossing a road as a pedestrian with approaching traffic in sight is commonplace, as well as a driver overtaking a car in front of him on a provincial road with oncoming traffic in sight. In any of these decisions, there is a weighing up front: gains versus risk of losses. In these simple examples the cost of an accident is high, the action could take yours or another person's life, and the gains may not be very significantdjust a few seconds in time saved. With industrial accidents the situation is not different: given a certain process a shortcut on a procedure can be associated with a large safety riskdthe company can go bankrupt if the risk event materializes. However, gains in effort or time may be rather small, although these may be significant in surviving the competition better. Of course, the scale makes a difference. But, there may be many lives at risk (and as a decision maker, probably not your own life) and damage may run up from millions to billions, and it may have long-term effects on employment, and degradation of quality of life of people and the environment. Costs of an industrial accident are not only those of the company in a direct sense but also the personal cost of people involved and not the least the social and economic cost of society as a whole. Complexity may easily obscure the largest possible consequences of a process or a project. And even when one realizes the possibility, intuitively one is inclined to CHAPTER Risk Analysis and Control for Industrial Processes-Gas, Oil and Chemicals.
Risk Analysis and Control for Industrial Processes - Gas, Oil and Chemicals
Elsevier eBooks, 2015
To Be or Not to Be.. Is it nobler to put up with all the nasty things that luck throws your way, or to fight against all those troubles by simply putting an end to them once and for all? William Shakespeare, Hamlet, Act 3, Scene 1 (modern text) SUMMARY Numerous decisions are made daily on conducting economically relevant activities involving hazards, hence each of these activities implies a risk. Risk taking is something that we do as a person on an individual basis everyday. Crossing a road as a pedestrian with approaching traffic in sight is commonplace, as well as a driver overtaking a car in front of him on a provincial road with oncoming traffic in sight. In any of these decisions, there is a weighing up front: gains versus risk of losses. In these simple examples the cost of an accident is high, the action could take yours or another person's life, and the gains may not be very significantdjust a few seconds in time saved. With industrial accidents the situation is not different: given a certain process a shortcut on a procedure can be associated with a large safety riskdthe company can go bankrupt if the risk event materializes. However, gains in effort or time may be rather small, although these may be significant in surviving the competition better. Of course, the scale makes a difference. But, there may be many lives at risk (and as a decision maker, probably not your own life) and damage may run up from millions to billions, and it may have long-term effects on employment, and degradation of quality of life of people and the environment. Costs of an industrial accident are not only those of the company in a direct sense but also the personal cost of people involved and not the least the social and economic cost of society as a whole. Complexity may easily obscure the largest possible consequences of a process or a project. And even when one realizes the possibility, intuitively one is inclined to CHAPTER Risk Analysis and Control for Industrial Processes-Gas, Oil and Chemicals.
The necessity of risk management evaluations in petrochemical industries
2020
The study looked at the need to manage risk in the petrochemical industry due to the horrific events of recent accidents such as India's Bhopal (with 4,000 killed), Ukraine's Chernobyl (with 38 killed), Flixborough, England (With 28 people killed) and Italy's Seveso (with a gas mass released from the blast 6 km long and 1 km wide) (Flixborough Vapor Cloud Explosion). Recent events have drawn public attention to the chemical industry and various risks involved in the petrochemical industry, and then as a result have increased the need for systematic safety analysis of various processes in the chemical industry. According to the International Labor Organization, 5,000 people die every day in the world due to accidents and work-related illnesses and 4% of the world's GDP per year, or 51.53, 1.3 and 2 percent, respectively. Millions of US dollars are spent on direct and indirect costs of work-related illnesses and accidents, which is 20 times more than the total internat...
Quantitative risk analysis applied to the gases industry
In order to contribute to the risk knowledge that people and the environment can suffer from accidents related to process safety this paper presents a case study of Quantitative Risk Analysis applied to the Gases Industry. Industry activities such as production, storage or handling related to dangerous materials are complex and highly prone to severe or catastrophic accidents. All these happen not only because of major accidents occurrence, society pressure, law compliance and because of the growing care about the environmental sustainability by companies and their stakeholders. We address the importance of managing risk and present usual methods of qualitative and quantitative risk analysis studies. Such combination make possible analyze the feasibility of an industrial venture. Developing a case study for the process of cooling with ammonia in GÁSMIL, performing a risk analysis, through vulnerability analysis and knowledge of these subjects, one can map affected areas by the accidental scenarios.
Risk Management in Petroleum and Petrochemical: An Introduction
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In this paper we are presenting risk management in petroleum and petrochemical Only the risk manager who is capable of understanding these complex interaction will be able to lead an organization towards a safer and more profitable future. Some previous modern safety research has shown that the interaction between human technical and organizational factor determine the performance of a company only in term of quality cost and delivery time but also in term of safety. The petroleum and petrochemical industry's need safety organization to be the first responsible for any accident accrue in the industry which it can be called safety organization of chemical plants (SOCP).The (SOCP) has to do all the investigation for the industry to make the industry working on safety without any problem which can be supported by the government and allow the organization to provide safety license for all the chemical plants. Despite how sophisticated technical solution and risk mitigation measure h...
2020
Industrial plants are subjected to very dangerous events. Therefore, it is very essential to carry out an efficient risk and safety analysis. In classical applications, risk analysis treats event probabilities as certain data, while there is much penurious knowledge and uncertainty in generic failure data that will lead to biased and inconsistent alternative estimates. Then, in order to achieve a better fitting with systems condition, uncertainty needs to be considered. One of the most usual analytical methods that have been widely applied in the field of risk analysis is the technic of failure mode and effects analysis (FMEA). The usage of this method is in identifying and abolishing the multiple failure modes in various phases of system, from the product design to production of the industries system operation. To solve the shortcomings in the traditional FMEA method, we propose an innovative approach consisted of Dempster Shafer evidence theory (DST) and FMEA to provide a more eff...
Hydrocarbon, Petrochemical, Chemical (HPC) Risk Control Handbook
Didier Schütz, 2008
The purpose of this occupancy guide is to provide comprehensive and practical technical support to underwriter and risk control engineer for quick assessment of the overall quality of Hydrocarbon Industries & Assimilated Occupancies. Hydrocarbon Industries & Assimilated Occupancies address to Oil and Gas facilities, Petrochemical and Chemical plants. This occupancy guide is basically focused on major Risk Control topics including human element, process hazards & controls, emergency organization, fire protection engineering and site supervision. Basic data regarding Risk Management have been also included. This occupancy guide has been implemented considering the good practices which are currently established within the Hydrocarbon Industries & Assimilated Occupancies and the use of recognized international standards for fire protection engineering. Caution: This document does not intend to cover all aspects of Hydrocarbon Industries & Assimilated Occupancies process, engineering, and operation. This document should be used as a quick reference handbook. This customer version is based on an original document which was developed for SCOR internal use. This should not be considered as a full training manual.