Albanian Banking System: Risk Behavior, Bank Capital and their Mutual Relationship with Cost Efficiency (original) (raw)
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Bank efficiency is considered to be very important in the relationship between risk and capital. It affects both capital and risk and it is seen as one of the factors that determine them. On the other side, capital regulation and risk-taking behaviour influenced by it have an impact on efficiency. This paper gives an overview of theoretical and empirical studies that are going to be used on modelling the relationship between efficiency, capital and risk-taking behaviour of commercial banks operating in Albania during the period 2002-2014. Based on previous works worldwide, a three stage model is found to be a proper one for such analysis about Albanian banking system. According to this model: first, the regression of efficiency and variables indicating risk and capital has to be analysed, second capital will be regressed against variables indicating efficiency and risk and in the third stage risk-taking will be regressed against variables indicating efficiency and capital. Based on previous studies related to this issue there are findings of a positive trade off between inefficiency and bank risk-taking (such as US evidences) and also negative one (such as European banks that seem to hold more capital and take on less risk in case of inefficiency). Defined independent factors of efficiency, capital and risk-taking are going to be used on an empirical study, subject of prospective research. To my knowledge there is no previous study on this issue for Albanian banking system. This model enables testing of different hypotheses about risk, capital, efficiency and relationship between them. It is going to respond to the effects that reduction in cost efficiencies might have on future risks of Albanian commercial banks. Furthermore, this model gives the possibility to test the bad management hypothesis and efficiency version of moral hazard hypotheses for targeted banks and banking system. It also responds to the questions whether bank cost efficiency makes the foundation of banks' capital position and risk-taking and also whether there is an evidence of relationships between capital and risk-taking in line with moral hazard hypothesis.
Modeling the Relationship between Bank Efficiency, Capital and Risk in Albanian Banking System
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Bank efficiency is considered to be very important in the relationship between risk and capital. It affects both capital and risk and it is seen as one of the factors that determine them. On the other side, capital regulation and risk-taking behaviour influenced by it have an impact on efficiency. This paper gives an overview of theoretical and empirical studies that are going to be used on modelling the relationship between efficiency, capital and risk-taking behaviour of commercial banks operating in Albania during the period 2002-2014. Based on previous works worldwide, a three stage model is found to be a proper one for such analysis about Albanian banking system. According to this model: first, the regression of efficiency and variables indicating risk and capital has to be analysed, second capital will be regressed against variables indicating efficiency and risk and in the third stage risk-taking will be regressed against variables indicating efficiency and capital. Based on previous studies related to this issue there are findings of a positive trade off between inefficiency and bank risk-taking (such as US evidences) and also negative one (such as European banks that seem to hold more capital and take on less risk in case of inefficiency). Defined independent factors of efficiency, capital and risk-taking are going to be used on an empirical study, subject of prospective research. To my knowledge there is no previous study on this issue for Albanian banking system. This model enables testing of different hypotheses about risk, capital, efficiency and relationship between them. It is going to respond to the effects that reduction in cost efficiencies might have on future risks of Albanian commercial banks. Furthermore, this model gives the possibility to test the bad management hypothesis and efficiency version of moral hazard hypotheses for targeted banks and banking system. It also responds to the questions whether bank cost efficiency makes the foundation of banks' capital position and risk-taking and also whether there is an evidence of relationships between capital and risk-taking in line with moral hazard hypothesis.
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Economics Faculty, SWU "Neophyte Rilski" -Blagoevgrad Summary The financial sector has an important role in the process of allocation of financial resources in the economy. Disruption of this movement and its limitation for any reason, its failure would trigger an acute need for resources to invest in the economic system on the one hand and the surplus of free resource accounts, and thus unjust and inefficient growth so-called. "Total savings to society." Thus the efficiency of the banking industry is closely related to the positive development of the economy as a whole. Analysis of international experience defined as determining the application of a number of methods and systems derived from authentic performance level and to explore the causal relationships and connections stohasticity and relativity of the results. As a benchmark used official statistics announced by the central banks of Bulgaria and Albania, as well as databases of European institutions.
Statistical and Econometric Analysis of Financial Indicators for Six Albanian Commercial Banks
Mediterranean Journal of Social Sciences, 2014
The banking system in Albania has made important challenges during last 23 years. Intermediation of banks have served to Albanian economic development through lending and payments system, while mobilizing the savings of households and other financial sources. There are some studies on the tendencies and performance of main financial indicators for the banking system. However, these studies realized from supervisory authority (the Bank of Albania) are giving more information on aggregate level. Our study problem, in this article, is an approach on the development and performance of some banks in Albanian banking system. Our objective is to show how some important ratios of the banking system have evolved in time, the differences among the banks and in general their efficiency and performance. Data we are using are main financial indicators of 2009-2012 from six month series. The main ratios are: ROA (Return on Assets): X1 ROE (Return on Equity-net return after taxes): X2 Loans / Deposits: X3 Equity / Risk Weighted Assets: X4 Expenses / Revenues (expenses for one ALL1 revenue
European Scientific Journal, 2016
This paper examines the relationship between regulatory capital and credit risk within the Albanian banking sector. We estimate an equation which tries to capture the relationship among regulatory capital, nonperforming loans, profitability, total assets, liquidity and the level of growth in the GDP. The data is grouped and the analysis is performed in accordance with three banking groups. The grouping of the banks is in accordance with their size in the system and reflects the grouping used by the central bank for regulatory purposes. The model developed can be used to forecast required levels of CAR and it suggests that in the Albanian banking system, as well as for each bank group separately, the relationship between CAR and NPL is negative, the relationship between CAR and assets is negative for an unchanged level of regulatory capital, the relationship between CAR and profitability is positive, whereas the relationship between CAR and liquidity is negative. The effects of the c...