Ghislain Dubois - Academia.edu (original) (raw)
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Papers by Ghislain Dubois
World Tourism Organization, Madrid, 2008
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Climatic Change, 2016
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Http Epublications Unilim Fr Theses, Jul 3, 2013
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Journal of Sustainable Tourism, Jan 30, 2009
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This report presents a review of the literature concerning approaches to communicating confidence... more This report presents a review of the literature concerning approaches to communicating confidence and uncertainty, with the objective of informing best practice in seasonal-to-decadal climate predictions. As issues pertaining to the communication of uncertainty transcend disciplinary boundaries this review draws upon research conducted in a range of fields, including: weather, climate policy, health and medicine, environmental risk management, economics, experimental psychology, and engineering. The review highlights a number of factors that are likely to impact on end-users’ interpretation and usage of information concerning confidence and uncertainty in seasonal-to-decadal climate and climate impact predictions. These include: ambiguity aversion, trust in information providers, institutional protocol, technical expertise, level of precision, the type of visualisation tool(s) used, and systematic thought biases. Methods of presenting uncertainty information in numeric, verbal and v...
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Natures Sciences Sociétés, 2015
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by Daniel Scott, Ghislain Dubois, James Higham, Robin Nunkoo, Ph.D, Paul Upham, Tim Coles, Robert Steiger, Jarkko Saarinen, Susanne Becken, and M Vieira
Tourism Management, 2015
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Low Carbon Economy, 2015
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Routledge Advances in Tourism, 2008
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Routledge Advances in Tourism, 2008
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Tourism Management, 2015
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Belgeo, 2005
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Mondes en développement, 2012
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tec-conseil.com
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Much of global passenger transport is linked to tourism. The sector is therefore of interest in... more Much of global passenger transport is linked to tourism. The sector is therefore of interest in studying global mobility trends and transport-related emissions. In 2005, tourism was responsible for around 5% of all CO2 emissions, of which 75% were caused by passenger transport. Given the rapid growth in tourism, with 1.6 billion international tourist arrivals predicted by 2020 (up from 903 million in 2007), it is clear that the sector will contribute to rapidly growing emission levels, and increasingly interfere with global climate policy. This is especially true under climate stabilisation and “avoiding dangerous climate change” objectives, implying global emission reductions in the order of −50% to −80% by 2050, compared to 2000. Based on three backcasting scenarios, and using techniques integrating quantitative and qualitative elements, this paper discusses the options for emission reductions in the tourism sector and the consequences of mitigation for global tourism-related mobility by 2050. It ends with a discussion of the policy implications of the results.
Keywords: Tourism; Mobility; Climate change; Mitigation; Scenarios; Backcasting
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World Tourism Organization, Madrid, 2008
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Bookmarks Related papers MentionsView impact
Climatic Change, 2016
Bookmarks Related papers MentionsView impact
Http Epublications Unilim Fr Theses, Jul 3, 2013
Bookmarks Related papers MentionsView impact
Journal of Sustainable Tourism, Jan 30, 2009
Bookmarks Related papers MentionsView impact
Bookmarks Related papers MentionsView impact
Bookmarks Related papers MentionsView impact
This report presents a review of the literature concerning approaches to communicating confidence... more This report presents a review of the literature concerning approaches to communicating confidence and uncertainty, with the objective of informing best practice in seasonal-to-decadal climate predictions. As issues pertaining to the communication of uncertainty transcend disciplinary boundaries this review draws upon research conducted in a range of fields, including: weather, climate policy, health and medicine, environmental risk management, economics, experimental psychology, and engineering. The review highlights a number of factors that are likely to impact on end-users’ interpretation and usage of information concerning confidence and uncertainty in seasonal-to-decadal climate and climate impact predictions. These include: ambiguity aversion, trust in information providers, institutional protocol, technical expertise, level of precision, the type of visualisation tool(s) used, and systematic thought biases. Methods of presenting uncertainty information in numeric, verbal and v...
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Natures Sciences Sociétés, 2015
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by Daniel Scott, Ghislain Dubois, James Higham, Robin Nunkoo, Ph.D, Paul Upham, Tim Coles, Robert Steiger, Jarkko Saarinen, Susanne Becken, and M Vieira
Tourism Management, 2015
Bookmarks Related papers MentionsView impact
Low Carbon Economy, 2015
Bookmarks Related papers MentionsView impact
Routledge Advances in Tourism, 2008
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Routledge Advances in Tourism, 2008
Bookmarks Related papers MentionsView impact
Tourism Management, 2015
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Belgeo, 2005
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Bookmarks Related papers MentionsView impact
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Mondes en développement, 2012
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tec-conseil.com
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Much of global passenger transport is linked to tourism. The sector is therefore of interest in... more Much of global passenger transport is linked to tourism. The sector is therefore of interest in studying global mobility trends and transport-related emissions. In 2005, tourism was responsible for around 5% of all CO2 emissions, of which 75% were caused by passenger transport. Given the rapid growth in tourism, with 1.6 billion international tourist arrivals predicted by 2020 (up from 903 million in 2007), it is clear that the sector will contribute to rapidly growing emission levels, and increasingly interfere with global climate policy. This is especially true under climate stabilisation and “avoiding dangerous climate change” objectives, implying global emission reductions in the order of −50% to −80% by 2050, compared to 2000. Based on three backcasting scenarios, and using techniques integrating quantitative and qualitative elements, this paper discusses the options for emission reductions in the tourism sector and the consequences of mitigation for global tourism-related mobility by 2050. It ends with a discussion of the policy implications of the results.
Keywords: Tourism; Mobility; Climate change; Mitigation; Scenarios; Backcasting
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