Boris Shmagin | South Dakota State University (original) (raw)
Papers by Boris Shmagin
The widespread flooding across South Dakota (SD) in 2011 has spurred a new look at the institutio... more The widespread flooding across South Dakota (SD) in 2011 has spurred a new look at the institutional, regulatory, and mathematical models used to manage the Upper Missouri River Basin. A SD NSF EPSCoR planning grant was recently awarded to develop conceptual and mathematical models to understand, describe and communicate the uncertainty of hydrological events (HE). To deal better with the risk of HE such as drought and flooding, uncertainty has to be understood using artificial intelligence tools. The mathematics will be about distributed system interactions, statistical learning and cellular automata, and will result in simulation modeling for the stakeholders use. Statistical learning with use of Vapnik–Chervonenkis dimension will provide uncertainty evaluation, and system and cellular automata method will help to understand, apply and communicate the results of statistical findings. Multiple models will help to generate results in the form of educational oriented, simplified simu...
Widespread flooding across South Dakota in 2011 has spurred a new look at the institutional, regu... more Widespread flooding across South Dakota in 2011 has spurred a new look at the institutional, regulatory, and mathematical models used to manage the Upper Missouri River Basin as it affects all aspects of life in South Dakota. An SD EPSCoR planning grant was awarded to a team of local, national and international researchers, who produced a strategy to create a research infrastructure with the goal of developing conceptual and mathematical models to understand and describe the uncertainty of hydrological events (HE) across South Dakota.
The widespread flooding across South Dakota (SD) in 2011 has spurred a new look at the institutio... more The widespread flooding across South Dakota (SD) in 2011 has spurred a new look at the institutional, regulatory, and mathematical models used to manage the Upper Missouri River Basin. A SD NSF EPSCoR planning grant was recently awarded to develop conceptual and mathematical models to understand, describe and communicate the uncertainty of hydrological events (HE). To deal better with the risk of HE such as drought and flooding, uncertainty has to be understood using artificial intelligence tools. The mathematics will be about distributed system interactions, statistical learning and cellular automata, and will result in simulation modeling for the stakeholders use. Statistical learning with use of Vapnik– Chervonenkis dimension will provide uncertainty evaluation, and system and cellular automata method will help to understand, apply and communicate the results of statistical findings. Multiple models will help to generate results in the form of educational oriented, simplified sim...
The widespread flooding across South Dakota (SD) in 2011 has spurred a new look at the institutio... more The widespread flooding across South Dakota (SD) in 2011 has spurred a new look at the institutional, regulatory, and mathematical models used to manage the Upper Missouri River Basin as it affects all aspects of life in SD. A SD EPSCoR planning grant was awarded to a group of local, national and international researchers. The team developed a strategy to create a research infrastructure with the goal of the development of conceptual and mathematical models to understand and describe the uncertainty of hydrological events (HE) across SD. There were two main tasks: planning for study of uncertainty of HE in Upper Missouri Basin and developing concepts for communicating uncertainty of HE for wider use outside the professional community. The plan brings together a variety of disciplines, and outlines the development of an artificial intelligence approach to analyze the interaction of HE, engineering installations and social systems in the SD setting. The object of study is taken to be ...
Widespread flooding across South Dakota in 2011 has spurred a new look at the institutional, regu... more Widespread flooding across South Dakota in 2011 has spurred a new look at the institutional, regulatory, and mathematical models used to manage the Upper Missouri River Basin as it affects all aspects of life in South Dakota. An SD EPSCoR planning grant was awarded to a team of local, national and inter-national researchers, who produced a strategy to create a research infrastructure with the goal of developing conceptual and mathematical models to understand and describe the uncertainty of hydrological events (HE) across South Dakota.
The widespread flooding across South Dakota (SD) in 2011 has spurred a new look at the institutio... more The widespread flooding across South Dakota (SD) in 2011 has spurred a new look at the institutional, regulatory, and mathematical models used to manage the Upper Missouri River Basin. A SD NSF EPSCoR planning grant was recently awarded to develop conceptual and mathematical models to understand, describe and communicate the uncertainty of hydrological events (HE). To deal better with the risk of HE such as drought and flooding, uncertainty has to be understood using artificial intelligence tools. The mathematics will be about distributed system interactions, statistical learning and cellular automata, and will result in simulation modeling for the stakeholders use. Statistical learning with use of Vapnik–Chervonenkis dimension will provide uncertainty evaluation, and system and cellular automata method will help to understand, apply and communicate the results of statistical findings. Multiple models will help to generate results in the form of educational oriented, simplified simu...
Moscow University Geology Bulletin
Groundwater fluctuation is studied in dependence on the change of regional factors within the are... more Groundwater fluctuation is studied in dependence on the change of regional factors within the area of groundwater outflow, which Imply a confined aquifer of various extent. The effect of wide spectrum of changes of aquifer parameters (T = 1*100 – 1*10-6 m2s-1, S = 1*10-3 – 1*10- 6) and boundary conditions (W = 1*10-8 – 1*10-10ms-1) is searched by means of regional factors conditioning (determining) the fluctuation. The effect of factors is established according to the change of stabilization time and location of piezometric height of groundwater in aquifer with distinct mutual relationship between basic hydrogeological parameters and conditions. The simulation modeling is applied using numerical finite difference method. A method like this can be applied in analyzing groundwater fluctuation in the areas of groundwater runoff in conditions of confined and unconfined flow.
Data analysis allows quantities description of the behavior of natural and human dynamic systems ... more Data analysis allows quantities description of the behavior of natural and human dynamic systems and opens a way to understand their structure. Seminar style academic courses are fundamental blocks for creating the craft atmosphere and research culture in the university. The originality of a realized approach is based on the use of special prepared reasonable small initial matrix {X99*8} with special constricted properties. This matrix is used to introduce all main statistical conceptions and techniques for students (mean, variability, correlation – as descriptive statistics, and also clustering and factorization – as multidimensional and multivariable exploratory techniques). The second novelty are the illustrations based on the webpage (http://www.socr.ucla.edu/) to visualize the associated statistical principles of probability and distribution along with examples of real data that is a more appropriate way for students with non-mathematical majors grasp the concept presented. The...
Водосбор реки Миссури - крупнейшего притока Миссисипи, имеет площадь более 1 300 000 км² и включа... more Водосбор реки Миссури - крупнейшего притока Миссисипи, имеет площадь более 1 300 000 км² и включает целиком или частично территории десяти штатов США и двух провинций Канады. Треть реки зарегулирована шестью плотинами, четыре из которых по объёму относятся к крупнейшим в мире [Alexander, 2012]. Впервые с момента возведения комплекса плотин в середине прошлого века, расход воды через них был наибольшим в первой половине 2011 года, вынужденый интенсивный сброс воды из этих водохранилищ вызвал наводнение. Наводнение было обусловлено природными условиями зимы и весны 2011, но явилось результатом оперативных решений по управлению системой интенсивного сброса воды во время половодья и наложившегося паводка. Около тридцати лет спустя после провозглашения большого будущего для «стохастической гидрологии», Вит Клемеш писал: «Следует признать, что каждая модель, каждый вариант модели, как бы хороша она ни была, всегда несовершенна и должна применяться с осторожностью.» [Klemeš, 2007]. Поворот...
Vit Klemeš (1932-2010) wrote: “The unsatisfactory state of hydrology is … the result of the dicho... more Vit Klemeš (1932-2010) wrote: “The unsatisfactory state of hydrology is … the result of the dichotomy between the theoretical recognition of hydrology as a science in its own right and the practical impossibility of studying it as a primary discipline, but only as an appendage of hydraulic engineering, geography, geology, etc. …” (1986) and “… the consequence of the fact that, in the absence of hydrology as a full-fledged science, engineers themselves had to supply the hydrological inputs they needed and they did so by constructing simple empirical models from the data - after all, it was not their business to do 'scientific hydrology'”(1999). These were last century articles; the recent publication, “Joint Editorial – On the Future of Journal Publications in Hydrology” in five international hydrological journals shows the presence of a similar situation now. Two topics considered in the presentation are Logic and Ontology, to present Hydrology in a wider multi-disciplinary ...
Journal of Hydroinformatics
ABSTRACT
Analysis of some special runoff characteristic from 35 chosen mountainous catchment areas of Slov... more Analysis of some special runoff characteristic from 35 chosen mountainous catchment areas of Slovakia was carried out. The fundamental input data used in the study are from the period 1931 to 1960. By the utiliza-tion of mathematical method of factor analysis, as the analysis of multivariante data, it was possible to reduce an extensive data collection in a few independent simple factors. The obtained results are interpreted in two levels. The first one is the level of the relationship between single variables (runoff characteristics) resulted from the factor values. The second one, resulted from the factor scores for single catchments and make possible to estimate not only areas with similar hydrological and hydrogeological conditions, but also conditions which are the most important for runoff formation. The graphical interpretation is shown in Fig.1-3.
Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union, 2012
The widespread flooding across South Dakota (SD) in 2011 has spurred a new look at the institutio... more The widespread flooding across South Dakota (SD) in 2011 has spurred a new look at the institutional, regulatory, and mathematical models used to manage the Upper Missouri River Basin. A SD NSF EPSCoR planning grant was recently awarded to develop conceptual and mathematical models to understand, describe and communicate the uncertainty of hydrological events (HE). To deal better with the risk of HE such as drought and flooding, uncertainty has to be understood using artificial intelligence tools. The mathematics will be about distributed system interactions, statistical learning and cellular automata, and will result in simulation modeling for the stakeholders use. Statistical learning with use of Vapnik–Chervonenkis dimension will provide uncertainty evaluation, and system and cellular automata method will help to understand, apply and communicate the results of statistical findings. Multiple models will help to generate results in the form of educational oriented, simplified simu...
Widespread flooding across South Dakota in 2011 has spurred a new look at the institutional, regu... more Widespread flooding across South Dakota in 2011 has spurred a new look at the institutional, regulatory, and mathematical models used to manage the Upper Missouri River Basin as it affects all aspects of life in South Dakota. An SD EPSCoR planning grant was awarded to a team of local, national and international researchers, who produced a strategy to create a research infrastructure with the goal of developing conceptual and mathematical models to understand and describe the uncertainty of hydrological events (HE) across South Dakota.
The widespread flooding across South Dakota (SD) in 2011 has spurred a new look at the institutio... more The widespread flooding across South Dakota (SD) in 2011 has spurred a new look at the institutional, regulatory, and mathematical models used to manage the Upper Missouri River Basin. A SD NSF EPSCoR planning grant was recently awarded to develop conceptual and mathematical models to understand, describe and communicate the uncertainty of hydrological events (HE). To deal better with the risk of HE such as drought and flooding, uncertainty has to be understood using artificial intelligence tools. The mathematics will be about distributed system interactions, statistical learning and cellular automata, and will result in simulation modeling for the stakeholders use. Statistical learning with use of Vapnik– Chervonenkis dimension will provide uncertainty evaluation, and system and cellular automata method will help to understand, apply and communicate the results of statistical findings. Multiple models will help to generate results in the form of educational oriented, simplified sim...
The widespread flooding across South Dakota (SD) in 2011 has spurred a new look at the institutio... more The widespread flooding across South Dakota (SD) in 2011 has spurred a new look at the institutional, regulatory, and mathematical models used to manage the Upper Missouri River Basin as it affects all aspects of life in SD. A SD EPSCoR planning grant was awarded to a group of local, national and international researchers. The team developed a strategy to create a research infrastructure with the goal of the development of conceptual and mathematical models to understand and describe the uncertainty of hydrological events (HE) across SD. There were two main tasks: planning for study of uncertainty of HE in Upper Missouri Basin and developing concepts for communicating uncertainty of HE for wider use outside the professional community. The plan brings together a variety of disciplines, and outlines the development of an artificial intelligence approach to analyze the interaction of HE, engineering installations and social systems in the SD setting. The object of study is taken to be ...
Widespread flooding across South Dakota in 2011 has spurred a new look at the institutional, regu... more Widespread flooding across South Dakota in 2011 has spurred a new look at the institutional, regulatory, and mathematical models used to manage the Upper Missouri River Basin as it affects all aspects of life in South Dakota. An SD EPSCoR planning grant was awarded to a team of local, national and inter-national researchers, who produced a strategy to create a research infrastructure with the goal of developing conceptual and mathematical models to understand and describe the uncertainty of hydrological events (HE) across South Dakota.
The widespread flooding across South Dakota (SD) in 2011 has spurred a new look at the institutio... more The widespread flooding across South Dakota (SD) in 2011 has spurred a new look at the institutional, regulatory, and mathematical models used to manage the Upper Missouri River Basin. A SD NSF EPSCoR planning grant was recently awarded to develop conceptual and mathematical models to understand, describe and communicate the uncertainty of hydrological events (HE). To deal better with the risk of HE such as drought and flooding, uncertainty has to be understood using artificial intelligence tools. The mathematics will be about distributed system interactions, statistical learning and cellular automata, and will result in simulation modeling for the stakeholders use. Statistical learning with use of Vapnik–Chervonenkis dimension will provide uncertainty evaluation, and system and cellular automata method will help to understand, apply and communicate the results of statistical findings. Multiple models will help to generate results in the form of educational oriented, simplified simu...
Moscow University Geology Bulletin
Groundwater fluctuation is studied in dependence on the change of regional factors within the are... more Groundwater fluctuation is studied in dependence on the change of regional factors within the area of groundwater outflow, which Imply a confined aquifer of various extent. The effect of wide spectrum of changes of aquifer parameters (T = 1*100 – 1*10-6 m2s-1, S = 1*10-3 – 1*10- 6) and boundary conditions (W = 1*10-8 – 1*10-10ms-1) is searched by means of regional factors conditioning (determining) the fluctuation. The effect of factors is established according to the change of stabilization time and location of piezometric height of groundwater in aquifer with distinct mutual relationship between basic hydrogeological parameters and conditions. The simulation modeling is applied using numerical finite difference method. A method like this can be applied in analyzing groundwater fluctuation in the areas of groundwater runoff in conditions of confined and unconfined flow.
Data analysis allows quantities description of the behavior of natural and human dynamic systems ... more Data analysis allows quantities description of the behavior of natural and human dynamic systems and opens a way to understand their structure. Seminar style academic courses are fundamental blocks for creating the craft atmosphere and research culture in the university. The originality of a realized approach is based on the use of special prepared reasonable small initial matrix {X99*8} with special constricted properties. This matrix is used to introduce all main statistical conceptions and techniques for students (mean, variability, correlation – as descriptive statistics, and also clustering and factorization – as multidimensional and multivariable exploratory techniques). The second novelty are the illustrations based on the webpage (http://www.socr.ucla.edu/) to visualize the associated statistical principles of probability and distribution along with examples of real data that is a more appropriate way for students with non-mathematical majors grasp the concept presented. The...
Водосбор реки Миссури - крупнейшего притока Миссисипи, имеет площадь более 1 300 000 км² и включа... more Водосбор реки Миссури - крупнейшего притока Миссисипи, имеет площадь более 1 300 000 км² и включает целиком или частично территории десяти штатов США и двух провинций Канады. Треть реки зарегулирована шестью плотинами, четыре из которых по объёму относятся к крупнейшим в мире [Alexander, 2012]. Впервые с момента возведения комплекса плотин в середине прошлого века, расход воды через них был наибольшим в первой половине 2011 года, вынужденый интенсивный сброс воды из этих водохранилищ вызвал наводнение. Наводнение было обусловлено природными условиями зимы и весны 2011, но явилось результатом оперативных решений по управлению системой интенсивного сброса воды во время половодья и наложившегося паводка. Около тридцати лет спустя после провозглашения большого будущего для «стохастической гидрологии», Вит Клемеш писал: «Следует признать, что каждая модель, каждый вариант модели, как бы хороша она ни была, всегда несовершенна и должна применяться с осторожностью.» [Klemeš, 2007]. Поворот...
Vit Klemeš (1932-2010) wrote: “The unsatisfactory state of hydrology is … the result of the dicho... more Vit Klemeš (1932-2010) wrote: “The unsatisfactory state of hydrology is … the result of the dichotomy between the theoretical recognition of hydrology as a science in its own right and the practical impossibility of studying it as a primary discipline, but only as an appendage of hydraulic engineering, geography, geology, etc. …” (1986) and “… the consequence of the fact that, in the absence of hydrology as a full-fledged science, engineers themselves had to supply the hydrological inputs they needed and they did so by constructing simple empirical models from the data - after all, it was not their business to do 'scientific hydrology'”(1999). These were last century articles; the recent publication, “Joint Editorial – On the Future of Journal Publications in Hydrology” in five international hydrological journals shows the presence of a similar situation now. Two topics considered in the presentation are Logic and Ontology, to present Hydrology in a wider multi-disciplinary ...
Journal of Hydroinformatics
ABSTRACT
Analysis of some special runoff characteristic from 35 chosen mountainous catchment areas of Slov... more Analysis of some special runoff characteristic from 35 chosen mountainous catchment areas of Slovakia was carried out. The fundamental input data used in the study are from the period 1931 to 1960. By the utiliza-tion of mathematical method of factor analysis, as the analysis of multivariante data, it was possible to reduce an extensive data collection in a few independent simple factors. The obtained results are interpreted in two levels. The first one is the level of the relationship between single variables (runoff characteristics) resulted from the factor values. The second one, resulted from the factor scores for single catchments and make possible to estimate not only areas with similar hydrological and hydrogeological conditions, but also conditions which are the most important for runoff formation. The graphical interpretation is shown in Fig.1-3.
Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union, 2012