Pablo Aragonés-beltrán | Universitat Politècnica de València (original) (raw)

Papers by Pablo Aragonés-beltrán

Research paper thumbnail of SELECTION OF PHOTOVOLTAIC SOLAR POWER PLANT PROJECTS USING ANP

This paper presents an analysis to simplify a complex model, based on the Analytic Network Proces... more This paper presents an analysis to simplify a complex model, based on the Analytic Network Process (ANP); to select photovoltaic (PV) solar power projects. These projects follow a long management and execution process from plant site selection to plant start-up. As a consequence, there are many risks of time delays and even of project stoppage. In a previous work a top manager of an important Spanish company decided on the best PV project (from four alternative projects) to invest based on risk minimization, using a complex ANP model (54 elements grouped into different clusters). This model needs to be simplified in order to solve similar selection problems in future. To identify which risks have to be eliminated from the original model is a difficult task. In this work two ways for doing this identification are proposed: in the fist way we select the 25 more important risks obtained by the original ANP model; in the second way we asked the decision maker to select the 25 risks that...

Research paper thumbnail of Measuring economic sustainability of energy use: an ANP-based evaluation of some European Union countries and Turkey

International Journal of Management and Decision Making, 2015

ABSTRACT Abstract: This paper presents a new methodology for evaluating the economic sustainabili... more ABSTRACT Abstract: This paper presents a new methodology for evaluating the economic sustainability of countries’ energy systems. The aim of the work is to improve the support tools for policy makers as the scale and complexity of the global energy industry demands a country-by-country approach to managing change. The proposed participatory analytic network process model was applied to the five largest energy consumers in the European Union, namely France, Germany, Italy, Spain and the UK plus Turkey – a candidate for the European Union. The criteria used for the evaluations were selected from the economic dimension of the energy indicators for sustainable development. Results show that the best performer country is the UK followed by France, Turkey, Germany, Spain and Italy. Finally, we want to highlight that the methodology is able to grant participated decisions through a multi-expert traceable and transparent assessment process.

Research paper thumbnail of ANALYSIS OF THE PARTICIPATION OF STAKEHOLDERS IN ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT BASED ON ANP: APPLICATION TO A SPANISH NATURAL PARK

International Journal of the Analytic Hierarchy Process, 2015

The aim of this paper is to analize the influence of the stakeholders in a participatory decision... more The aim of this paper is to analize the influence of the stakeholders in a participatory decision making process. The influences of the different stakeholders will be studied with Social Network Analysis and the decision making process will be studid with the AHP technique. The results will be analyzed twofold : AHP model when considering that all the stakeholders have the same influence and AHP model when considering the different stakeholders' influences obtained with the SNA analysis

Research paper thumbnail of SELECTION OF PHOTOVOLTAIC SOLAR POWER PLANT PROJECTS USING ANP

This paper presents an analysis to simplify a complex model, based on the Analytic Network Proces... more This paper presents an analysis to simplify a complex model, based on the Analytic Network Process (ANP); to select photovoltaic (PV) solar power projects. These projects follow a long management and execution process from plant site selection to plant start-up. As a consequence, there are many risks of time delays and even of project stoppage. In a previous work a

Research paper thumbnail of An ANP-based approach for the selection of photovoltaic solar power plant investment projects

Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 2010

Research paper thumbnail of An ANP- and AHP-based approach for weighting criteria in public works bidding

Journal of the Operational Research Society, 2010

ABSTRACT When the bidding conditions for a new public works contract are officially published, th... more ABSTRACT When the bidding conditions for a new public works contract are officially published, the contracting authority should count with objective criteria and weights to evaluate tenders. The evaluation criteria and weights are obtained from official contract documents. In this paper a new approach for the selection and measurement of the bidding criteria based on Analytic Hierarchy Processes (AHP) and Analytic Network Processes (ANP) is proposed. A hierarchy model and a 21-criterion network model have been developed and applied to two real cases: the first one is devoted to study the public bidding for the construction of an educational centre at the Polytechnic University of Valencia, whereas the second one analyses the public bidding for the remodelling and improvement of one section of a national road.

Research paper thumbnail of Ordering the alternatives of a strategic plan for Valencia (Spain)

Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis, 2001

... PABLO ARAGONE´S*, ELISEO GO´ MEZ-SENENT and JUAN P. PASTOR Departamento de Proyectos de Ingen... more ... PABLO ARAGONE´S*, ELISEO GO´ MEZ-SENENT and JUAN P. PASTOR Departamento de Proyectos de Ingenierıa, Innovacio´ n, Desarrollo y Disen˜ o Industrial y Rural, Universidad Politécnica de Valencia, Valencia, Spain ...

Research paper thumbnail of Farmland appraisal based on the analytic network process

Journal of Global Optimization, 2008

This paper presents an application of the Analytic Network Process (ANP) to farmland appraisal. T... more This paper presents an application of the Analytic Network Process (ANP) to farmland appraisal. The purpose of this new methodology is to solve some of the drawbacks found in comparative and capitalisation methods, called classical appraisal methods, which cannot deal with contexts where only partial information is available and/or qualitative variables are used. The ANP is a method based on the Multiple Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA). Previous works have already applied other MCDA techniques to the appraisal context, such as the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), however they have not been able to handle all the complexities of many real world appraisal problems. The ANP provides a more accurate approach for modelling complex environment because it allows the general study of the quantitative and qualitative explanatory variables of the price and the incorporation of feedback and interdependence relationships among variables. The new proposed methodology has been applied to a case study of a farm located in Valencia (Spain) in order to demonstrate its goodness. Both quantitative and qualitative variables, such as the age of the trees, productivity or water quality, have been considered to assess the market value of the farm. Six farms from the same region have been selected as reference assets. The appraisal problem has been solved in three different ways in order to study the influence of each model

Research paper thumbnail of An Analytic Network Process approach for siting a municipal solid waste plant in the Metropolitan Area of Valencia (Spain)

Journal of Environmental Management, 2010

In this paper the Analytic Network Process (ANP) is applied to select the best location for the c... more In this paper the Analytic Network Process (ANP) is applied to select the best location for the construction of a municipal solid waste (MSW) plant in the Metropolitan area of Valencia (Spain). Selection of the appropriate MSW facility location can be viewed as a complex multicriteria decisionmaking problem that requires an extensive evaluation process of the potential MSW plant locations and other factors as diverse as economic, technical, legal, social or environmental issues. The decision-making process includes the identification of six candidate MSW plant sites and 21 criteria grouped into clusters for the construction of a network. Two technicians of the Metropolitan Waste Disposal Agency acted as decision makers (DMs).

Research paper thumbnail of ANALYSIS OF THE ALIGNMENT OF COMPANY GOALS TO WEB CONTENT USING ANP

International Journal of Information Technology & Decision Making, 2010

Today, most institutions use their website as one of the major means of consolidating communicati... more Today, most institutions use their website as one of the major means of consolidating communications channels within their organization and among their customers and users. Nevertheless, many of these organizations either have not clearly formulated the goals they want to achieve through their website or do not know to what extent their website contributes to satisfying these goals. This paper

Research paper thumbnail of Application of Multicriteria Decision Analysis Tools to Two Contaminated Sediment Case Studies

Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management, 2007

Background The use of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) in health care has become common. H... more Background The use of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) in health care has become common. However, the literature lacks systematic review trend analysis on the application of MCDA in health care.

Research paper thumbnail of Valuation of urban industrial land: An analytic network process approach

European Journal of Operational Research, 2008

In this paper an application of the Analytic Network Process (ANP) to asset valuation is presente... more In this paper an application of the Analytic Network Process (ANP) to asset valuation is presented. It has two purposes: solving some of the drawbacks found in classical asset valuation methods and broadening the scope of current approaches. The ANP is a method based on Multiple Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) that accurately models complex environments. This approach is particularly useful in problems which work with partially available data, qualitative variables and influences among the variables, which are very common situations in the valuation context. As an illustration, the new approach has been applied to a real case study of an industrial park located in Valencia (Spain) using three different models. The results confirm the validity of the methodology and show that the more information is incorporated into the model, the more accurate the solution will be, so the presented methodology stands out as a good alternative to current valuation approaches.

Research paper thumbnail of University objectives and socioeconomic results: A multicriteria measuring of alignment

European Journal of Operational Research, 2009

Research paper thumbnail of Modeling decision making as a support tool for policy making on renewable energy development

Energy Policy, 2014

We applied ANP to the investors' preferences on biomass power plants projects. The aim is to impr... more We applied ANP to the investors' preferences on biomass power plants projects. The aim is to improve the advising tools for renewable energy policy making. A case study has been carried out with the help of two experts. We designed two scenarios: decision making as it is and how could it be improved. Results prove ANP is a fruitful tool enhancing participation and transparency.

Research paper thumbnail of An AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process)/ANP (Analytic Network Process)-based multi-criteria decision approach for the selection of solar-thermal power plant investment projects

Energy, 2014

ABSTRACT In this paper the AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) and the ANP (Analytic Network Process... more ABSTRACT In this paper the AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) and the ANP (Analytic Network Process) are applied to help the managing board of an important Spanish solar power investment company to decide whether to invest in a particular solar-thermal power plant project and, if so, to determine the order of priority of the projects in the company's portfolio. Project management goes through a long process, from obtaining the required construction permits and authorizations, negotiating with different stakeholders, complying with complex legal regulations, to solving the technical problems associated with plant construction and distribution of the energy generated. The whole process involves high engineering costs. The decision approach proposed in this paper consists of three phases. In the first two phases, the managing board must decide whether to accept or reject a project according to a set of criteria previously identified by the technical team. The third phase consists of establishing a priority order among the projects that have proven to be economically profitable based on project risk levels and execution time delays. This work analyzes the criteria that should be taken into account to accept or reject proposals for investment, as well as the risks used to prioritize some projects over others.

Research paper thumbnail of Using multi-criteria decision-making for selecting broad-band technology for the National University of Colombia, Bogotá

Research paper thumbnail of Selection of Photovoltaic Solar Power Plant Investment Projects-An ANP Approach

In this paper the Analytic Network Process (ANP) is applied to the selection of photovoltaic (PV)... more In this paper the Analytic Network Process (ANP) is applied to the selection of photovoltaic (PV) solar power projects. These projects follow a long management and execution process from plant site selection to plant start-up. As a consequence, there are many risks of time delays and even of project stoppage. In the case study presented in this paper a top

Research paper thumbnail of Medición del grado de alineación de los fines de una universidad con los resultados obtenidos en su relación con el entorno socio-económico

Medición del grado de alineación de los fines de una universidad con los resultados obtenidos en ... more Medición del grado de alineación de los fines de una universidad con los resultados obtenidos en su relación con el entorno socioeconómico Félix Antonio Cortés-Aldana, Mónica García-Melón, Ignacio Fernández-de-Lucio, Pablo Aragonés-Beltrán

Research paper thumbnail of A methodology based on multi-criteria techniques (AHP and ANP) for measuring the degree of alignment between the objectives of a university and the results obtained in its relations with the socioeconomic environment

... Universidad Politécnica de Valencia (1995). [2] JM Azagra Caro,. F. Archontakis; A. Gutiérrez... more ... Universidad Politécnica de Valencia (1995). [2] JM Azagra Caro,. F. Archontakis; A. Gutiérrez Gracia ; I. Fernández de Lucio, “Faculty support for the objectives of university-industry relations versus degree of R&D cooperation: the importance of regional absorptive capacity”,. ...

Research paper thumbnail of An AHP-based evaluation procedure for Innovative Educational Projects: A face-to-face vs. computer-mediated case study

Omega, 2008

In this paper a procedure to evaluate proposals for Educational Innovation Projects is proposed. ... more In this paper a procedure to evaluate proposals for Educational Innovation Projects is proposed. This methodology should help the Institute of Educational Sciences of the Politechnical University of Valencia to choose the best Educational Project, the final aim ...

Research paper thumbnail of SELECTION OF PHOTOVOLTAIC SOLAR POWER PLANT PROJECTS USING ANP

This paper presents an analysis to simplify a complex model, based on the Analytic Network Proces... more This paper presents an analysis to simplify a complex model, based on the Analytic Network Process (ANP); to select photovoltaic (PV) solar power projects. These projects follow a long management and execution process from plant site selection to plant start-up. As a consequence, there are many risks of time delays and even of project stoppage. In a previous work a top manager of an important Spanish company decided on the best PV project (from four alternative projects) to invest based on risk minimization, using a complex ANP model (54 elements grouped into different clusters). This model needs to be simplified in order to solve similar selection problems in future. To identify which risks have to be eliminated from the original model is a difficult task. In this work two ways for doing this identification are proposed: in the fist way we select the 25 more important risks obtained by the original ANP model; in the second way we asked the decision maker to select the 25 risks that...

Research paper thumbnail of Measuring economic sustainability of energy use: an ANP-based evaluation of some European Union countries and Turkey

International Journal of Management and Decision Making, 2015

ABSTRACT Abstract: This paper presents a new methodology for evaluating the economic sustainabili... more ABSTRACT Abstract: This paper presents a new methodology for evaluating the economic sustainability of countries’ energy systems. The aim of the work is to improve the support tools for policy makers as the scale and complexity of the global energy industry demands a country-by-country approach to managing change. The proposed participatory analytic network process model was applied to the five largest energy consumers in the European Union, namely France, Germany, Italy, Spain and the UK plus Turkey – a candidate for the European Union. The criteria used for the evaluations were selected from the economic dimension of the energy indicators for sustainable development. Results show that the best performer country is the UK followed by France, Turkey, Germany, Spain and Italy. Finally, we want to highlight that the methodology is able to grant participated decisions through a multi-expert traceable and transparent assessment process.

Research paper thumbnail of ANALYSIS OF THE PARTICIPATION OF STAKEHOLDERS IN ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT BASED ON ANP: APPLICATION TO A SPANISH NATURAL PARK

International Journal of the Analytic Hierarchy Process, 2015

The aim of this paper is to analize the influence of the stakeholders in a participatory decision... more The aim of this paper is to analize the influence of the stakeholders in a participatory decision making process. The influences of the different stakeholders will be studied with Social Network Analysis and the decision making process will be studid with the AHP technique. The results will be analyzed twofold : AHP model when considering that all the stakeholders have the same influence and AHP model when considering the different stakeholders' influences obtained with the SNA analysis

Research paper thumbnail of SELECTION OF PHOTOVOLTAIC SOLAR POWER PLANT PROJECTS USING ANP

This paper presents an analysis to simplify a complex model, based on the Analytic Network Proces... more This paper presents an analysis to simplify a complex model, based on the Analytic Network Process (ANP); to select photovoltaic (PV) solar power projects. These projects follow a long management and execution process from plant site selection to plant start-up. As a consequence, there are many risks of time delays and even of project stoppage. In a previous work a

Research paper thumbnail of An ANP-based approach for the selection of photovoltaic solar power plant investment projects

Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 2010

Research paper thumbnail of An ANP- and AHP-based approach for weighting criteria in public works bidding

Journal of the Operational Research Society, 2010

ABSTRACT When the bidding conditions for a new public works contract are officially published, th... more ABSTRACT When the bidding conditions for a new public works contract are officially published, the contracting authority should count with objective criteria and weights to evaluate tenders. The evaluation criteria and weights are obtained from official contract documents. In this paper a new approach for the selection and measurement of the bidding criteria based on Analytic Hierarchy Processes (AHP) and Analytic Network Processes (ANP) is proposed. A hierarchy model and a 21-criterion network model have been developed and applied to two real cases: the first one is devoted to study the public bidding for the construction of an educational centre at the Polytechnic University of Valencia, whereas the second one analyses the public bidding for the remodelling and improvement of one section of a national road.

Research paper thumbnail of Ordering the alternatives of a strategic plan for Valencia (Spain)

Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis, 2001

... PABLO ARAGONE´S*, ELISEO GO´ MEZ-SENENT and JUAN P. PASTOR Departamento de Proyectos de Ingen... more ... PABLO ARAGONE´S*, ELISEO GO´ MEZ-SENENT and JUAN P. PASTOR Departamento de Proyectos de Ingenierıa, Innovacio´ n, Desarrollo y Disen˜ o Industrial y Rural, Universidad Politécnica de Valencia, Valencia, Spain ...

Research paper thumbnail of Farmland appraisal based on the analytic network process

Journal of Global Optimization, 2008

This paper presents an application of the Analytic Network Process (ANP) to farmland appraisal. T... more This paper presents an application of the Analytic Network Process (ANP) to farmland appraisal. The purpose of this new methodology is to solve some of the drawbacks found in comparative and capitalisation methods, called classical appraisal methods, which cannot deal with contexts where only partial information is available and/or qualitative variables are used. The ANP is a method based on the Multiple Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA). Previous works have already applied other MCDA techniques to the appraisal context, such as the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), however they have not been able to handle all the complexities of many real world appraisal problems. The ANP provides a more accurate approach for modelling complex environment because it allows the general study of the quantitative and qualitative explanatory variables of the price and the incorporation of feedback and interdependence relationships among variables. The new proposed methodology has been applied to a case study of a farm located in Valencia (Spain) in order to demonstrate its goodness. Both quantitative and qualitative variables, such as the age of the trees, productivity or water quality, have been considered to assess the market value of the farm. Six farms from the same region have been selected as reference assets. The appraisal problem has been solved in three different ways in order to study the influence of each model

Research paper thumbnail of An Analytic Network Process approach for siting a municipal solid waste plant in the Metropolitan Area of Valencia (Spain)

Journal of Environmental Management, 2010

In this paper the Analytic Network Process (ANP) is applied to select the best location for the c... more In this paper the Analytic Network Process (ANP) is applied to select the best location for the construction of a municipal solid waste (MSW) plant in the Metropolitan area of Valencia (Spain). Selection of the appropriate MSW facility location can be viewed as a complex multicriteria decisionmaking problem that requires an extensive evaluation process of the potential MSW plant locations and other factors as diverse as economic, technical, legal, social or environmental issues. The decision-making process includes the identification of six candidate MSW plant sites and 21 criteria grouped into clusters for the construction of a network. Two technicians of the Metropolitan Waste Disposal Agency acted as decision makers (DMs).

Research paper thumbnail of ANALYSIS OF THE ALIGNMENT OF COMPANY GOALS TO WEB CONTENT USING ANP

International Journal of Information Technology & Decision Making, 2010

Today, most institutions use their website as one of the major means of consolidating communicati... more Today, most institutions use their website as one of the major means of consolidating communications channels within their organization and among their customers and users. Nevertheless, many of these organizations either have not clearly formulated the goals they want to achieve through their website or do not know to what extent their website contributes to satisfying these goals. This paper

Research paper thumbnail of Application of Multicriteria Decision Analysis Tools to Two Contaminated Sediment Case Studies

Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management, 2007

Background The use of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) in health care has become common. H... more Background The use of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) in health care has become common. However, the literature lacks systematic review trend analysis on the application of MCDA in health care.

Research paper thumbnail of Valuation of urban industrial land: An analytic network process approach

European Journal of Operational Research, 2008

In this paper an application of the Analytic Network Process (ANP) to asset valuation is presente... more In this paper an application of the Analytic Network Process (ANP) to asset valuation is presented. It has two purposes: solving some of the drawbacks found in classical asset valuation methods and broadening the scope of current approaches. The ANP is a method based on Multiple Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) that accurately models complex environments. This approach is particularly useful in problems which work with partially available data, qualitative variables and influences among the variables, which are very common situations in the valuation context. As an illustration, the new approach has been applied to a real case study of an industrial park located in Valencia (Spain) using three different models. The results confirm the validity of the methodology and show that the more information is incorporated into the model, the more accurate the solution will be, so the presented methodology stands out as a good alternative to current valuation approaches.

Research paper thumbnail of University objectives and socioeconomic results: A multicriteria measuring of alignment

European Journal of Operational Research, 2009

Research paper thumbnail of Modeling decision making as a support tool for policy making on renewable energy development

Energy Policy, 2014

We applied ANP to the investors' preferences on biomass power plants projects. The aim is to impr... more We applied ANP to the investors' preferences on biomass power plants projects. The aim is to improve the advising tools for renewable energy policy making. A case study has been carried out with the help of two experts. We designed two scenarios: decision making as it is and how could it be improved. Results prove ANP is a fruitful tool enhancing participation and transparency.

Research paper thumbnail of An AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process)/ANP (Analytic Network Process)-based multi-criteria decision approach for the selection of solar-thermal power plant investment projects

Energy, 2014

ABSTRACT In this paper the AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) and the ANP (Analytic Network Process... more ABSTRACT In this paper the AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) and the ANP (Analytic Network Process) are applied to help the managing board of an important Spanish solar power investment company to decide whether to invest in a particular solar-thermal power plant project and, if so, to determine the order of priority of the projects in the company's portfolio. Project management goes through a long process, from obtaining the required construction permits and authorizations, negotiating with different stakeholders, complying with complex legal regulations, to solving the technical problems associated with plant construction and distribution of the energy generated. The whole process involves high engineering costs. The decision approach proposed in this paper consists of three phases. In the first two phases, the managing board must decide whether to accept or reject a project according to a set of criteria previously identified by the technical team. The third phase consists of establishing a priority order among the projects that have proven to be economically profitable based on project risk levels and execution time delays. This work analyzes the criteria that should be taken into account to accept or reject proposals for investment, as well as the risks used to prioritize some projects over others.

Research paper thumbnail of Using multi-criteria decision-making for selecting broad-band technology for the National University of Colombia, Bogotá

Research paper thumbnail of Selection of Photovoltaic Solar Power Plant Investment Projects-An ANP Approach

In this paper the Analytic Network Process (ANP) is applied to the selection of photovoltaic (PV)... more In this paper the Analytic Network Process (ANP) is applied to the selection of photovoltaic (PV) solar power projects. These projects follow a long management and execution process from plant site selection to plant start-up. As a consequence, there are many risks of time delays and even of project stoppage. In the case study presented in this paper a top

Research paper thumbnail of Medición del grado de alineación de los fines de una universidad con los resultados obtenidos en su relación con el entorno socio-económico

Medición del grado de alineación de los fines de una universidad con los resultados obtenidos en ... more Medición del grado de alineación de los fines de una universidad con los resultados obtenidos en su relación con el entorno socioeconómico Félix Antonio Cortés-Aldana, Mónica García-Melón, Ignacio Fernández-de-Lucio, Pablo Aragonés-Beltrán

Research paper thumbnail of A methodology based on multi-criteria techniques (AHP and ANP) for measuring the degree of alignment between the objectives of a university and the results obtained in its relations with the socioeconomic environment

... Universidad Politécnica de Valencia (1995). [2] JM Azagra Caro,. F. Archontakis; A. Gutiérrez... more ... Universidad Politécnica de Valencia (1995). [2] JM Azagra Caro,. F. Archontakis; A. Gutiérrez Gracia ; I. Fernández de Lucio, “Faculty support for the objectives of university-industry relations versus degree of R&D cooperation: the importance of regional absorptive capacity”,. ...

Research paper thumbnail of An AHP-based evaluation procedure for Innovative Educational Projects: A face-to-face vs. computer-mediated case study

Omega, 2008

In this paper a procedure to evaluate proposals for Educational Innovation Projects is proposed. ... more In this paper a procedure to evaluate proposals for Educational Innovation Projects is proposed. This methodology should help the Institute of Educational Sciences of the Politechnical University of Valencia to choose the best Educational Project, the final aim ...