FantasySCOTUS: Crowdsourcing a Prediction Market for the Supreme Court (original) (raw)

Social Learning and the Accuracy-Risk Trade-off in the Wisdom of the Crowd

Esteban Moro

arXiv (Cornell University), 2020

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Debunking Three Myths About Crowd-Based Forecasting

Emile Servan-Schreiber

Collective Intelligence, NYU Tandon, 2017

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Deliberation increases the wisdom of crowds

Gerry Garbulsky

2017

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Identifying Expertise to Extract the Wisdom of Crowds

David Budescu

Management Science, 2015

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Aggregated knowledge from a small number of debates outperforms the wisdom of large crowds

Gerry Garbulsky

Nature Human Behaviour

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Wisdom of the Confident: Using Social Interactions to Eliminate the Bias in Wisdom of the Crowds

Gonzalo de Polavieja

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Intuitive biases in choice versus estimation: Implications for the wisdom of crowds

shane frederick

2011

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The wisdom of crowds in one mind: How individuals can simulate the knowledge of diverse societies to reach better decisions

Jan Lorenz

Journal of Mathematical Psychology, 2011

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Crowdsourcing the future

Leslie Guelcher

Proceedings of the SIGCHI Conference on Human Factors in Computing Systems, 2014

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Prediction Markets: Trading Uncertainty for Collective Wisdom

Emile Servan-Schreiber

Crowd Wisdom: Principles and Mechanisms, 2012

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Effects of Social Influence on the Wisdom of Crowds

Pavlin Mavrodiev

2012

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The Wisdom of Crowds

Juliette Roussin

Books & Ideas, 2014

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Deciding with the Crowd Wisdom : An Overview of Issues Facing the Corporate Application of Prediction Markets

International Journal of Scientific Research in Computer Science, Engineering and Information Technology IJSRCSEIT

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The wisdom of crowds in one mind: Experimental evidence on repeatedly …

Jan Lorenz

ethz.ch

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2016 and the Split Prior: An Investigation into the Effect of Social Influence on Crowd Wisdom Predictions of Mass Behavior in Political Contexts

Mitchell Atkinson III

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Using Ground Truths to Improve Wisdom of the Crowd Estimates

Saiwing Yeung

Cognitive Science, 2015

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The Wisdom of Competitive Crowds

Phillip Pfeifer

Operations Research, 2013

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The 'Wisdom of the Crowds' and Public Policy

Maria Demertzis

2009

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The ambigous role of social influence on the wisdom of crowds: An analytic approach

Pavlin Mavrodiev

Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications

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The Curious Anomaly of Skewed Judgment Distributions and Systematic Error in the Wisdom of the Crowds

Ulrik William Nash

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Aggregation Mechanisms for Crowd Predictions

Juergen Huber

SSRN Electronic Journal

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Wisdom of the Crowd

Sarhan M. Musa

SSRN Electronic Journal, 2012

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Using meta-predictions to identify experts in the crowd when past performance is unknown

Tom Wilkening

PLOS ONE, 2020

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When social influence promotes the wisdom of crowds

Amin Rahimian

2020

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Testing Smart Crowds for the Economy

Carina Antonia Hallin

2019

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Accuracy-Risk Trade-Off Due to Social Learning in Crowd-Sourced Financial Predictions

Esteban Moro

Entropy, 2021

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Consensus and Differences of Opinion in Electronic Prediction Markets

Joyce Berg, Thomas Gruca

Electronic Markets, 2005

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Hypermind vs. Big Data: Collective Intelligence Still Dominates Electoral Forecasting

Emile Servan-Schreiber

2015

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The wisdom of crowds with informative priors

pernille hemmer

PsycEXTRA Dataset

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Two Sides of Collective Decision Making - Votes from Crowd and Knowledge from Experts

Milan Vukicevic

Decision Support Systems X: Cognitive Decision Support Systems and Technologies, 2020

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The meta-wisdom of crowds

Ryan P Muldoon

Synthese, 2021

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Distilling the wisdom of crowds: weighted aggregation of decisions on multiple issues

Moshe Koppel

Autonomous Agents and Multi-Agent Systems, 2011

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Implementing the Wisdom of the Crowd

Motty Perry

Journal of Political Economy

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Rewiring the Wisdom of the Crowd

Amin Rahimian

2021

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How social influence can undermine the wisdom of crowd effect

Frank Schweitzer, Jan Lorenz

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2011

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