Commodity Exports, Net Exchange Earnings and Investment Criteria (original) (raw)
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This research investigates the Empirical Analysis of Export Performance and its impact on Economy of Pakistan: A Time Series Analysis It is taken as proxy for share of investment in GDP. It is taken as %age of GDP. Data on real exports is taken in current 2005 US$. The trend and descriptive statistics of defense expenditures in Pakistan from1990-2015. It was revealed that Pakistan growth rate was 6.3% per annum while other low income countries grew at an average annual rate of 4% in 1980s. The share of exports in GDP increased to 13% in 1990s. This increase was due to different policies taken by Pakistan such as establishment of two export processing zones, rebates on different items, excise and sales tax rebates, and tax relief for exporters etc in mid 1980s. In 1988 Government of Pakistan has also launched macroeconomic Adjustment program to improve trade policy, fiscal policy and deregulation process.
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The research investigated the determinants of Pakistan’s exports by using time series data from 1990–2016. Certain econometric tests were also applied to check cointegration among variables. A unit root test was used to check the stationarity of selected variables. After the stationarity of the data, a vector error correction model is used to estimate the effect of regressors, like foreign direct investment, gross domestic product, employment level, and consumption expenditures on a dependent variable, i.e. exports in the short run. The result shows the positive relationships that foreign direct investment, gross domestic product and employment level have on exports, and the adverse impact of consumption expenditures on the dependent variable. The study uses Johansen’s cointegration test for the long run. The results show that all the variables are co-integrated in the long run. It is suggested that the government should encourage foreign direct investment and gross domestic product...
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Since independence, Pakistan, like many other countries, has been facing the problem of the balance-of-payments deficit. A number of policies have been introduced during different periods for rapid and continuous growth in Pakistan’s exports. These policies, like import substitution, devaluation of the rupee in 1972, export finance schemes, tax concessions, delinking of the rupee from the U.S. dollar in 1982, etc., have helped in boosting its exports to some extent but not enough to stabilise its export earnings. The fluctuations in export earnings are known to have serious consequences. Specifically, unstable export earnings affect the investment decisions by hindering the continuous import of industrial raw materials. This, in turn, impedes the growth of the industrial sector. Moreover, it causes fluctuations in the GNP and promotes uncertainty in the economy. This uncertainty plays a decisive role in the private sector’s hesitation to invest in the large-scale manufacturing indus...
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