Equitable mitigation to achieve the Paris Agreement goals (original) (raw)

References

  1. Adoption of the Paris Agreement FCCC/CP/2015/L.9/Rev.1 (UNFCCC, 2015); http://unfccc.int/resource/docs/2015/cop21/eng/l09r01.pdf
  2. Synthesis Report on the Aggregate Effect of the Intended Nationally Determined Contributions FCCC/CP (UNFCCC, 2015).
  3. Meinshausen, M. & Alexander, R. INDC Factsheets. Australian-German Climate and Energy College (2015); http://climatecollege.unimelb.edu.au/indc-factsheets
  4. Rogelj, J. et al. Paris Agreement climate proposals need a boost to keep warming well below 2 °C. Nature 534, 631–639 (2016).
    Article CAS Google Scholar
  5. United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change FCCC/INFORMAL/84 (UNFCCC, 1992); https://unfccc.int/resource/docs/convkp/conveng.pdf
  6. Averchenkova, A., Stern, N. & Zenghelis, D. Taming the Beasts of ‘Burden-Sharing’: An Analysis of Equitable Mitigation Actions and Approaches to 2030 Mitigation Pledges (Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy, Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment, 2014).
    Google Scholar
  7. Mace, M. J. Mitigation commitments under the Paris Agreement and the way forward. Clim. Law 6, 21–39 (2016).
    Article Google Scholar
  8. Voigt, C. & Ferreira, F. Differentiation in the Paris Agreement. Clim. Law 6, 58–74 (2016).
    Article Google Scholar
  9. Impact Assessment: Document Accompanying the Package of Implementation Measures for the EU’s Objectives on Climate Change and Renewable Energy for 2020 Proposals (Commission of the European Communities, 2008).
  10. Information, Views and Proposals on Matters Related to the Work of Ad Hoc Working Group on the Durban Platform for Enhanced Action (ADP) Workstream 1 (Submission by Japan, 2014).
  11. Nepal on Behalf of the Least Developed Countries Group Views and Proposals on the Work of the Ad Hoc Working Group on the Durban Platform for Enhanced Action (ADP) (2014).
  12. BASIC experts, Equitable Access to Sustainable Development: Contribution to the Body of Scientific Knowledge (BASIC Expert Group, 2011).
  13. Submitted INDCs (UNFCCC, accessed 5 February 2016); http://www4.unfccc.int/submissions/indc
  14. Baer, P., Fieldman, G., Athanasiou, T. & Kartha, S. Greenhouse Development Rights: towards an equitable framework for global climate policy. Camb. Rev. Int. Aff. 21, 649–669 (2008).
    Article Google Scholar
  15. den Elzen, M., Höhne, N. & Moltmann, S. The Triptych approach revisited: a staged sectoral approach for climate mitigation. Energy Policy 36, 1107–1124 (2008).
    Article Google Scholar
  16. Jacoby, H. D., Babiker, M. H., Paltsev, S. & Reilly, J. M. Sharing the Burden of GHG Reductions (MIT, 2008).
    Google Scholar
  17. Nabel, J. E. M. S. et al. Decision support for international climate policy - The PRIMAP emission module. Environ. Model. Softw. 26, 1419–1433 (2011).
    Article Google Scholar
  18. Höhne, N., den Elzen, M. & Escalante, D. Regional GHG reduction targets based on effort sharing: a comparison of studies. Clim. Policy 14, 122–147 (2013).
    Article Google Scholar
  19. Tavoni, M. et al. Post-2020 climate agreements in the major economies assessed in the light of global models. Nat. Clim. Change 5, 119–126 (2014).
    Article Google Scholar
  20. Raupach, M. R. et al. Sharing a quota on cumulative carbon emissions. Nat. Clim. Change 4, 873–879 (2014).
    Article CAS Google Scholar
  21. Pan, X., Teng, F., Tian, Y. & Wang, G. Countries’ emission allowances towards the low-carbon world: a consistent study. Appl. Energy 155, 218–228 (2015).
    Article CAS Google Scholar
  22. Meinshausen, M. et al. National post-2020 greenhouse gas targets and diversity-aware leadership. Nat. Clim. Change 5, 1098–1106 (2015).
    Article Google Scholar
  23. Peters, G. P., Andrew, R. M., Solomon, S. & Friedlingstein, P. Measuring a fair and ambitious climate agreement using cumulative emissions. Environ. Res. Lett. 10, 105004 (2015).
    Article Google Scholar
  24. Robiou du Pont, Y., Jeffery, M. L., Gütschow, J., Christoff, P. & Meinshausen, M. National contributions for decarbonizing the world economy in line with the G7 agreement. Environ. Res. Lett. 11, 054005 (2016).
    Article Google Scholar
  25. Clarke, L. et al. in Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of Climate Change (eds Edenhofer, O. et al.) 456–462 (IPCC, Cambridge Univ. Press, 2014).
    Google Scholar
  26. Rogelj, J. et al. Energy system transformations for limiting end-of-century warming to below 1.5 °C. Nat. Clim. Change 5, 519–527 (2015).
    Article Google Scholar
  27. Caney, S. Justice and the distribution of greenhouse gas emissions. J. Glob. Ethics 5, 125–146 (2009).
    Article Google Scholar
  28. Geden, O. An actionable climate target. Nat. Geosci. 9, 340–342 (2016).
    Article CAS Google Scholar
  29. Schleussner, C.-F. et al. Differential climate impacts for policy-relevant limits to global warming: the case of 1.5 °C and 2 °C. Earth Syst. Dyn. Discuss. 6, 2447–2505 (2016).
    Article Google Scholar
  30. Meinshausen, M., Raper, S. C. B. & Wigley, T. M. L. Emulating coupled atmosphere-ocean and carbon cycle models with a simpler model, MAGICC6 – Part 1: Model description and calibration. Atmos. Chem. Phys. 11, 1417–1456 (2011).
    Article CAS Google Scholar
  31. Meinshausen, M., Wigley, T. M. L. & Raper, S. C. B. Emulating atmosphere-ocean and carbon cycle models with a simpler model, MAGICC6 - Part 2: Applications. Atmos. Chem. Phys. 11, 1457–1471 (2011).
    Article CAS Google Scholar
  32. Meinshausen, M. et al. Greenhouse-gas emission targets for limiting global warming to 2 °C. Nature 458, 1158–1162 (2009).
    Article CAS Google Scholar
  33. Harmsen, M. et al. How well do integrated assessment models represent non-CO2 radiative forcing? Climatic Change 565–582 (2015).
    Article Google Scholar
  34. Bernie, D. & Lowe, J. Analysis of Climate Projections from the IPCC Working Group 3 Scenario Database (AVOID2, 2014).
    Google Scholar
  35. Rogelj, J. et al. Air-pollution emission ranges consistent with the representative concentration pathways. Nat. Clim. Change 4, 446–450 (2014).
    Article CAS Google Scholar
  36. The Emission Gap Report 2015 A UNEP Synthesis Report (UNEP, 2015).
  37. Meinshausen, M. et al. The RCP greenhouse gas concentrations and their extensions from 1765 to 2300. Climatic Change 109, 213–241 (2011).
    Article CAS Google Scholar
  38. Owen, B., Lee, D. S. & Lim, L. Flying into the future: aviation emissions scenarios to 2050. Environ. Sci. Technol. 44, 2255–2260 (2010).
    Article CAS Google Scholar
  39. IPCC Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis (eds Solomon, S. et al.) (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2007).
  40. Cames, M., Graichen, J., Siemons, A. & Cook, V. Emission Reduction Targets for International Aviation and Shipping (European Parliament - Policy Department, 2015).
    Google Scholar
  41. Anderson, K. & Bows, A. Executing a Scharnow turn: reconciling shipping emissions with international commitments on climate change. Carbon Manag. 3, 615–628 (2012).
    Article CAS Google Scholar
  42. Samir, K. C. & Lutz, W. The human core of the shared socioeconomic pathways: population scenarios by age, sex and level of education for all countries to 2100. Glob. Environ. Change http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2014.06.004 (2014).
  43. Crespo Cuaresma, J. Income projections for climate change research: a framework based on human capital dynamics. Glob. Environ. Change http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.02.012 (2015).

Download references