Difference Between Binomial and Poisson Distribution (original) (raw)
Last Updated : 23 Jul, 2025
Binomial and Poisson distributions are two important types of discrete probability distributions used in statistics and data analysis. binomial distribution models the number of successes in a fixed number of independent trials, each with the same probability of success. On the other hand, the Poisson distribution models the number of events occurring in a fixed interval of time or space, given a constant average rate of occurrence.
In this article, we will discuss "Difference Between Binomial and Poisson Distribution" in detail, including properties and examples for each.
What is Binomial Distribution?
**Binomial Distribution is a discrete probability distribution that describes the number of successes in a fixed number of independent trials of a binary (yes/no) experiment. It is one of the most commonly used probability distributions in statistics.
Binomial distribution arises from a series of experiments known as Bernoulli trials. Each trial results in a success or a failure, and the probability of success is the same in each trial. The distribution is defined by two parameters:
- **n: The number of trials.
- **p: The probability of success in a single trial.
The probability mass function of a binomial random variable is given by:
P(X = k) = \binom{n}k{}p^k(1 − p)^{n−k}
Where,
- n is the number of trials,
- k is the number of successes,
- p is the probability of success,
- \binom{n}{k} is the binomial coefficient, representing the number of ways to choose k successes out of n trials.
Properties of Binomial Distribution
Some of the key properties of Binomial Distribution are:
| **Property | **Formula |
|---|---|
| **Mean (Expected Value) | μ = E(X) = np |
| **Variance | σ2 = Var(X) = np(1 − p) |
| **Standard Deviation | σ = √[np(1−p)] |
| **Skewness | Skewness = (1 - 2p)/[√[np(1−p)]] |
| **Kurtosis | Kurtosis = [1 − 6p(1 − p)]/[np(1 − p)] |
| **Probability Mass Function (PMF) | P(X = k) = \binom{n}k{}p^k(1 − p)^{n−k} |
| **Moment Generating Function (MGF) | MX(t) = [pet + (1−p)]n |
Examples of Binomial Distribution
Some of the examples of binomial distribution discussed as below:
- **Quality Control in Manufacturing: A factory produces light bulbs, and each bulb has a 2% probability of being defective. If a random sample of 100 light bulbs is taken, we can use the binomial distribution to find the probability of a certain number of defective bulbs.
- **Clinical Trials: A new drug is being tested, and it is known to be effective in 70% of the cases. In a clinical trial, 10 patients are treated with this drug.
- **Sports Statistics: In a basketball game, a player has a free throw success rate of 80%. During a game, the player takes 15 free throws.
What is Poisson Distribution?
**Poisson Distribution is a discrete probability distribution that expresses the probability of a given number of events occurring in a fixed interval of time or space, provided these events occur with a known constant mean rate and independently of the time since the last event. It is named after the French mathematician Siméon Denis Poisson.
Random variable X follows a Poisson distribution if it represents the number of events occurring in a fixed interval of time or space. The probability mass function of a Poisson random variable is given by:
**P(X = k) = (λ k e −λ )/k!
Where:
- k is the number of occurrences,
- λ is the average number of occurrences in the interval,
- e is the base of the natural logarithm (approximately equal to 2.71828).
Properties of Poisson Distribution
Some of the key properties of Poisson Distribution are:
| **Property | **Formula |
|---|---|
| **Mean (Expected Value) | μ = E(X) = λ |
| **Variance | σ2 = Var(X) = λ |
| **Standard Deviation | σ = √λ |
| **Skewness | Skewness = 1/√λ |
| **Kurtosis | Kurtosis = 1/λ |
| **Moment Generating Function (MGF) | M_{X}(t) = e^{λ(e^t − 1)} |
Examples of Poisson Distribution
Some of the most common examples which can be modelled using poison distribution are:
- **Call Center: A call center receives an average of 5 calls per minute. We can use the Poisson distribution to find the probability of receiving a certain number of calls in a minute.
- **Traffic Flow: On average, 2 cars pass through a checkpoint every 10 minutes. We can use the Poisson distribution to find the probability of a certain number of cars passing through the checkpoint in 10 minutes.
- **Web Traffic: A website receives an average of 10 visits per hour. We can use the Poisson distribution to find the probability of receiving a certain number of visits in an hour.
Binomial Vs. Poisson Distribution
Key differences between binomial and poison distribution are listed in the following table:
| **Feature | **Binomial Distribution | **Poisson Distribution |
|---|---|---|
| **Definition | Models the number of successes in a fixed number of independent trials, each with the same probability of success. | Models the number of events occurring in a fixed interval of time or space, with events happening at a constant mean rate. |
| **Probability Mass Function (PMF) | P(X = k) = \binom{n}k{}p^k(1 − p)^{n−k}Where _n is the number of trials and _p is the probability of success. | **P(X = k) = (λ k e −λ )/k!Where _λ is the average number of occurrences. |
| **Mean (Expected Value) | _μ = _np | μ = E(X) = λ |
| **Variance | σ2 = Var(X) = np(1 − p) | __σ_2 = _λ |
| **Standard Deviation | σ = √[np(1−p)] | _σ = √__λ_ |
| **Skewness | Skewness = (1 - 2p)/[√[np(1−p)]] | Skewness = 1/√λ |
| **Kurtosis | Kurtosis = [1 − 6p(1 − p)]/[np(1 − p)] | Kurtosis = 1/λ |
| **Moment Generating Function (MGF) | MX(t) = [pet + (1−p)]n | M_{X}(t) = e^{λ(e^t − 1)} |
| **Parameter Constraints | n is a positive integer, 0 ≤ p ≤ 1 | _λ > 0 |
Similarities Between Binomial and Poisson Distribution
Some of the common similarities between binomial and poison distribution are:
- Both the binomial and Poisson distributions are discrete probability distributions, meaning they model the occurrence of discrete events.
- Both distributions take non-negative integer values (k = 0, 1, 2, . . .).
- Both distributions describe the probability of a certain number of events occurring in a given context (trials for binomial, time/space interval for Poisson).
- Both distributions assume independence in their events:
- Binomial distribution assumes independent trials.
- Poisson distribution assumes independent events occurring in a given interval.
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