Interest Rate Research Papers - Academia.edu (original) (raw)
Central banks’ liquidity management plays a crucial role in the implementation of monetary policy. In most countries central banks influence short term interest rates through determining the equilibrium conditions of supply and demand in... more
Central banks’ liquidity management plays a crucial role in the implementation of monetary policy. In most countries central banks influence short term interest rates through determining the equilibrium conditions of supply and demand in the market for bank reserves (liquidity). This article describes the liquidity management practice of the National Bank of Hungary in the period of 1998-2001. This period is characterized by two particular circumstances. First, there is a substantial liquidity surplus, therefore the Bank influences market interest rates using the liabilities side instruments of its balance sheet. Second, as a result of the narrow-band exchange rate regime and the fact that the Treasury Account is held with the Bank, the amount of liquidity is highly volatile and hard to forecast. The article explains how the Bank forecasts liquidity and the movements of overnight interest rate in these circumstances, and it describes the development of monetary policy instruments ap...
Fair valuation is becoming a major concern for actuaries, especially in the per- spective of IAS norms. One of the key aspects in this context is the simulta- neous analysis of assets and liabilities in any sound actuarial valuation. The... more
Fair valuation is becoming a major concern for actuaries, especially in the per- spective of IAS norms. One of the key aspects in this context is the simulta- neous analysis of assets and liabilities in any sound actuarial valuation. The aim of this paper is to illustrate these concepts, by comparing three common ways of giving bonus in life insurance with profit: reversionary, cash or terminal. For each participation scheme, we compute the fair value of the contract taking into account liability parameters (guaranteed interest rate and participation level) as well as asset parameters (market conditions and investment strategy). We find some equilibrium conditions between all those coefficients and com- pare, from an analytical and numerical point of view, the systems of bonus. Developments are made first in the classical binomial model and then extended in a Black and Scholes economy.
Factores como la aparición en el mercado de nuevas formas de financiación, los nuevos patrones de consumo y ahorro, o la estabilidad macroeconómica de los últimos años han impulsado el incremento del endeudamiento de los hogares. Sin... more
Factores como la aparición en el mercado de nuevas formas de financiación, los nuevos patrones de consumo y ahorro, o la estabilidad macroeconómica de los últimos años han impulsado el incremento del endeudamiento de los hogares. Sin embargo, la situación de ...
This paper evaluates whether Nigeria is ready to adopt inflation targeting (IT), a monetary policy framework that several emerging markets have adopted over the last one decade. The paper reviews literature on selected conditions for... more
This paper evaluates whether Nigeria is ready to adopt inflation targeting (IT), a monetary policy framework that several emerging markets have adopted over the last one decade. The paper reviews literature on selected conditions for successful implementation of IT and then ...
We propose a new hierarchical approach to resolution scalable lossless and near-lossless (NLS) compression. It combines the adaptability of DPCM schemes with new hierarchical oriented predictors to provide resolution scalability with... more
We propose a new hierarchical approach to resolution scalable lossless and near-lossless (NLS) compression. It combines the adaptability of DPCM schemes with new hierarchical oriented predictors to provide resolution scalability with better compression performances than the usual hierarchical interpolation predictor or the wavelet transform. Because the proposed hierarchical oriented prediction (HOP) is not really efficient on smooth images, we also
RESUMO O presente artigo pretende apresentar os principais resultados de um estudo empírico de modelação da série cronológica da taxa de juro nominal da operação activa do crédito a particulares em Portugal realizado por Caiado (1997).... more
RESUMO O presente artigo pretende apresentar os principais resultados de um estudo empírico de modelação da série cronológica da taxa de juro nominal da operação activa do crédito a particulares em Portugal realizado por Caiado (1997). Com base na metodologia dos modelos ARIMA com variáveis de intervenção e detecção de outliers , vai avaliar-se o impacto de alterações de relevo
This study investigates the response of unemployment to selective macroeconomics shocks for the period of 2000:Q1-2010:Q1. It finds that positive shocks to growth, growth in export and inflation reduce unemployment. On the other hand,... more
This study investigates the response of unemployment to selective macroeconomics shocks for the period of 2000:Q1-2010:Q1. It finds that positive shocks to growth, growth in export and inflation reduce unemployment. On the other hand, shocks to exchange rate, interbank interest rate and money supply increase unemployment. The results are consistent with Phillips curve and Okun's Law suggestion. Namely, negative relationship between output and unemployment and positive relationship between unemployment and inflation are found. Also, this study finds consistent results with earlier literature.
This working paper gathers three projects of articles which have as a same subject inflation expectations and their use within the framework of monetary policy. It appeared convenient to synthesize them in the form of three parts of only... more
This working paper gathers three projects of articles which have as a same subject inflation expectations and their use within the framework of monetary policy. It appeared convenient to synthesize them in the form of three parts of only one document, thus making it possible to the reader to have a vision as complete as possible on this question. The first part is of a theoretical nature and presents the literature. The second points out this literature, specifies the characteristics of a monetary policy founded on a direct target of inflation, and proposes an econometric analyse in the French case. The third extends this methodology to the case of the euro zone and shows the difficulties of it.
We undertake an empirical assessment of the competitiveness and market contestability of the major British banks post-1980 - a period of major structural changes, mergers, demutualizations and acquisitions. Specifically, we estimate and... more
We undertake an empirical assessment of the competitiveness and market contestability of the major British banks post-1980 - a period of major structural changes, mergers, demutualizations and acquisitions. Specifically, we estimate and test the Rosse-Panzar model on a panel of 12 banks for the period 1980-2004,furthermore, we buttress the Rosse-Panzar methodology by estimating the ratio of Lerner indices obtained from interest rate setting equations. The sample of banks corresponds closely to the major British Banking Groups as specified by the British Banking Association. Our results confirm the consensus finding that the British banking market can be described as monopolistically competitive. We also find that on the core business of balance sheet activity, British banks have remained as competitive in the 1990s as in the 1980s. This finding is further supported by evidence from the ratio of Lerner indices for loans and deposits. However, we find a significant worsening of compet...
The quality of mortgage loans had been deteriorating since 2001, when interest rates were consistently below 3 per cent for several years. Housing prices dropped substantially since their high in 2006. This article examines the current... more
The quality of mortgage loans had been deteriorating since 2001, when interest rates were consistently below 3 per cent for several years. Housing prices dropped substantially since their high in 2006. This article examines the current credit crisis against the background of recent financial meltdowns in wealthy and emerging markets. We argue that securitisation involves various tensions between market participants and is based on several different criteria that gauge liquidity and creditworthiness. Most often, liquidity and credit enhancement are part of the deal. The problems in the subprime market led directly to the Fed Rescue, in which it guaranteed $30 billion, although Fed's authority over investment banks is murky. The United States had been experiencing subprime crisis, and that affect EU ’s policies on interest rates and exchange rates. The situation also influence Romanian creditors to study more closely a borrower's capability to pay the loan. The possible implic...
1. INTRODUCTION THIS WORK PROVIDES sufficient conditions on agents' primitives for the validity of the Consumption-Based Capital Asset Pricing Model (CCAPM) of Breeden (1979). As a necessary condition, Breeden showed that in a... more
1. INTRODUCTION THIS WORK PROVIDES sufficient conditions on agents' primitives for the validity of the Consumption-Based Capital Asset Pricing Model (CCAPM) of Breeden (1979). As a necessary condition, Breeden showed that in a continuous-time equilibrium ...
Several studies have established the predictive power of the yield curve in terms of real economic activity. In this paper we use data for a variety of E.U. countries: both EMU (Germany, France, Italy, Portugal and Spain) and non-EMU... more
Several studies have established the predictive power of the yield curve in terms of real economic activity. In this paper we use data for a variety of E.U. countries: both EMU (Germany, France, Italy, Portugal and Spain) and non-EMU members (Norway, Sweden and the U.K.). The data used range from 1991:Q1 to 2009:Q3. For each country, we extract the long
This paper reviews recent developments in the management of government debt in the euro area, covering both theoretical and practical aspects. It focuses on key aspects of debt management; the objectives of debt management, its... more
This paper reviews recent developments in the management of government debt in the euro area, covering both theoretical and practical aspects. It focuses on key aspects of debt management; the objectives of debt management, its organisation, the maturity of debt, inflation-indexation, currency-denomination, the ownership of debt, and debt issuing and trading practices. Main adjustments include an increase in autonomy of